How Much Oil is the Islamic State Group Producing?
Accurately measuring oil production in low-governance contexts is an important task. Many terrorist organizations and insurgencies -- including the Islamic State group, also known as ISIL/ISIS or Daesh -- tap oil as a revenue source. Understanding spatial and temporal variation in production in their territory can help address such threats by providing near real-time monitoring of their revenue streams, helping to assess long-term economic potential, and informing reconstruction strategies. More broadly, remotely measuring extractive industry activity in conflict-affected areas and other regions without reliable administrative data can support a broad range of public policy decisions and academic research. This paper uses satellite multi-spectral imaging and ground-truth pre-war output data to effectively construct a real-time day-to-day census of oil production in areas controlled by the terrorist group. The estimates of production levels were approximately 56,000 barrels per day (bpd) from July-December 2014, drop to an average of 35,000 bpd throughout 2015, before dropping further to approximately 16,000 bpd in 2016.
| Main Authors: | , , , , , , , |
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| Format: | Working Paper biblioteca |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
World Bank, Washington, DC
2017-10
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| Subjects: | OIL, REMOTE SENSING, FLARING, ISLAMIC STATE, OIL PRODUCTION, OIL REVENUE, ISIL, ISIS, DAESH, |
| Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/239611509455488520/How-much-oil-is-the-Islamic-state-group-producing-evidence-from-remote-sensing https://hdl.handle.net/10986/28617 |
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