Climate Change, Urban Expansion, and Food Production
Where and how cities grow will influence food production and the risks to food production. This paper estimates the overlap of future urban expansion in 2040 and 2100 with current crop and livestock production under different climate scenarios. First, it finds that urban areas will expand most into areas with fruits, vegetables, and chickens, and urban areas will expand most under a scenario with significant challenges to climate change mitigation. Second, the share of food producing areas that will overlap with urban expansion will be largest in Africa, particularly under a scenario of significant challenges to climate change adaptation. Third, across all scenarios, urban expansion is likely to take place in areas with higher crop or livestock production, but even more so when there are significant challenges to both mitigation and adaptation.
| Main Authors: | , , |
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| Format: | Working Paper biblioteca |
| Language: | English English |
| Published: |
World Bank, Washington, DC
2023-04-20
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| Subjects: | FOOD INSECURITY, AGRICULTURE ADAPTATION TO CLIMATE CHANGE, LAND USE AND AGRICULTURE, FOOD AND CLIMATE CHANGE, CLIMATE CHANGE MITIGATION, CLIMATE CHANGE, URBAN EXPANSION, AGRICULTURE, CROPS AND CLIMATE, LIVESTOCK FARMING, |
| Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099418404172331018/IDU04cee93890b4640460f08efa003d2e7d26ded https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/39715 |
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