Inside the Crisis : An Empirical Analysis of Banking Systems in Distress
Much of the substantial literature on
banking crises, focuses on early warning indicators. The
authors look at what happens to the economy, and the banking
sector after a banking crisis breaks out. Much of the theory
of banking crises assigns a central role to depositor runs,
with vulnerability to runs viewed as a basic characteristic
of banks as financial intermediaries. But banking systems
can be financially distressed, even when depositors do not
withdraw their deposits, if other bank creditors rush for
the exit, or if banks become insolvent. Are contemporary
banking crises characterized by large declines in deposits?
The authors find that contemporary banking crises are not
accompanied by declines in aggregate bank deposits, and
credit does not fall relative to output, but the growth of
both deposits, and credit does slow down substantially.
Output recovery begins the second year after the crisis, and
is not led by a resumption of credit growth. Instead, banks
(including the stronger banks) reallocate their asset
portfolio away from loans. This suggests that protecting
deposits during a banking crisis, may not be enough to
protect bank credit, as lack of usable collateral, and poor
borrower creditworthiness, discourage banks from lending.
However, protecting bank credit may not be a priority right
after a crisis, as the real economy can rebound without it,
at least while there is substantial under-used capacity.
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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: |
Detragiache, Enrica,
Demirguc-Kunt, Asli,
Gupta, Poonam |
Language: | English en_US |
Published: |
World Bank, Washington, DC
2000-08
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Subjects: | ASSET MANAGEMENT,
ASSET PRICES,
BAILOUT COSTS,
BANK ASSETS,
BANK CAPITAL,
BANK CREDIT,
BANK DEPOSITS,
BANK FAILURES,
BANK LENDING,
BANK LIQUIDITY,
BANK LOANS,
BANK RECAPITALIZATION,
BANK RUNS,
BANK SAFETY,
BANKING CRISES,
BANKING CRISIS,
BANKING DEPOSITS,
BANKING SECTOR,
BANKING SYSTEM,
BANKING SYSTEMS,
BANKS,
BONDS,
CAPITALIZATION,
CENTRAL BANK,
CENTRAL BANK LENDING,
CENTRAL BANKS,
CONTINGENT LIABILITIES,
COVERAGE,
CURRENCY CRISES,
CURRENCY DEPRECIATION,
DEBT,
DEFAULT RISK,
DEFICITS,
DEMAND DEPOSITS,
DEPOSIT GUARANTEES,
DEPOSIT INSURANCE,
DEPOSITORS,
DEPOSITS,
DISTRESSED BANKS,
EARNING ASSETS,
EMERGING MARKETS,
EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS,
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ATLANTA,
FINANCIAL CRISES,
FINANCIAL CRISIS,
FINANCIAL DISTRESS,
FINANCIAL INTERMEDIARIES,
FINANCIAL INTERMEDIATION,
FOREIGN BANKS,
FOREIGN CURRENCY DEPOSITS,
FOREIGN EXCHANGE,
GDP,
GDP PER CAPITA,
GROWTH RATE,
INFLATION,
INSOLVENCY,
INTEREST MARGIN,
INTEREST RATE,
INTEREST RATES,
LENDER OF LAST RESORT,
LOAN LOSS PROVISIONS,
MACROECONOMIC POLICIES,
MACROECONOMIC SHOCKS,
MARKET DISCIPLINE,
MERGERS,
MONETARY AUTHORITIES,
MONETARY POLICIES,
OPERATING COSTS,
OVERHEAD COSTS,
POLITICAL ECONOMY,
PROFITABILITY,
RATE OF EXCHANGE,
REAL INTEREST RATE,
REAL SECTOR,
RESERVES,
RETURN ON ASSETS,
RISK PREMIUMS,
SAFETY NETS,
SECURITIES,
SMALL BANKS,
SYSTEMIC BANKING CRISES,
TIME DEPOSITS,
TIME SERIES,
TRANSITION ECONOMIES,
VALUATION, |
Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2000/08/693219/inside-crisis-empirical-analysis-banking-systems-distress
https://hdl.handle.net/10986/19812
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