Bulgaria : Options to Improve Security of Gas Supply

This report presents the findings of a study aiming to define the least cost short (up to 2015) and medium term (up to 2020) measures that the Government of Bulgaria (GoB) can implement to meet gas security of supply requirements seen in the light of Bulgaria's vulnerability to gas supply disruptions and its increasingly important role for regional gas cross-border transmission and trade. Bulgarian gas demand is of modest size (3.0 bcm in 2011) and natural gas only plays a small role in Bulgaria's energy mix (14 percent of the total primary energy supply). Over the next ten years gas demand patterns are likely to change, however, and consumption levels are expected to grow steadily. The growth rate of gas demand and its importance in the supply mix will be driven by choices of electricity generation strategy and the rate of household gasification. There is a significant risk that a gas-focused electricity strategy would reduce Bulgaria's overall security of supply. However, this would only be the case if the new gas supply was contracted from the same sources and routes as the existing contracts (from Russia via Ukraine) and if the gas-fired power plants did not have back-up fuels. Conversely, if Bulgaria is able to secure new gas contracts from other sources delivered via new routes, and if back-up fuels are provided at those plants, then Bulgaria could increase its gas consumption while increasing its overall energy security of supply. This issue is at the core of the present report.

Bibliographic Details

Main Author:	World Bank
Format:	Energy Study biblioteca
Language:	English en_US
Published:	Washington, DC 2013-06
Subjects:	ALLOCATION, ALTERNATIVE FUEL, ALTERNATIVE FUELS, ANNUAL COST, ANNUAL COSTS, ANNUAL GROWTH RATE, APPROACH, AVAILABILITY, BALANCE, BILATERAL DONORS, BORDER TRADE, BORDER TRANSMISSION, CALCULATION, CAPACITY UTILIZATION, CAPITAL COST, CAPITAL COSTS, CARBON, CARBON DIOXIDE, CHEMICALS, CLEANER ENERGY, CLIMATE, CLIMATE POLICY, CO, CO2, CO2 EMISSIONS, COAL, COLORS, COMPRESSED NATURAL GAS, COMPRESSOR STATION, CONSTRUCTION, CONTRACTUAL ARRANGEMENTS, COST OF GAS, DEMAND FOR GAS, DEMAND FORECAST, DEPOTS, DISCOUNT FACTOR, DISTRIBUTION COMPANIES, DISTRIBUTION NETWORKS, DISTRICT HEATING, DOMESTIC GAS, DOMESTIC PRODUCTION, DOMESTIC SUPPLY, DOMESTIC USE, DRASTIC MEASURES, ECONOMIC ACTIVITY, ECONOMIC GROWTH, ECONOMIC IMPACT, EFFICIENCY GAINS, EI, ELECTRICITY, ELECTRICITY DEMAND, ELECTRICITY GENERATION, ELECTRICITY SUPPLY, ELECTRICITY SYSTEM, EMISSIONS, ENERGY DEMAND, ENERGY EFFICIENCY, ENERGY GENERATION, ENERGY MIX, ENERGY POLICY, ENERGY SAVINGS, ENERGY SECURITY, ENERGY STRATEGY, EXTRACTION, FEASIBILITY, FOSSIL, FOSSIL FUEL, FUEL, FUEL COSTS, FUEL SOURCES, FUELS, GAS, GAS COMPANY, GAS CONSUMER, GAS CONSUMPTION, GAS CONTRACTS, GAS CORRIDOR, GAS DEMANDS, GAS DISTRIBUTION, GAS DISTRIBUTION NETWORK, GAS FIELD, GAS FIELDS, GAS FLOW, GAS IMPORT, GAS IMPORTS, GAS INFRASTRUCTURE, GAS MARKET DEVELOPMENTS, GAS MARKET OPPORTUNITIES, GAS MARKETS, GAS NETWORKS, GAS PIPELINE, GAS PIPELINES, GAS POLICY, GAS PRODUCTION, GAS RESERVES, GAS RESOURCES, GAS SALE, GAS SECURITY OF SUPPLY, GAS STORAGE CAPACITY, GAS SUPPLIER, GAS SUPPLIERS, GAS SUPPLIES, GAS SUPPLY, GAS SUPPLY INFRASTRUCTURE, GAS SUPPLY SECURITY, GAS SYSTEMS, GAS TRANSMISSION, GAS TRANSMISSION PIPELINE, GAS TRANSMISSION SYSTEM, GAS TRANSPORTATION, GAS TRANSPORTATION SYSTEM, GAS TURBINE, GAS USE, GAS UTILIZATION, GASIFICATION, GENERATION CAPACITY, GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT, HEAT, HEAT GENERATION, HEAVY FUEL OIL, HEAVY INDUSTRY, HIGHER GAS, HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION, IMPORT TERMINALS, INCOME, INDUSTRIAL SECTOR, INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT, LDC, LDCS, LIQUEFIED NATURAL GAS, LNG, LNG FACILITIES, LNG TANKERS, LNG TERMINAL, LNG TERMINALS, LOAD FACTOR, MARKET FOR GAS, NATIONAL GAS, NATIONAL TRANSMISSION, NATIONAL TRANSMISSION SYSTEM, NATURAL GAS, NATURAL GAS DEMAND, NATURAL GAS MARKET, NEGATIVE IMPACT, NUCLEAR PLANT, NUCLEAR POWER, NUCLEAR POWER GENERATION, NUCLEAR POWER PLANT, OFFSHORE GAS, PEAK DEMAND, PIPE, PIPELINE, PIPELINE IMPORTS, PIPELINE PROJECT, PIPELINE ROUTE, PIPELINE SYSTEMS, POWER, POWER CAPACITY, POWER FACILITIES, POWER GENERATION, POWER GENERATION EXPANSION, POWER GENERATION FACILITIES, POWER PLANTS, POWER SECTOR, POWER SECTORS, POWER STATIONS, PRIMARY ENERGY, PRIMARY ENERGY CONSUMPTION, PRIMARY ENERGY SUPPLY, PRIVATE PARTIES, PROBABLE RESERVES, RESERVE MARGIN, RESIDENTIAL CONSUMERS, SCENARIOS, SENSITIVITY ANALYSES, SHIPS, SPOT MARKETS, STORAGE FACILITIES, STREAM, SUPPLIER OF GAS, SUPPLY SIDE, SUSTAINABLE ENERGY, TEMPERATURE, THERMAL POWER, THERMAL POWER PLANT, TOTAL CONSUMPTION, TOTAL COSTS, TOTAL DEMAND, TRADING PARTNERS, TRANSIT GAS, TRANSMISSION CAPACITY, TRANSMISSION ENTITY, TRANSMISSION GRID, TRANSMISSION SYSTEM, UNDERGROUND GAS STORAGE, UNDERGROUND STORAGE, UNDERGROUND STORAGE FACILITY,
Online Access:	http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2013/06/17899907/bulgaria-options-improve-security-gas-supply http://hdl.handle.net/10986/16080
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