Disquiet on the Weather Front : The Welfare Impacts of Climatic Variability in the Rural Philippines

Three recent rounds (2003, 2006, and 2009) of the Family Income and Expenditure Survey are matched to rainfall data from 43 rainfall stations in the Philippines to quantify the extent to which unusual weather has any negative effects on the consumption of Filipino households. It is found that negative rainfall shocks decrease consumption, in particular food consumption. Rainfall below one standard deviation of its long-run average causes food consumption to decrease by about 4 percent, when compared with rainfall within one standard deviation. Positive deviations above one standard deviation have a limited impact. Moreover, for households close to a highway or to a fixed-line phone, consumption appears to be fully protected from the impact of negative rainfall shocks.

Bibliographic Details

Main Authors:	Safir, Abla, Piza, Sharon Faye, Skoufias, Emmanuel
Language:	English en_US
Published:	World Bank, Washington, DC 2013-08
Subjects:	ACCESS TO ELECTRICITY, ACCESS TO INFRASTRUCTURE, ACCESS TO MARKETS, AGRICULTURAL COMMODITIES, AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS, AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY, AGRICULTURAL RESEARCH, AGRICULTURAL WAGE, AMOUNT OF RAINFALL, ANNUAL PRECIPITATION, APPLIED METEOROLOGY, APPROACH TO CLIMATE CHANGE, AVERAGE ANNUAL RAINFALL, BASIC INFRASTRUCTURE, CHANNEL, CHANNELS, CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION, CLIMATE CHANGE RISKS, CLIMATIC RISK, CLIMATIC VARIABILITY, CLIMATIC ZONES, COMMERCIAL BANKS, CONSUMPTION AGGREGATE, CONSUMPTION DATA, CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES, CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES PER CAPITA, COPING MECHANISMS, CREDIT MARKETS, CROP YIELDS, DECREASE IN RAINFALL, DISTRIBUTIONAL IMPACTS, DIVERSIFICATION, DROUGHT, DRY SEASON, ECONOMIC GROWTH, ELECTRICITY, EMPLOYMENT OPPORTUNITIES, EXPOSURE TO CLIMATE CHANGE, EXTREME EVENTS, EXTREME PRECIPITATION, EXTREME PRECIPITATION EVENTS, EXTREME WEATHER, EXTREME WEATHER EVENTS, FAMILY INCOME, FARMER, FARMERS, FARMING, FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS, FINANCIAL SECTOR, FISHING, FLOODS, FOOD AVAILABILITY, FOOD CONSUMPTION, FOOD EXPENDITURE, FOOD EXPENDITURES, FOOD PRICES, FOOD SUPPLY, FORESTRY, FREEZE, HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION, HOUSEHOLD EXPENDITURES, HOUSEHOLD HEAD, HOUSEHOLD LIVING STANDARDS, HOUSEHOLD SIZE, HOUSEHOLD VULNERABILITY, HOUSEHOLD WELFARE, HUMAN CAPITAL, HURRICANES, IMPACT OF CLIMATE, IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE, IMPACT OF RAINFALL, IMPACT OF SHOCKS, IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE, IMPLICATIONS OF CLIMATE CHANGE, INCIDENCE OF POVERTY, INCOME DISTRIBUTION, INCOME FLUCTUATIONS, INCOME SHOCK, INSURANCE, INSURANCE MARKETS, INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE, IPCC, IRRIGATION, LABOR SUPPLY, LOCAL RAINFALL, LOW RAINFALL, METEOROLOGICAL DATA, METEOROLOGICAL ORGANIZATION, NATURAL DISASTERS, NEGATIVE IMPACTS, PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION, POOR HOUSEHOLDS, POOR RURAL HOUSEHOLD, PORTFOLIO, POVERTY LINE, POVERTY RATE, POVERTY REDUCTION, PP, PRICE IMPACTS, PROGRAMS, RAIN, RAINFALL, RAINFALL CONDITIONS, RAINFALL DATA, RAINFALL INCREASES, RAINFALL UNCERTAINTY, RICE PRODUCTION, RISK MANAGEMENT, RURAL AREAS, RURAL HOUSEHOLDS, SAFETY NET, SAFETY NETS, SEASON, SEASONS FOR RICE, SUBSTITUTION, TEMPERATURE, THREAT OF CLIMATE CHANGE, TOTAL CONSUMPTION, TYPHOONS, VARIABILITY OF CLIMATE, VULNERABILITY TO POVERTY, WATER MANAGEMENT, WEATHER PATTERNS, WELFARE BENEFITS, WIND, WMO,
Online Access:	http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2013/08/18125009/disquiet-weather-front-welfare-impacts-climatic-variability-rural-philippines https://hdl.handle.net/10986/16013
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