Economische impact van het coalitieakkoord (2022-2025) op het zuivelcomplex
This study explores the potential economic impact of the coalition agreement 2022-2025 on the Dutch dairy complex. Three scenarios towards 2030 have been analysed: a baseline scenario and two scenarios which varied in terms of the implementation speed of the policy measures and the public budget allocated to the dairy sector. The implemented scenarios were based on information derived from policy reports and budget information announced in the coalition agreement. In the baseline scenario, the herd size is projected to decreased by 0.32 million (-20.5%) and the milk volume by 2.54 million (-18.2%) in the period 2020-2030. The total value added of the dairy complex may decrease by 1.37 billion euros. Based on the assessment of the scenarios, key factors, potential bottlenecks and side effects of the coalition agreement are discussed.
| Main Authors: | , , , , , |
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| Format: | External research report biblioteca |
| Language: | Dutch |
| Published: |
Wageningen Economic Research
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| Subjects: | Life Science, |
| Online Access: | https://research.wur.nl/en/publications/economische-impact-van-het-coalitieakkoord-2022-2025-op-het-zuive |
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| Summary: | This study explores the potential economic impact of the coalition agreement 2022-2025 on the Dutch dairy complex. Three scenarios towards 2030 have been analysed: a baseline scenario and two scenarios which varied in terms of the implementation speed of the policy measures and the public budget allocated to the dairy sector. The implemented scenarios were based on information derived from policy reports and budget information announced in the coalition agreement. In the baseline scenario, the herd size is projected to decreased by 0.32 million (-20.5%) and the milk volume by 2.54 million (-18.2%) in the period 2020-2030. The total value added of the dairy complex may decrease by 1.37 billion euros. Based on the assessment of the scenarios, key factors, potential bottlenecks and side effects of the coalition agreement are discussed. |
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