Riots, Coups and Civil War : Revisiting the Greed and Grievance Debate

The most influential recent work on the determinants of civil wars found the factors associated with the grievance motivation to be largely irrelevant. Our paper subjects the results of this empirical work to further scrutiny by embedding the study of civil war in a more general analysis of varieties of violent contestation of political power within the borders of the state. Such an approach, we argue, will have important implications for how we think theoretically about the occurrence of domestic war as well as how we specify our empirical tests. In the empirical model, the manifestation of domestic conflict range from low intensity violence and coups to civil war. Our multinomial specification of domestic conflict supports the hypothesis that diversity accentuates distributional conflict and thus increases the risk of civil war. We also find that democracies may be more efficient than autocracies in reducing the risk of civil war.

Bibliographic Details

Main Authors:	Bodea, Cristina, Elbadawi, Ibrahim A.
Format:	Policy Research Working Paper biblioteca
Language:	English
Published:	World Bank, Washington, DC 2007-11
Subjects:	ARMED CONFLICT, ARMED FORCES, ARMY, BANKS, BOUNDARIES, CITIZENS, CIVIL CONFLICT, CIVIL PEACE, CIVIL WAR, CIVIL WAR DATA, CIVIL WAR VARIABLE, CIVIL WARS, COLD WAR, CONFLICT, CONFLICT MANAGEMENT, CONFLICT RESOLUTION, CONFLICTS, COSTS OF REBELLION, COUPS D'ETAT, CYCLE OF VIOLENCE, DEATHS, DEMOCRACY, DEMOCRATIC INSTITUTIONS, DEMOCRATIC POLITICS, DEMOGRAPHIC FACTORS, DEPENDENCE, DISCRIMINATION, DISTRIBUTIONAL CONFLICT, DISTRIBUTIONAL CONFLICTS, DOMESTIC VIOLENCE, ECONOMIC GROWTH, ELECTIONS, ENTREPRENEURS, ETHNIC CONFLICT, ETHNIC DIVERSITY, ETHNIC DIVISION, ETHNIC DOMINANCE, ETHNIC FRACTIONALIZATION, ETHNIC GROUP, ETHNIC GROUPS, ETHNIC HETEROGENEITY, ETHNIC MAJORITY, ETHNIC MINORITIES, ETHNIC POLARIZATION, EXPLOITATION, EXTERNAL SHOCK, EXTERNAL SHOCKS, EXTORTION, GOVERNMENT REPRESSION, GRIEVANCE MOTIVATION, GROWTH COLLAPSES, HIGH RISK, HUMAN CAPITAL, INCOME PER CAPITA, INEQUITIES, INSTITUTIONAL CAPACITY, INTERNATIONAL BANK, INTERNATIONAL SECURITY, JOURNAL OF CONFLICT RESOLUTION, JOURNALISTS, LARGE POPULATIONS, LOCAL COMMUNITIES, LOW INTENSITY CONFLICT, MEASURE OF FRACTIONALIZATION, MIGRATION, MILITARY SPENDING, MILITARY STRATEGY, MINORITY, MODEL OF CONFLICT, NATIONALISM, NATIONS, NATURAL RESOURCES, NUMBER OF DEATHS, PEACE, PEACE RESEARCH, PEACEFUL RESOLUTION OF CONFLICT, POLARIZATION, POLICE, POLICY RESEARCH, POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER, POLITICAL CHANGE, POLITICAL CONFLICT, POLITICAL INSTABILITY, POLITICAL PARTICIPATION, POLITICAL POWER, POLITICAL PROCESS, POLITICAL RIGHTS, POLITICAL SYSTEMS, POLITICAL VIOLENCE, POPULOUS COUNTRIES, POST-CONFLICT, PROGRESS, REBEL, REBEL GROUPS, REBEL LEADERS, REBEL MOVEMENTS, REBEL ORGANIZATION, REBEL ORGANIZATIONS, REBEL RECRUITMENT, REBELLION, REBELLIONS, REBELS, RECONSTRUCTION, REFUGEES, RELIGIOUS DIVERSITY, RELIGIOUS FRACTIONALIZATION, RESPECT, RICHER COUNTRIES, RIOT, RIOTS, RISK OF CONFLICT, RISK OF WAR, SOCIAL CONFLICT, SOCIAL CONFLICTS, SOCIAL DIVERSITY, SOCIAL FRACTIONALIZATION, SPATIAL DISPERSION, STATE UNIVERSITY, TERRORISM, TERRORIST, URBAN BIAS, VIOLENCE, VIOLENT CONFLICT, VIOLENT MEANS, VIOLENT PROTEST,
Online Access:	http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2007/11/8691295/riots-coups-civil-war-revisiting-greed-grievance-debate http://hdl.handle.net/10986/7519
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