Future wood supply from European forests; implications for the pulp and paper industry
The aim of this study is to provide quantitative insight into future actual supply of wood as a raw material (between 2005 and 2060) from European forests (36 countries). To do so, the degree to which apparent demand can be met is quantified with a forest resource model (resulting in the actual supply). This actual supply is tested for two sets of management regimes: ‘projection of historical management’ and ‘new management trends’. The results indicate that if new trends in forest management and supply behaviour continue to develop as in the recent past, an additional theoretical shortfall of 195 million m3 roundwood per year can be expected by 2060 in 36 European countries. The European part of Russia is not able to reduce the shortfall, because of its own demand developing. These shortfalls have to be understood as theoretical shortfalls; they visualise what may happen if no market adaptations occur in the future. Under this projected shortfall, the total growing stock in European forests (incl. European part of Russia) still increases from 51 billion m3 in 2005 to 62 billion m3 in 2060
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| Format: | External research report biblioteca |
| Language: | Dutch |
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Alterra
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| Subjects: | biobased economy, bioenergy, carbon cycle, europe, forest management, forest statistics, supply, wood, aanbod, bio-energie, bosbedrijfsvoering, bosstatistieken, europa, hout, koolstofcyclus, |
| Online Access: | https://research.wur.nl/en/publications/future-wood-supply-from-european-forests-implications-for-the-pul |
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dig-wur-nl-wurpubs-3328832024-06-25 Nabuurs, G.J. Schelhaas, M.J. Ouwehand, A. Pussinen, A. van Brusselen, J. Pesonen, E. Schurck, A. Jans, M.F.F.W. Kuiper, L. External research report Future wood supply from European forests; implications for the pulp and paper industry 2003 The aim of this study is to provide quantitative insight into future actual supply of wood as a raw material (between 2005 and 2060) from European forests (36 countries). To do so, the degree to which apparent demand can be met is quantified with a forest resource model (resulting in the actual supply). This actual supply is tested for two sets of management regimes: ‘projection of historical management’ and ‘new management trends’. The results indicate that if new trends in forest management and supply behaviour continue to develop as in the recent past, an additional theoretical shortfall of 195 million m3 roundwood per year can be expected by 2060 in 36 European countries. The European part of Russia is not able to reduce the shortfall, because of its own demand developing. These shortfalls have to be understood as theoretical shortfalls; they visualise what may happen if no market adaptations occur in the future. Under this projected shortfall, the total growing stock in European forests (incl. European part of Russia) still increases from 51 billion m3 in 2005 to 62 billion m3 in 2060 nl Alterra application/pdf https://research.wur.nl/en/publications/future-wood-supply-from-european-forests-implications-for-the-pul https://edepot.wur.nl/7734 biobased economy bioenergy carbon cycle europe forest management forest statistics supply wood aanbod bio-energie biobased economy bosbedrijfsvoering bosstatistieken europa hout koolstofcyclus Wageningen University & Research |
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| topic |
biobased economy bioenergy carbon cycle europe forest management forest statistics supply wood aanbod bio-energie biobased economy bosbedrijfsvoering bosstatistieken europa hout koolstofcyclus biobased economy bioenergy carbon cycle europe forest management forest statistics supply wood aanbod bio-energie biobased economy bosbedrijfsvoering bosstatistieken europa hout koolstofcyclus |
| spellingShingle |
biobased economy bioenergy carbon cycle europe forest management forest statistics supply wood aanbod bio-energie biobased economy bosbedrijfsvoering bosstatistieken europa hout koolstofcyclus biobased economy bioenergy carbon cycle europe forest management forest statistics supply wood aanbod bio-energie biobased economy bosbedrijfsvoering bosstatistieken europa hout koolstofcyclus Nabuurs, G.J. Schelhaas, M.J. Ouwehand, A. Pussinen, A. van Brusselen, J. Pesonen, E. Schurck, A. Jans, M.F.F.W. Kuiper, L. Future wood supply from European forests; implications for the pulp and paper industry |
| description |
The aim of this study is to provide quantitative insight into future actual supply of wood as a raw material (between 2005 and 2060) from European forests (36 countries). To do so, the degree to which apparent demand can be met is quantified with a forest resource model (resulting in the actual supply). This actual supply is tested for two sets of management regimes: ‘projection of historical management’ and ‘new management trends’. The results indicate that if new trends in forest management and supply behaviour continue to develop as in the recent past, an additional theoretical shortfall of 195 million m3 roundwood per year can be expected by 2060 in 36 European countries. The European part of Russia is not able to reduce the shortfall, because of its own demand developing. These shortfalls have to be understood as theoretical shortfalls; they visualise what may happen if no market adaptations occur in the future. Under this projected shortfall, the total growing stock in European forests (incl. European part of Russia) still increases from 51 billion m3 in 2005 to 62 billion m3 in 2060 |
| format |
External research report |
| topic_facet |
biobased economy bioenergy carbon cycle europe forest management forest statistics supply wood aanbod bio-energie biobased economy bosbedrijfsvoering bosstatistieken europa hout koolstofcyclus |
| author |
Nabuurs, G.J. Schelhaas, M.J. Ouwehand, A. Pussinen, A. van Brusselen, J. Pesonen, E. Schurck, A. Jans, M.F.F.W. Kuiper, L. |
| author_facet |
Nabuurs, G.J. Schelhaas, M.J. Ouwehand, A. Pussinen, A. van Brusselen, J. Pesonen, E. Schurck, A. Jans, M.F.F.W. Kuiper, L. |
| author_sort |
Nabuurs, G.J. |
| title |
Future wood supply from European forests; implications for the pulp and paper industry |
| title_short |
Future wood supply from European forests; implications for the pulp and paper industry |
| title_full |
Future wood supply from European forests; implications for the pulp and paper industry |
| title_fullStr |
Future wood supply from European forests; implications for the pulp and paper industry |
| title_full_unstemmed |
Future wood supply from European forests; implications for the pulp and paper industry |
| title_sort |
future wood supply from european forests; implications for the pulp and paper industry |
| publisher |
Alterra |
| url |
https://research.wur.nl/en/publications/future-wood-supply-from-european-forests-implications-for-the-pul |
| work_keys_str_mv |
AT nabuursgj futurewoodsupplyfromeuropeanforestsimplicationsforthepulpandpaperindustry AT schelhaasmj futurewoodsupplyfromeuropeanforestsimplicationsforthepulpandpaperindustry AT ouwehanda futurewoodsupplyfromeuropeanforestsimplicationsforthepulpandpaperindustry AT pussinena futurewoodsupplyfromeuropeanforestsimplicationsforthepulpandpaperindustry AT vanbrusselenj futurewoodsupplyfromeuropeanforestsimplicationsforthepulpandpaperindustry AT pesonene futurewoodsupplyfromeuropeanforestsimplicationsforthepulpandpaperindustry AT schurcka futurewoodsupplyfromeuropeanforestsimplicationsforthepulpandpaperindustry AT jansmffw futurewoodsupplyfromeuropeanforestsimplicationsforthepulpandpaperindustry AT kuiperl futurewoodsupplyfromeuropeanforestsimplicationsforthepulpandpaperindustry |
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1813209252778475520 |