Rural-urban population projections for Kenya and implications for development
This paper projects the rural and urban populations of Kenya into the future by applying the methodology of multiregional demography. A base run and six alternative scenarios of fertility, mortality, and rural-urban migration are considered. The demographic consequences of these alternative scenarios on employment, demand for food, health, education, and on development in general are analyzed separately for the urban and rural sectors. A general framework for the study of the urbanization process is also proposed.
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| Main Authors: | , , |
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| Format: | Texto biblioteca |
| Language: | |
| Published: |
Laxenburg (Austria) IIASA
Nov
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| Subjects: | DEMOGRAPHY, POPULATION DYNAMICS, FORECASTING, URBAN AREAS, RURAL POPULATION, FERTILITY, MORTALITY, MIGRATION, URBANIZATION, DEMOGRAPHIE, DEMOGRAFIA, DYNAMIQUE DES POPULATIONS, TECHNIQUE DE PREVISION, ZONE URBAINE, POPULATION RURALE, FERTILITE, MORTALITE, URBANISATION, DINAMICA DE POBLACIONES, TECNICAS DE PREDICCION, ZONAS URBANAS, POBLACION RURAL, FERTILIDAD, MORTALIDAD, MIGRACION, URBANIZACION, |
| Online Access: | http://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/942/1/RM-78-055.pdf |
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