Empirical analysis of tariff- line level trade, tariff revenue and welfare effects of reciprocity under EPAs with the EU : evidence from Malawi and Tanzania

This paper provides a comprehensive quantitative analysis of the comparative effects of full and less than full reciprocity under an EU-ACP Economic Partnership Agreement for Malawi and Tanzania. The paper applies a partial equilibrium model to recent trade and elasticity’s data to measure the effects. We find that reciprocity will have welfare-enhancing consumption and trade creation effects but these will be overshadowed by strong welfare-lowering trade diversion and tariff revenue losses leading to non-negligible net welfare losses.

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Bibliographic Details
Format: Conference document biblioteca
Language:eng
Published: 2007-11
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10855/4197
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Summary:This paper provides a comprehensive quantitative analysis of the comparative effects of full and less than full reciprocity under an EU-ACP Economic Partnership Agreement for Malawi and Tanzania. The paper applies a partial equilibrium model to recent trade and elasticity’s data to measure the effects. We find that reciprocity will have welfare-enhancing consumption and trade creation effects but these will be overshadowed by strong welfare-lowering trade diversion and tariff revenue losses leading to non-negligible net welfare losses.