The authors analyze the relationship
between ethnic polarization and the duration of civil wars.
Several recent papers have argued that the uncertainty about
the relative power of the contenders in a war will tend to
increase its duration. In these models, uncertainty is
directly related to the relative size of the contenders. The
authors argue that the duration of civil wars increases the
more polarized a society is. Uncertainty is not necessarily
linked to the structure of the population but it could be
traced back to the measurement of the size of the different
groups in the society. Given a specific level of measurement
error or uncertainty, more polarization implies lengthier
wars. The empirical results show that ethnically polarized
countries have to endure longer civil wars than ethnically
less polarized societies.
Bibliographic Details
| Main Authors: |
Montalvo, Jose G.,
Reynal-Querol, Marta |
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| Format: | Policy Research Working Paper
biblioteca
|
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| Language: | English |
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| Published: |
World Bank, Washington, DC
2007-04
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| Subjects: | ARMED CONFLICT,
ARMED CONFLICTS,
ARMY,
CIVIL WAR,
CIVIL WARS,
CONFLICTS,
DEMOCRACY,
DEVELOPMENT POLICY,
DIASPORA,
DISPUTES,
DURATION OF CONFLICT,
DURATION OF WARS,
ECONOMIC GROWTH,
ETHNIC CONFLICT,
ETHNIC DIVERSITY,
ETHNIC DIVISIONS,
ETHNIC FRACTIONALIZATION,
ETHNIC FRAGMENTATION,
ETHNIC GROUP,
ETHNIC GROUPS,
ETHNIC HETEROGENEITY,
ETHNIC MAJORITY,
ETHNIC MINORITY,
ETHNIC POLARIZATION,
GENOCIDE,
HAZARD FUNCTION,
HUMAN LIFE,
INCOME,
INCOME INEQUALITY,
INTENSITY OF CONFLICT,
INTERNATIONAL CONFLICT,
JOURNAL OF CONFLICT RESOLUTION,
MEASUREMENT OF POLARIZATION,
NATURAL RESOURCES,
NUMBER OF ETHNIC GROUPS,
OPPORTUNITY COST,
PEACE,
PEACE RESEARCH,
POLICY RESEARCH,
POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER,
POLITICAL INSTABILITY,
POLITICAL SYSTEMS,
POPULATION INCREASE,
POST-CONFLICT,
PROBABILITY OF WAR,
PROGRESS,
REBEL GROUP,
REBEL VICTORY,
REBELLION,
RELIGIOUS CONFLICT,
RELIGIOUS FRACTIONALIZATION,
RISK FACTOR,
RISK OF CONFLICT,
RULE OF LAW,
SOCIAL CONFLICTS,
SOCIAL POLARIZATION,
STATE CONFLICTS,
VIOLENCE,
WAR DURATION,
WAR LITERATURE,
WARFARE,
WARTIME, |
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| Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2007/04/7523819/ethnic-polarization-duration-civil-wars
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/7009
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