Turkish Treasury Simulation Model for Debt Strategy Analysis

Governments raise funds to meet their financing needs using a range of fixed income securities and loans with different maturities, interest rates, and exchange rate structures. Public debt managers need to consider various policy objectives when deciding on the structure of the public liability portfolio. This paper describes a simulation model developed at the Turkish Treasury to assist the decision-making process in debt strategy formulation. The model is used to analyze the medium and long-term consequences of alternative debt management strategies in terms of cost and risk characteristics, and provides key inputs to decision making.

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Balibek, Emre, Memis, Hamdi Alper
Format: Policy Research Working Paper biblioteca
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2012-06
Subjects:ACCOUNTING, ACCOUNTING STANDARDS, ACCRUAL ACCOUNTING, ADVERSE EFFECT, ADVERSE EFFECTS, AMORTIZATION, AUCTION, AUCTIONS, BOND, BOND ISSUANCES, BOND ISSUES, BOND MARKETS, BOND PORTFOLIO, BONDS, BORROWING REQUIREMENT, BORROWING REQUIREMENTS, BORROWING STRATEGIES, BORROWING STRATEGY, BUSINESS CYCLE, BUY-BACKS, BUYBACK, CASH BALANCES, CASH FLOW, CASH FLOWS, CENTRAL BANK, COMPARABLE MATURITY, COMPOSITION OF DEBT, COMPOSITION OF GOVERNMENT DEBT, CONFIDENTIALITY, CONSUMER PRICE INDEX, COUPON, COUPON BOND, COUPON BONDS, COUPON PAYMENT, COUPON PAYMENT DATES, COUPON PAYMENTS, COUPON PERIODS, COUPON RATE, COUPON RATES, CREDIT RATING, CREDITOR, CURRENCY COMPOSITION, CURRENCY RISK, CURRENCY RISKS, DEBT, DEBT DATABASE, DEBT EXCHANGE, DEBT EXCHANGES, DEBT ISSUANCE, DEBT ISSUANCE STRATEGIES, DEBT MANAGEMENT, DEBT MANAGEMENT AGENCY, DEBT MANAGEMENT POLICIES, DEBT PAYMENTS, DEBT REDEMPTION, DEBT REDEMPTIONS, DEBT REPAYMENTS, DEBT SERVICE, DEBT STOCK, DECISION MAKING, DEFAULT CASE, DERIVATIVE INSTRUMENTS, DEVELOPMENT POLICY, DOLLAR VALUE, ECONOMIC POLICY ENVIRONMENT, ENVIRONMENTAL FACTORS, EUROBOND, EXCHANGE RATE, EXCHANGE RATE MOVEMENTS, EXCHANGE RATE REGIME, EXCHANGE RATES, FINANCIAL ASSETS, FINANCIAL CRISES, FINANCIAL MARKET, FINANCIAL MARKETS, FINANCIAL STABILITY, FINANCING REQUIREMENT, FIXED COUPON, FIXED EXCHANGE RATE, FIXED INCOME, FIXED INCOME SECURITIES, FIXED RATE, FLOATING EXCHANGE RATE, FLOATING RATE, FLOATING RATE NOTE, FLOATING RATE NOTES, FLOATING-RATE NOTE, FLOATING-RATE NOTES, FOREIGN CURRENCIES, FOREIGN CURRENCY, FOREIGN CURRENCY DEBT, FORWARD RATES, GDP, GOVERNMENT BOND, GOVERNMENT BOND YIELDS, GOVERNMENT BONDS, GOVERNMENT BORROWING, GOVERNMENT BUDGET, GROSS DEBT, GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT, GROWTH RATE, INDEXED BONDS, INFLATION, INFLATION RATE, INFLATION RATES, INFLATION TARGETS, INITIAL DEBT, INSTRUMENT, INSURANCE, INSURANCE PREMIUM, INTEREST COST, INTEREST COSTS, INTEREST EXPENDITURES, INTEREST EXPENSES, INTEREST PAYMENT, INTEREST PAYMENTS, INTEREST RATE, INTEREST RATE RISK, INTEREST RATE VOLATILITY, INTEREST RATES, INTEREST-RATE RISK, INTERNATIONAL BANK, INTERNATIONAL BOND, INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS, INTERNATIONAL MARKET, INTERNATIONAL MARKETS, INTERNATIONAL SETTLEMENTS, INVESTING, ISSUANCES, LENDER, LEVEL OF DEBT, LEVEL OF RISK, LIABILITY, LIQUID MARKET, LIQUIDITY, LIQUIDITY RISK, LOAN, LOAN PORTFOLIO, LOCAL CURRENCY, LOCAL DEBT, LOCAL MARKETS, LONG-TERM INTEREST, LONG-TERM INTEREST RATE, LONG-TERM INTEREST RATES, MACROECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT, MACROECONOMIC VARIABLES, MARK-TO-MARKET, MARKET CONDITIONS, MARKET CONFIDENCE, MARKET CONSTRAINTS, MARKET DEMAND, MARKET ENVIRONMENT, MARKET EXPECTATIONS, MARKET INSTRUMENTS, MARKET INTEREST, MARKET INTEREST RATES, MARKET RISK, MARKET VALUE, MARKET VOLATILITY, MATURITIES, MATURITY, MATURITY DATE, MONETARY FUND, NATIONAL DEBT, NATIONAL DEBT OFFICE, NATIONAL TREASURY, NOMINAL INTEREST RATE, OUTPUT, OUTPUT GAP, OUTPUTS, OUTSTANDING DEBT, POLICY RESPONSES, PORTFOLIO, PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT, PORTFOLIO MANAGER, PRINCIPAL PAYMENTS, PRIVATE FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS, PRIVATIZATION, PUBLIC DEBT, PUBLIC DEBT MANAGEMENT, PUBLIC DEBT MANAGER, PUBLIC DEBT MANAGERS, PUBLIC POLICIES, REAL EXCHANGE RATE, REAL EXCHANGE RATES, REGIME CHANGES, REPAYMENT, RETURN, RETURNS, RISK EXPOSURE, RISK FACTORS, RISK MANAGEMENT, RISK MANAGERS, RISK MEASUREMENT, RISK NEUTRAL, RISK PROFILE, RISK PROFILES, RISK REDUCTION, SECONDARY MARKET, SHORT MATURITIES, SHORT-TERM DEBT, SHORT-TERM INSTRUMENTS, SHORT-TERM INTEREST RATE, SHORT-TERM INTEREST RATES, SOVEREIGN DEBT, TECHNICAL ASSISTANCE, TERM STRUCTURE OF INTEREST RATE, TERM STRUCTURE OF INTEREST RATES, TOTAL DEBT, TREASURY, TREASURY BILL, TREASURY BILLS, USE OF DERIVATIVE, VOLATILITIES, WORLD ECONOMY, YIELD CURVE, YIELD CURVE ESTIMATION, YIELD CURVES, ZERO COUPON,
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2012/06/16375748/turkish-treasury-simulation-model-debt-strategy-analysis
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/9329
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