Understanding the Growth of the Middle Class in Bolivia

In this paper we aim to disentangle how sectoral economic growth affects the growth of the middle class size using state-level data of Bolivia from 2000 to 2017, a country with limited data, breaking the three main economic activities into subsectors aiming for more specific results. By means of a Bayesian hierarchical longitudinal model for small samples, we find that the commerce and services sectors have the biggest impact, even though mining and agriculture also have a positive effect on the increase of the middle class in Bolivia. Our results also suggest that both formality and public social investment have a significant, yet smaller, effect.

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Inter-American Development Bank
Other Authors: Javier Beverinotti
Language:English
Published: Inter-American Development Bank
Subjects:Poverty, Poverty Reduction, Economic Development, Informal Labor, Economic Expansion, Middle Class, C23 - Panel Data Models • Spatio-temporal Models, D63 - Equity Justice Inequality and Other Normative Criteria and Measurement, O41 - One Two and Multisector Growth Models, I32 - Measurement and Analysis of Poverty, economic growth;Informality;middle class,
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.18235/0003407
https://publications.iadb.org/en/understanding-growth-middle-class-bolivia
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