Predictors of 10-year mortality in a population of community-dwelling Brazilian elderly: the Bambuí cohort study of aging
We used data on 1,399 participants aged 60 and over from the Bambuí Cohort Study of Aging to examine predictors of mortality in a socioeconomically disadvantaged population. From 1997 to 2007, 599 participants died and 6.2% were lost to follow-up, leading to 12,415 person-years (pyrs) of observation. The death rate was 48.3 per 1,000 pyrs. Age (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] = 1.40), male gender (HR = 1.80), never married (HR = 1.78) or a widow (HR = 1.26), poor self-rated health (HR = 1.31), inability to perform four or more activities of daily living (HR = 3.29), number of cardiovascular risk factors (HR = 1.51 for two and HR = 1.91 for three or more), Trypanosoma cruzi infection (HR = 1.27), and number of medications (HR = 1.06) were each significantly (p < 0.05) and independently associated with mortality. The Mini-Mental State Examination score showed a protective effect (HR = 0.96). Except T. cruzi infection, other predictors of mortality were highly consistent with those found in more affluent elderly populations.
Main Authors: | , , , , |
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Format: | Digital revista |
Language: | English |
Published: |
Escola Nacional de Saúde Pública Sergio Arouca, Fundação Oswaldo Cruz
2011
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Online Access: | http://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0102-311X2011001500006 |
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