COMMERCIAL DYNAMICS OF THE MEXICAN TOMATO IN THE FRAMEWORK OF THE USMCA, AN ANALYSIS OF TRADE WITH THE UNITED STATES USING THE GRAVITY MODEL.

Objective: Within the framework of the treaty between Mexico, the United States and Canada (USMCA), the objective of this document is to provide a description through econometric methods of the variables that influence the tomato trade, in addition to describing the dynamics commercial sector in both Mexico and the United States. Design / methodology / approach: A gravity model was applied to investigate and evaluate the role of some of the main economic and geographic variables as determinants of Mexican trade flows. Results: The results show that the most important variables are the US gross national income per capita (GNIPC), as well as US per capita production and consumption volumes calculated from apparent national consumption (ANC); It was also determined that the variable GNIPC is better to determine the model than the gross domestic product per capita (GDPPC), due to the qualities of the variables. Limitations / Implications: Statistical records for the period 1994 to 2020 were considered; considering all varieties of tomato produced and exported. Findings / conclusions: Regarding income, the variable with the best fit in the model was in GNIPC, which was adopted in the current way to classify countries by World Bank income, variables such as consumption and production behaved in a typical way increasing and decreasing the volume traded; the tomato (Lycopersicon esculentum Mill.) is one of the most competitive and profitable agricultural products in Mexico.

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Luquez Gaitan, Carlos Ernesto, Hernández-Mendoza, Natividad, Gómez-Gómez, Alma Alicia
Format: Digital revista
Language:spa
Published: Colegio de Postgraduados 2022
Online Access:https://revista-agroproductividad.org/index.php/agroproductividad/article/view/2190
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