Proposta metodológica para avaliação dos impactos das mudanças climáticas em pragas quarentenárias: estudo de caso em praga do coqueiro no Brasil.
The aim of this work was to apply the instrument of geographic information system (GIS) to evaluate the impacts of climatic changes on the geografic distribuition of quarantine pests in Brazil, based on scenarios of greenhouse gas emitions of the Forth Assesment Report Reports of the IPCC. Towards the economic importance of brazilian agriculture and the imminent threat of climatic changes and the possible consequences on the phytossanitary dynamics on crops, became necessary the study of spatial and temporal distribuition simulations. The GIS presented itself as a powerfull implement that can be used to evaluate the probability of future damages and pest risky analysis on the country?s field. The maps of monthly projections to favorable areas to the occurrence of red palm mite (Raoiella indica Hirst) to the period of 1961-1990 and to the period of 2071-2100, A2 scenario of grennhouse gas emitions , they were elaborated using spatial operations of mathematical and logical expressions. The areas with climate favorability ranges to the red palm mite were calculated to Brazil. Currently the red palm mite in Brazil has its occurrence restricted , notwithstanding , with climatic changes the future predicts more favorable conditions , when compared to the 1961-1990 weather.
| Main Authors: | , , , , |
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| Other Authors: | |
| Format: | Separatas biblioteca |
| Language: | pt_BR por |
| Published: |
2013-08-05
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| Subjects: | Geoprocessamento, Raoiella indica Hirst, Mudanças climáticas, Ácaro vermelho das palmeiras., Sensoriamento remoto, Ácaro vermelho, Coco, Praga de planta, Cocos Nucifera, Sistema de Informação Geográfica., Geographic information systems, Mites, Plant pests, Climate change., |
| Online Access: | http://www.alice.cnptia.embrapa.br/alice/handle/doc/963336 |
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