Synchronous failure : The emerging causal architecture of global crisis

Recent global crises reveal an emerging pattern of causation that could increasingly characterize the birth and progress of future global crises. A conceptual framework identifies this pattern’s deep causes, intermediate processes, and ultimate outcomes. The framework shows how multiple stresses can interact within a single social-ecological system to cause a shift in that system’s behavior, how simultaneous shifts of this kind in several largely discrete social-ecological systems can interact to cause a far larger intersystemic crisis, and how such a larger crisis can then rapidly propagate across multiple system boundaries to the global scale. Case studies of the 2008-2009 financial-energy and food-energy crises illustrate the framework. Suggestions are offered for future research to explore further the framework’s propositions. © 2015 by the author(s).

Bibliographic Details

Main Authors:	Homer-Dixon, T., Walker, B., Biggs, R., Crepin, A.S., Folke, C., Lambin, E.F., Peterson, G.D., Rockstrom, J., Scheffer, M., Troell, M.
Format:	Article/Letter to editor biblioteca
Language:	English
Subjects:	Climate change, Conventional oil, Financial system, Global crises, Grain supply, Social-ecological system,
Online Access:	https://research.wur.nl/en/publications/synchronous-failure-the-emerging-causal-architecture-of-global-cr
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