Poverty Impacts of a WTO Agreement: Synthesis and Overview

This paper reports on the findings from a major international research project investigating the poverty impacts of a potential Doha Development Agenda (DDA). It combines in a novel way the results from several strands of research. Intensive analysis of the DDA Framework Agreement pays particularly close attention to potential reforms in agriculture. The scenarios are built up using newly available tariff line data and their implications for world markets are established using a global modeling framework. These world trade impacts, in turn, form the basis for 12 country case studies of the national poverty impacts of these DDA scenarios. The focus countries include Bangladesh, Brazil (two studies), Cameroon, China (two studies), Indonesia, Mexico, Mozambique, the Philippines, Russia, and Zambia. The diversity of approaches taken in these studies allows the paper to reflect local conditions and priorities and illustrates many important facets of the trade and poverty link. It does, however, limit the ability to draw broader conclusions. Thus an additional study provides a 15-country cross-section analysis, and a global analysis provides estimates for the world as a whole.

Bibliographic Details

Main Authors:	Hertel, Thomas W., Winters, L. Alan
Language:	English
Published:	World Bank, Washington, DC 2005-10
Subjects:	AGRICULTURAL EXPORTS, AGRICULTURAL EXTENSION, AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS, AGRICULTURAL SECTOR, AGRICULTURAL SUPPORT, AGRICULTURAL TRADE, APPAREL, APPAREL SECTOR, APPLIED TARIFF, AVERAGE INCOME, AVERAGE TARIFFS, BALANCE OF PAYMENTS, BENCHMARK, CAPITAL MARKET, CASE STUDIES, CASE STUDY, CHANGES IN TRADE, CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK, CONSUMERS, COUNTRY CASE, COUNTRY DATA, COUNTRY LEVEL, DEMAND ELASTICITIES, DEVELOPED COUNTRIES, DEVELOPING COUNTRIES, DEVELOPING COUNTRY, DEVELOPING WORLD, DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS, DEVELOPMENT EFFORTS, DEVELOPMENT GOALS, DISAGGREGATED LEVEL, DISPOSABLE INCOME, DOMESTIC MARKET, DOMESTIC TAX SYSTEM, DUMPING, ECONOMETRIC ESTIMATES, ECONOMIC ACTIVITY, ECONOMIC CONSEQUENCES, ECONOMIC GROWTH, ECONOMIC OUTCOMES, ECONOMICS RESEARCH, EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT, EMPLOYMENT IN AGRICULTURE, EXPORT SUBSIDIES, EXPORT VOLUMES, EXPORTS, FACTOR ENDOWMENTS, FACTOR PRICE, FARM HOUSEHOLDS, FARM PRODUCTS, FARM SECTOR, FARMERS, FINANCIAL SUPPORT, FOOD AID, FOOD EXPORTS, FOOD PRICES, FOOD PRODUCTS, FOOD SECURITY, FULL LIBERALIZATION, GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM MODEL, GINI INDEX, GLOBAL COMPUTABLE GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM, GLOBAL ECONOMY, GLOBAL MARKETPLACE, GLOBAL MARKETS, GLOBAL POVERTY, GLOBAL TRADE, GOVERNMENT SUBSIDIES, GROWTH POTENTIAL, HIGH INCOME COUNTRIES, HOUSEHOLD INCOME, HOUSEHOLD LEVEL, HOUSEHOLD SURVEYS, HOUSEHOLD WELFARE, IMPACT OF TRADE, IMPACT ON POVERTY, INCOME, INCOME COUNTRIES, INCOME DISTRIBUTION, INCOME GAINS, INCOME INEQUALITY, INCOME LEVELS, INCOME SHARE, INCOME SHARES, INCREASED DEMAND, INDIVIDUAL COUNTRIES, INEQUALITY, INFORMAL SECTOR, INTERNATIONAL PRICES, INTERNATIONAL TRADE, LABOR FORCE, LABOR MARKET, LABOR MARKETS, LDCS, LOCAL CONDITIONS, LONG TERM, LOST TARIFF REVENUE, MARKET ACCESS, MIDDLE INCOME COUNTRIES, MULTILATERAL TRADE, MULTILATERAL TRADE LIBERALIZATION, MULTILATERAL TRADE REFORM, NATIONAL POVERTY, NET EXPORTER, NON-POOR HOUSEHOLDS, PATTERN OF TRADE, PATTERNS OF TRADE, PER CAPITA INCOME, POLICY ANALYSIS, POLICY REFORMS, POLICY RESEARCH, POOR, POOR COUNTRIES, POOR HOUSEHOLDS, POOR INFRASTRUCTURE, POVERTY ALLEVIATION, POVERTY ANALYSIS, POVERTY ASSESSMENT, POVERTY HEADCOUNT, POVERTY INCIDENCE, POVERTY INCIDENCE ACROSS REGIONS, POVERTY INCREASE, POVERTY OUTCOMES, POVERTY POLICIES, POVERTY REDUCTION, PRICE INCREASES, PUBLIC FUNDS, REAL INCOME, REAL WAGES, REGIONALISM, RICH COUNTRIES, RURAL, RURAL AREAS, RURAL HOUSEHOLDS, RURAL LABOR, RURAL POVERTY, RURAL PRODUCERS, RURAL REGIONS, SECTOR EMPLOYMENT, SIGNIFICANT FACTOR, SPECIALIZATION, STANDARD DEVIATION, STATIC ANALYSIS, SURPLUS LABOR, TARIFF LEVELS, TARIFF RATES, TAX REVENUES, TAXATION, TRADE AGREEMENTS, TRADE FACILITATION, TRADE LIBERALIZATION, TRADE POLICIES, TRADE POLICY, TRADE REFORM, TRADE REFORMS, TRADE VOLUMES, TRANSPORT COSTS, UNEMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT RATE, URBAN AREAS, URBAN HOUSEHOLDS, URBAN POOR, URBAN POPULATION, URBAN WORKERS, URUGUAY ROUND, WELFARE IMPACTS, WORLD MARKETS, WORLD PRICES, WORLD TRADE, WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION, WTO,
Online Access:	http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2005/10/6350212/poverty-impacts-wto-agreement-synthesis-overview https://hdl.handle.net/10986/8411
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