Quantifying Vulnerability to Poverty in Uganda
Robust poverty reduction in Uganda was disrupted by episodes of shocks during recent years. This paper estimates vulnerability to poverty in Uganda and explores the sources and main correlates of vulnerability using the most recent Uganda National Household Survey 2019/20. The analysis reveals that about 50 percent of population in Uganda is vulnerable to poverty. Vulnerability rates are much higher than poverty in rural areas. Urban vulnerability is predominantly risk induced (high volatility of consumption) and mostly associated with idiosyncratic rather than covariate shocks. Rural vulnerability is equally split between risk-induced and poverty-induced vulnerability (permanently low consumption). Although in absolute terms vulnerability due to covariate shocks is still lower than vulnerability due to idiosyncratic shocks, in relative terms covariate shocks are more important in rural areas. Education is found to be one of the key variables related to lower vulnerability to poverty.
| Main Authors: | , , |
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| Format: | Working Paper biblioteca |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Washington, DC: World Bank
2022-04-18
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| Subjects: | QUALITY OF EDUCATION SERVICE, EDUCATION, POVERTY AND EQUITY, POVERTY REDUCTION, |
| Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099453504182233549/IDU09d67fbbb087910490c0a09101e9e0b9e3eb0 http://hdl.handle.net/10986/37318 |
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| Summary: | Robust poverty reduction in Uganda
was disrupted by episodes of shocks during recent years.
This paper estimates vulnerability to poverty in Uganda and
explores the sources and main correlates of vulnerability
using the most recent Uganda National Household Survey
2019/20. The analysis reveals that about 50 percent of
population in Uganda is vulnerable to poverty. Vulnerability
rates are much higher than poverty in rural areas. Urban
vulnerability is predominantly risk induced (high volatility
of consumption) and mostly associated with idiosyncratic
rather than covariate shocks. Rural vulnerability is equally
split between risk-induced and poverty-induced vulnerability
(permanently low consumption). Although in absolute terms
vulnerability due to covariate shocks is still lower than
vulnerability due to idiosyncratic shocks, in relative terms
covariate shocks are more important in rural areas.
Education is found to be one of the key variables related to
lower vulnerability to poverty. |
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