Sources of the Incumbency (Dis)Advantage
An emerging literature finds that legislators frequently suffer a negative incumbency advantage in developing countries but disagrees as to the sources of this anti-incumbent bias. We contribute to this literature by examining the case of Brazil, where the extant literature predicts a large incumbency disadvantage. Building a new methodology for OLPR which leverages both inter- and intraparty thresholds, we find, contrary to expectations, a large ‘positive’ incumbency advantage. We further exploit within-country variation and show that this advantage appears to be largest in the least developed areas. Our results suggest that previous work may be confounding country-specific factors with development levels.
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| Main Authors: | , , |
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| Format: | Digital revista |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Associação Brasileira de Ciência Política
2022
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| Online Access: | http://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S1981-38212022000100202 |
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