Updating Investment Forecasts with Macro Consistency

This technical note presents a model to evaluate the costs and benefits of plans to scale up public investment. It creates a theoretical framework that considers the positive effects of investment on growth and, in turn, the impact it can have on government fiscal accounts, particularly debt service. This note is accompanied by a template that implements the proposed methodology, which the author hopes will be useful for the work of country economists at the Inter-American Development Bank.

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Inter-American Development Bank
Other Authors: John Leon-Diaz
Language:English
Published: Inter-American Development Bank
Subjects:Investment, Public Investment, Gross Domestic Product, Public Finance, Economy, Medium-Term Fiscal Framework, Economic Development, Public Expenditure, GDP Growth, Fiscal Sustainability, Private Investment, H50 - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General, H68 - Forecasts of Budgets Deficits and Debt, E17 - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications, public investment;Investment Projections;Debt Sustainability Analysis;Macro Consistency,
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.18235/0004882
https://publications.iadb.org/en/updating-investment-forecasts-macro-consistency
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