Epidemiological and economic evaluation of foot-and-mouth disease control strategies in the Netherlands
A Markov chain model on the microcomputer is presented, in which a variety of control strategies with respect to foot-and-mouth disease (FMB) in cattle and pig herds can be examined economically. From an epidemiological point of view, the most favourable results for the Netherlands were obtained under the strategy currently being applied, i.e. annual vaccination of the cattle population in combination with stamping out affected herds and ring vaccination when the disease does occur. From an economic point of view, however, it was found that the annual costs are considerably reduced when ceasing the prophylactic routine vaccination, provided that adequate measures are carried out in case of an outbreak. This conclusion in favour of a nonvaccinated population was hardly influenced by more pessimistic values for the major uncertain-input factors, and not likely to be outranged by indirect costs due to an increased risk for export bans. More research in underway to model these indirect losses more precisely
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| Format: | biblioteca |
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1989
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| Subjects: | EPIDEMIOLOGIA, VIROSIS, FIEBRE AFTOSA, BOVINOS, CERDO, CONTROL DE ENFERMEDADES, EVALUACION ECONOMICA, MICROCOMPUTADOR, UMBRAL ECONOMICO, PAISES BAJOS, |
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