Ethiopia - A Country Study on the Economic Impacts of Climate Change

It is now widely recognized that low-income countries in tropical and sub-tropical regions will be disproportionally affected by the adverse impacts of climate change. The combination of already fragile environments, dominance of climate-sensitive sectors in economic activity, and low autonomous adaptive capacity in these regions implies a high vulnerability to the harmful effects of global warming on agricultural production and food security, water resources, human health, physical infrastructure and ecosystems. Recent authoritative scientific assessments emphasize that, even under the most optimistic assumptions about the success of future global mitigation action, an acceleration of adaptation efforts in developing countries over the next decades is essential to build resilience and reduce damage costs. The effects of climate change vary across countries, and adaptation and coping capabilities are influenced by geographical, economic, cultural and political factors. Successful adaptation programs must therefore take into account country-specific circumstances. This pilot study aims to develop a methodology that provides an economy-wide framework for analyzing economic impacts from climate change and potential adaptation policies that developing countries might undertake in the near and long term. To accomplish this objective, the paper modifies and extends a dynamic, single-country prototype Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model to include stochastic elements that are characteristic of climate change and a representation of the sectors that are most likely to be affected.

Bibliographic Details

Main Author:	World Bank
Format:	Other Environmental Study biblioteca
Language:	English
Published:	Washington, DC 2008-12
Subjects:	ABSORPTION, ADVERSE IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE, AGGREGATE DEMAND, AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT, AGRICULTURAL EXTENSION, AGRICULTURAL INCOMES, AGRICULTURAL OUTPUT, AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY, AGRICULTURAL RESEARCH, AGRICULTURAL SECTOR, AGRICULTURAL SECTOR PERFORMANCE, AGRICULTURAL SECTORS, AGRICULTURAL VALUE, AGRICULTURE, AGRICULTURE SECTOR, AIR, ALLOWANCE, ALTITUDE, ANNUAL PRECIPITATION, ARABLE LAND, ATMOSPHERE, ATMOSPHERE-OCEAN GENERAL CIRCULATION, BIOMASS, CAPITAL STOCKS, CARBON, CARBON DIOXIDE, CARBON ENRICHMENT, CASH CROPS, CHEMICALS, CLIMATE, CLIMATE ANALYSIS, CLIMATE CHANGE, CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION, CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION STRATEGY, CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT, CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT ASSESSMENTS, CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS, CLIMATE CHANGE ISSUES, CLIMATE CHANGE MODELS, CLIMATE CHANGE SCENARIO, CLIMATE CHANGE STRATEGY, CLIMATE CONDITIONS, CLIMATE FACTORS, CLIMATE IMPACTS, CLIMATE MODELS, CLIMATE OUTCOMES, CLIMATE PREDICTION, CLIMATE REGIME, CLIMATE SCIENCE, CLIMATE SENSITIVE, CLIMATE SHOCK, CLIMATE VARIABILITY, CLIMATE VARIABLES, CLIMATE VARIATION, CLIMATE-SENSITIVE SECTORS, CLIMATIC CHANGE, CLIMATIC CHANGES, CLIMATIC CONDITIONS, CLIMATIC FACTORS, CLIMATIC VARIABILITY, CLIMATIC VARIABLES, CLIMATIC ZONES, CO, CO2, COAL, CROP, CROP MODEL, CROP PRODUCTION, CROP SIMULATION, CROP SIMULATION MODEL, CROP SIMULATION MODELS, CROPLAND, CROPLAND AREA, CROPS, DAMAGES, DEEP WELLS, DEFORESTATION, DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS, DROUGHT, DUST, ECOLOGICAL SYSTEMS, ECOLOGICAL ZONES, ECONOMIC ACTIVITY, ECONOMIC ANALYSIS, ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF CLIMATE CHANGE, ECONOMIC GROWTH, ECONOMIC GROWTH RATE, ECONOMIC IMPACTS, ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF CLIMATE, ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE, ECONOMIC MODELS, ECONOMICS OF CLIMATE CHANGE, ECONOMY-WIDE IMPACTS, ELECTRIC POWER, ELECTRICITY, ELECTRICITY GENERATING, ELECTRICITY GENERATION, ELECTRICITY GENERATION CAPACITY, EMISSION, EMISSION SCENARIO, EMISSION SCENARIOS, EMISSIONS, EMISSIONS SCENARIOS, ESTIMATES OF CLIMATE CHANGE, EVAPORATION, EVAPOTRANSPIRATION, EXOGENOUS SHOCKS, EXTREME EVENTS, EXTREME WEATHER, EXTREME WEATHER EVENTS, FARM OUTPUT, FARMERS, FARMING, FEASIBILITY, FERTILIZATION, FERTILIZER, FERTILIZER USE, FERTILIZERS, FLOODS, FOOD SECURITY, FORESTRY, FUTURE CLIMATE CHANGES, FUTURE CLIMATE VARIABILITY, GAS, GCM, GENERAL CIRCULATION MODEL, GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM MODEL, GENERATION CAPACITY, GLOBAL CLIMATE, GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE, GLOBAL ENVIRONMENT FACILITY, GLOBAL WARMING, GOLD, GREENHOUSE, GREENHOUSE EFFECT, GREENHOUSE GASES, HIGH-RAINFALL EVENTS, HUMIDITY, HYDROLOGICAL CYCLE, IMPACT ANALYSIS, IMPACT OF CLIMATE, IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE, IMPACTS FROM CLIMATE CHANGE, IMPACTS OF CLIMATE VARIABILITY, IMPACTS ON TEMPERATURE, IMPORTS, INCOME, INCREASE IN TEMPERATURE, INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT, INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE, INTERNATIONAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE, IPCC, IRRIGATION POTENTIAL, LABOR PRODUCTIVITY, LAKES, LAND DEGRADATION, LAND SURFACE, LOWER DEMAND, MEAN RAINFALL, MEAN TEMPERATURE, NEGATIVE IMPACT, PER CAPITA INCOME, PESTICIDES, PLANT GROWTH, POLICY ANALYSIS, PORTFOLIO, POWER SUPPLY, PRECIPITATION, PRICE INDEX, PRODUCER PRICE, QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS, RAIN, RAINFALL, RAINFALL DATA, RAINFALL INTENSITY, RAINFALL PATTERNS, RAINFALL VARIABILITY, RAINY SEASON, RAINY SEASONS, REGIONAL CLIMATE, REGIONAL TEMPERATURE, SEASON, SEASONAL CLIMATE, SEASONAL TEMPERATURE, STORMS, SUGAR CANE, SURFACE WATER, TEMPERATURE, TEMPERATURE CHANGE, TEMPERATURE CHANGES, TEMPERATURE RESPONSE, TEMPERATURE RISE, TEMPERATURES, TEMPORAL VARIABILITY, TOTAL ELECTRICITY GENERATION, TROPICAL CYCLONES, TROPICAL REGIONS, TROPICS, TYPHOONS, UNCERTAIN FUTURE CLIMATE, VULNERABILITY TO CLIMATE VARIABILITY, WATER HARVESTING, WEATHER EXTREMES, WHEAT, WIND, WIND FARM, WIND FARMS, WINTER TEMPERATURE, WINTER TEMPERATURES,
Online Access:	http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2008/12/12514858/ethiopia-country-study-economic-impacts-climate-change http://hdl.handle.net/10986/8030
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