Information quantifiers and unpredictability in the COVID-19 time-series data

Abstract We apply different information quantifiers to the study of COVID-19 time series. First, we analyze how the fact of smoothing the curves alters the informational content of the series, by applying the permutation and wavelet entropies to the series of daily new cases using a sliding-window method. In addition, to study how coupled the curves associated with daily new cases of infections and deaths are, we compute the wavelet coherence. Our results show how information quantifiers can be used to analyze the unpredictable behavior of this pandemic in the short and medium terms.

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Vampa,Victoria, Kowalski,Andres M., Losada,Marcelo, Portesi,Mariela, Holik,Federico
Format: Digital revista
Language:English
Published: Centro de Investigaciones en Matemática Pura y Aplicada (CIMPA) y Escuela de Matemática, San José, Costa Rica. 2023
Online Access:http://www.scielo.sa.cr/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S1409-24332023000100001
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Summary:Abstract We apply different information quantifiers to the study of COVID-19 time series. First, we analyze how the fact of smoothing the curves alters the informational content of the series, by applying the permutation and wavelet entropies to the series of daily new cases using a sliding-window method. In addition, to study how coupled the curves associated with daily new cases of infections and deaths are, we compute the wavelet coherence. Our results show how information quantifiers can be used to analyze the unpredictable behavior of this pandemic in the short and medium terms.