Intertemporal Adjustment and Fiscal Policy Under a Fixed Exchange Rate Regime

The paper presents a dynamic model for small to medium open economies operating under a fixed exchange rate regime. The model provides a partial explanation of the channels through which fiscal and monetary policy affects the real exchange rate. An empirical investigation is conducted for the case of Argentina during the currency board period of 1991-2001. Empirical estimates show that fiscal policy may indeed be an efficient instrument for promoting macroeconomic stability insofar as it encourages convergence toward long-run equilibrium and alters the long-term balance between exports and consumption, both private and public. The simulation applied to Argentina shows that if the share of public spending in the economy is higher than the share of imports, an increase in the tax rate will stimulate capital stock slightly, at least in the short term, and depreciate the real effective exchange rate. In the long run, the fiscal policy affects the value of the real exchange rate and consequently external competitiveness.

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Aloy, Marcel, Moreno-Dodson, Blanca, Nancy, Gilles
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2008-04
Subjects:ABSENCE OF STERILIZATION, ACTUAL VALUES, ADJUSTMENT MECHANISM, AGGREGATE CONSUMPTION, BALANCE OF PAYMENTS, BUDGET DEFICIT, BUSINESS CYCLE, BUSINESS CYCLES, CAPITAL ACCUMULATION, CAPITAL INFLOW, CAPITAL INFLOWS, CAPITAL MOVEMENTS, CAPITAL STOCK, CASH BALANCE, CASH BALANCES, CENTRAL BANK, CONSUMER PRICE INDEX, CONSUMERS, CONSUMPTION PRICE INDEX, CONSUMPTION SPENDING, CONTROL VARIABLE, CORRELATION COEFFICIENTS, CREDIBILITY, CURRENCY, CURRENCY BOARD, CURRENCY BOARD ARRANGEMENT, CURRENCY BOARDS, CURRENCY CRISES, CURRENT ACCOUNT, CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT, CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICITS, CURRENT ACCOUNTS, DEBT SERVICE, DEPENDENT VARIABLE, DEPRECIATION, DEPRECIATION RATE, DERIVATIVE, DERIVATIVES, DEVELOPING COUNTRIES, DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS, DISCOUNT RATE, DOMESTIC BANKING, DOMESTIC BANKING SYSTEM, DOMESTIC CONSUMPTION, DOMESTIC CREDIT, DOMESTIC GOOD, DOMESTIC GOODS, DOMESTIC INFLATION, DOMESTIC MONEY SUPPLY, DOMESTIC PRICES, DYNAMIC ANALYSIS, ECONOMETRIC ESTIMATES, ECONOMIC POLICY, ELASTICITY, ELASTICITY OF EXPORTS, EMERGING ECONOMIES, EQUATIONS, EQUILIBRIUM LEVEL, EXCHANGE RATE CRISES, EXCHANGE RATE FLUCTUATIONS, EXCHANGE RATE REGIMES, EXCHANGE RATE VOLATILITY, EXOGENOUS INCOME, EXPENDITURE, EXTERNAL COMPETITIVENESS, EXTERNAL DEBT, EXTERNAL INDEBTEDNESS, EXTERNAL SHOCK, EXTERNAL SHOCKS, FINANCIAL CRISIS, FISCAL BALANCE, FISCAL DEFICIT, FISCAL DISCIPLINE, FISCAL POLICIES, FISCAL POLICY, FISCAL THEORY, FIXED EXCHANGE RATE, FIXED EXCHANGE RATE REGIME, FIXED EXCHANGE RATES, FLOATING REGIMES, FOREIGN ASSETS, FOREIGN CURRENCY, FOREIGN DEBT, FOREIGN EXCHANGE, FOREIGN EXCHANGE RESERVES, FOREIGN INFLATION, FOREIGN INTEREST, FOREIGN INTEREST RATE, FOREIGN INTEREST RATES, FOREIGN LOANS, FOREIGN RATE, FOREIGN REAL INTEREST RATE, FOREIGN REAL INTEREST RATES, GDP, GOLD, GOLD STANDARD, GOVERNMENT BUDGET, GOVERNMENT CONSUMPTION, GOVERNMENT DEBT, GOVERNMENT REVENUES, GOVERNMENT SPENDING, GROWTH RATE, GROWTH RATES, HARD PEG, HOME COUNTRY, IMBALANCES, IMPACT ON PRICE, IMPERFECT CAPITAL MOBILITY, IMPORTS, INDEBTEDNESS, INFLATION, INFLATION ANCHORS, INFLATION RATE, INFLATION RATES, INSTRUMENT, INTEREST RATE PARITY, INTEREST RATES, INTERMEDIATE REGIMES, INTERNATIONAL BANK, INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS, INTERNATIONAL INFLATION, INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND, INTERNATIONAL PRICES, LIBERALIZATION, LIQUIDITY, LOCAL CURRENCY, LONG RUN EQUILIBRIUM, LONG-RUN EQUILIBRIUM, LONG-TERM CAPITAL, MACROECONOMIC ADJUSTMENT, MACROECONOMIC EVENTS, MACROECONOMIC FLUCTUATIONS, MACROECONOMIC MODEL, MACROECONOMIC STABILITY, MARGINAL PRODUCTIVITY, MARKET EQUILIBRIUM, MONETARY AUTHORITIES, MONETARY AUTHORITY, MONETARY DISCIPLINE, MONETARY MODEL, MONETARY POLICIES, MONETARY POLICY, MONETARY REGIMES, MONETARY UNIONS, MONEY DEMAND, MONEY GROWTH, MONEY MARKET, MONEY STOCK, MONEY SUPPLY, MULTIPLIERS, NOMINAL ANCHORS, NOMINAL EXCHANGE RATE, OPEN ECONOMIES, OPEN ECONOMY, OPTIMIZATION, OUTPUT, OUTPUT RATIO, PERMANENT SHOCK, POLITICAL ECONOMY, POPULATION GROWTH, POVERTY REDUCTION, PRICE STABILITY, PRIVATE CAPITAL, PRIVATE CONSUMPTION, PRODUCTION FUNCTION, PUBLIC ASSETS, PUBLIC CONSUMPTION, PUBLIC DEBT, PUBLIC DEFICIT, PUBLIC ECONOMICS, PUBLIC EXPENDITURES, PUBLIC SECTOR, PUBLIC SPENDING, PURCHASING POWER, PURCHASING POWER PARITY, RATE OF GROWTH, RATE OF INFLATION, REAL CONSUMPTION, REAL EFFECTIVE EXCHANGE RATE, REAL EXCHANGE RATE, REAL INTEREST, REAL INTEREST RATE, REAL TERMS, RECESSION, RELATIVE PRICE, RELATIVE PRICES, RISK PREMIUM, SAVINGS, SEIGNORAGE, SHORT-TERM CAPITAL, SLOWDOWN, STEADY STATE, STOCK CHANGE, STOCK RETURNS, SUPPLY CONSTRAINT, SURPLUS, TAX, TAX INCREASE, TAX RATE, TAX RATES, TIME HORIZON, TRADING, UTILITY FUNCTION, WEALTH, WITHDRAWAL, WORLD DEMAND,
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2008/04/9384583/intertemporal-adjustment-fiscal-policy-under-fixed-exchange-rate-regime
https://hdl.handle.net/10986/6704
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libraryname Biblioteca del Banco Mundial
language English
topic ABSENCE OF STERILIZATION
ACTUAL VALUES
ADJUSTMENT MECHANISM
AGGREGATE CONSUMPTION
BALANCE OF PAYMENTS
BUDGET DEFICIT
BUSINESS CYCLE
BUSINESS CYCLES
CAPITAL ACCUMULATION
CAPITAL INFLOW
CAPITAL INFLOWS
CAPITAL MOVEMENTS
CAPITAL STOCK
CASH BALANCE
CASH BALANCES
CENTRAL BANK
CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
CONSUMERS
CONSUMPTION PRICE INDEX
CONSUMPTION SPENDING
CONTROL VARIABLE
CORRELATION COEFFICIENTS
CREDIBILITY
CURRENCY
CURRENCY BOARD
CURRENCY BOARD ARRANGEMENT
CURRENCY BOARDS
CURRENCY CRISES
CURRENT ACCOUNT
CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT
CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICITS
CURRENT ACCOUNTS
DEBT SERVICE
DEPENDENT VARIABLE
DEPRECIATION
DEPRECIATION RATE
DERIVATIVE
DERIVATIVES
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
DISCOUNT RATE
DOMESTIC BANKING
DOMESTIC BANKING SYSTEM
DOMESTIC CONSUMPTION
DOMESTIC CREDIT
DOMESTIC GOOD
DOMESTIC GOODS
DOMESTIC INFLATION
DOMESTIC MONEY SUPPLY
DOMESTIC PRICES
DYNAMIC ANALYSIS
ECONOMETRIC ESTIMATES
ECONOMIC POLICY
ELASTICITY
ELASTICITY OF EXPORTS
EMERGING ECONOMIES
EQUATIONS
EQUILIBRIUM LEVEL
EXCHANGE RATE CRISES
EXCHANGE RATE FLUCTUATIONS
EXCHANGE RATE REGIMES
EXCHANGE RATE VOLATILITY
EXOGENOUS INCOME
EXPENDITURE
EXTERNAL COMPETITIVENESS
EXTERNAL DEBT
EXTERNAL INDEBTEDNESS
EXTERNAL SHOCK
EXTERNAL SHOCKS
FINANCIAL CRISIS
FISCAL BALANCE
FISCAL DEFICIT
FISCAL DISCIPLINE
FISCAL POLICIES
FISCAL POLICY
FISCAL THEORY
FIXED EXCHANGE RATE
FIXED EXCHANGE RATE REGIME
FIXED EXCHANGE RATES
FLOATING REGIMES
FOREIGN ASSETS
FOREIGN CURRENCY
FOREIGN DEBT
FOREIGN EXCHANGE
FOREIGN EXCHANGE RESERVES
FOREIGN INFLATION
FOREIGN INTEREST
FOREIGN INTEREST RATE
FOREIGN INTEREST RATES
FOREIGN LOANS
FOREIGN RATE
FOREIGN REAL INTEREST RATE
FOREIGN REAL INTEREST RATES
GDP
GOLD
GOLD STANDARD
GOVERNMENT BUDGET
GOVERNMENT CONSUMPTION
GOVERNMENT DEBT
GOVERNMENT REVENUES
GOVERNMENT SPENDING
GROWTH RATE
GROWTH RATES
HARD PEG
HOME COUNTRY
IMBALANCES
IMPACT ON PRICE
IMPERFECT CAPITAL MOBILITY
IMPORTS
INDEBTEDNESS
INFLATION
INFLATION ANCHORS
INFLATION RATE
INFLATION RATES
INSTRUMENT
INTEREST RATE PARITY
INTEREST RATES
INTERMEDIATE REGIMES
INTERNATIONAL BANK
INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS
INTERNATIONAL INFLATION
INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
INTERNATIONAL PRICES
LIBERALIZATION
LIQUIDITY
LOCAL CURRENCY
LONG RUN EQUILIBRIUM
LONG-RUN EQUILIBRIUM
LONG-TERM CAPITAL
MACROECONOMIC ADJUSTMENT
MACROECONOMIC EVENTS
MACROECONOMIC FLUCTUATIONS
MACROECONOMIC MODEL
MACROECONOMIC STABILITY
MARGINAL PRODUCTIVITY
MARKET EQUILIBRIUM
MONETARY AUTHORITIES
MONETARY AUTHORITY
MONETARY DISCIPLINE
MONETARY MODEL
MONETARY POLICIES
MONETARY POLICY
MONETARY REGIMES
MONETARY UNIONS
MONEY DEMAND
MONEY GROWTH
MONEY MARKET
MONEY STOCK
MONEY SUPPLY
MULTIPLIERS
NOMINAL ANCHORS
NOMINAL EXCHANGE RATE
OPEN ECONOMIES
OPEN ECONOMY
OPTIMIZATION
OUTPUT
OUTPUT RATIO
PERMANENT SHOCK
POLITICAL ECONOMY
POPULATION GROWTH
POVERTY REDUCTION
PRICE STABILITY
PRIVATE CAPITAL
PRIVATE CONSUMPTION
PRODUCTION FUNCTION
PUBLIC ASSETS
PUBLIC CONSUMPTION
PUBLIC DEBT
PUBLIC DEFICIT
PUBLIC ECONOMICS
PUBLIC EXPENDITURES
PUBLIC SECTOR
PUBLIC SPENDING
PURCHASING POWER
PURCHASING POWER PARITY
RATE OF GROWTH
RATE OF INFLATION
REAL CONSUMPTION
REAL EFFECTIVE EXCHANGE RATE
REAL EXCHANGE RATE
REAL INTEREST
REAL INTEREST RATE
REAL TERMS
RECESSION
RELATIVE PRICE
RELATIVE PRICES
RISK PREMIUM
SAVINGS
SEIGNORAGE
SHORT-TERM CAPITAL
SLOWDOWN
STEADY STATE
STOCK CHANGE
STOCK RETURNS
SUPPLY CONSTRAINT
SURPLUS
TAX
TAX INCREASE
TAX RATE
TAX RATES
TIME HORIZON
TRADING
UTILITY FUNCTION
WEALTH
WITHDRAWAL
WORLD DEMAND
ABSENCE OF STERILIZATION
ACTUAL VALUES
ADJUSTMENT MECHANISM
AGGREGATE CONSUMPTION
BALANCE OF PAYMENTS
BUDGET DEFICIT
BUSINESS CYCLE
BUSINESS CYCLES
CAPITAL ACCUMULATION
CAPITAL INFLOW
CAPITAL INFLOWS
CAPITAL MOVEMENTS
CAPITAL STOCK
CASH BALANCE
CASH BALANCES
CENTRAL BANK
CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
CONSUMERS
CONSUMPTION PRICE INDEX
CONSUMPTION SPENDING
CONTROL VARIABLE
CORRELATION COEFFICIENTS
CREDIBILITY
CURRENCY
CURRENCY BOARD
CURRENCY BOARD ARRANGEMENT
CURRENCY BOARDS
CURRENCY CRISES
CURRENT ACCOUNT
CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT
CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICITS
CURRENT ACCOUNTS
DEBT SERVICE
DEPENDENT VARIABLE
DEPRECIATION
DEPRECIATION RATE
DERIVATIVE
DERIVATIVES
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
DISCOUNT RATE
DOMESTIC BANKING
DOMESTIC BANKING SYSTEM
DOMESTIC CONSUMPTION
DOMESTIC CREDIT
DOMESTIC GOOD
DOMESTIC GOODS
DOMESTIC INFLATION
DOMESTIC MONEY SUPPLY
DOMESTIC PRICES
DYNAMIC ANALYSIS
ECONOMETRIC ESTIMATES
ECONOMIC POLICY
ELASTICITY
ELASTICITY OF EXPORTS
EMERGING ECONOMIES
EQUATIONS
EQUILIBRIUM LEVEL
EXCHANGE RATE CRISES
EXCHANGE RATE FLUCTUATIONS
EXCHANGE RATE REGIMES
EXCHANGE RATE VOLATILITY
EXOGENOUS INCOME
EXPENDITURE
EXTERNAL COMPETITIVENESS
EXTERNAL DEBT
EXTERNAL INDEBTEDNESS
EXTERNAL SHOCK
EXTERNAL SHOCKS
FINANCIAL CRISIS
FISCAL BALANCE
FISCAL DEFICIT
FISCAL DISCIPLINE
FISCAL POLICIES
FISCAL POLICY
FISCAL THEORY
FIXED EXCHANGE RATE
FIXED EXCHANGE RATE REGIME
FIXED EXCHANGE RATES
FLOATING REGIMES
FOREIGN ASSETS
FOREIGN CURRENCY
FOREIGN DEBT
FOREIGN EXCHANGE
FOREIGN EXCHANGE RESERVES
FOREIGN INFLATION
FOREIGN INTEREST
FOREIGN INTEREST RATE
FOREIGN INTEREST RATES
FOREIGN LOANS
FOREIGN RATE
FOREIGN REAL INTEREST RATE
FOREIGN REAL INTEREST RATES
GDP
GOLD
GOLD STANDARD
GOVERNMENT BUDGET
GOVERNMENT CONSUMPTION
GOVERNMENT DEBT
GOVERNMENT REVENUES
GOVERNMENT SPENDING
GROWTH RATE
GROWTH RATES
HARD PEG
HOME COUNTRY
IMBALANCES
IMPACT ON PRICE
IMPERFECT CAPITAL MOBILITY
IMPORTS
INDEBTEDNESS
INFLATION
INFLATION ANCHORS
INFLATION RATE
INFLATION RATES
INSTRUMENT
INTEREST RATE PARITY
INTEREST RATES
INTERMEDIATE REGIMES
INTERNATIONAL BANK
INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS
INTERNATIONAL INFLATION
INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
INTERNATIONAL PRICES
LIBERALIZATION
LIQUIDITY
LOCAL CURRENCY
LONG RUN EQUILIBRIUM
LONG-RUN EQUILIBRIUM
LONG-TERM CAPITAL
MACROECONOMIC ADJUSTMENT
MACROECONOMIC EVENTS
MACROECONOMIC FLUCTUATIONS
MACROECONOMIC MODEL
MACROECONOMIC STABILITY
MARGINAL PRODUCTIVITY
MARKET EQUILIBRIUM
MONETARY AUTHORITIES
MONETARY AUTHORITY
MONETARY DISCIPLINE
MONETARY MODEL
MONETARY POLICIES
MONETARY POLICY
MONETARY REGIMES
MONETARY UNIONS
MONEY DEMAND
MONEY GROWTH
MONEY MARKET
MONEY STOCK
MONEY SUPPLY
MULTIPLIERS
NOMINAL ANCHORS
NOMINAL EXCHANGE RATE
OPEN ECONOMIES
OPEN ECONOMY
OPTIMIZATION
OUTPUT
OUTPUT RATIO
PERMANENT SHOCK
POLITICAL ECONOMY
POPULATION GROWTH
POVERTY REDUCTION
PRICE STABILITY
PRIVATE CAPITAL
PRIVATE CONSUMPTION
PRODUCTION FUNCTION
PUBLIC ASSETS
PUBLIC CONSUMPTION
PUBLIC DEBT
PUBLIC DEFICIT
PUBLIC ECONOMICS
PUBLIC EXPENDITURES
PUBLIC SECTOR
PUBLIC SPENDING
PURCHASING POWER
PURCHASING POWER PARITY
RATE OF GROWTH
RATE OF INFLATION
REAL CONSUMPTION
REAL EFFECTIVE EXCHANGE RATE
REAL EXCHANGE RATE
REAL INTEREST
REAL INTEREST RATE
REAL TERMS
RECESSION
RELATIVE PRICE
RELATIVE PRICES
RISK PREMIUM
SAVINGS
SEIGNORAGE
SHORT-TERM CAPITAL
SLOWDOWN
STEADY STATE
STOCK CHANGE
STOCK RETURNS
SUPPLY CONSTRAINT
SURPLUS
TAX
TAX INCREASE
TAX RATE
TAX RATES
TIME HORIZON
TRADING
UTILITY FUNCTION
WEALTH
WITHDRAWAL
WORLD DEMAND
spellingShingle ABSENCE OF STERILIZATION
ACTUAL VALUES
ADJUSTMENT MECHANISM
AGGREGATE CONSUMPTION
BALANCE OF PAYMENTS
BUDGET DEFICIT
BUSINESS CYCLE
BUSINESS CYCLES
CAPITAL ACCUMULATION
CAPITAL INFLOW
CAPITAL INFLOWS
CAPITAL MOVEMENTS
CAPITAL STOCK
CASH BALANCE
CASH BALANCES
CENTRAL BANK
CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
CONSUMERS
CONSUMPTION PRICE INDEX
CONSUMPTION SPENDING
CONTROL VARIABLE
CORRELATION COEFFICIENTS
CREDIBILITY
CURRENCY
CURRENCY BOARD
CURRENCY BOARD ARRANGEMENT
CURRENCY BOARDS
CURRENCY CRISES
CURRENT ACCOUNT
CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT
CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICITS
CURRENT ACCOUNTS
DEBT SERVICE
DEPENDENT VARIABLE
DEPRECIATION
DEPRECIATION RATE
DERIVATIVE
DERIVATIVES
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
DISCOUNT RATE
DOMESTIC BANKING
DOMESTIC BANKING SYSTEM
DOMESTIC CONSUMPTION
DOMESTIC CREDIT
DOMESTIC GOOD
DOMESTIC GOODS
DOMESTIC INFLATION
DOMESTIC MONEY SUPPLY
DOMESTIC PRICES
DYNAMIC ANALYSIS
ECONOMETRIC ESTIMATES
ECONOMIC POLICY
ELASTICITY
ELASTICITY OF EXPORTS
EMERGING ECONOMIES
EQUATIONS
EQUILIBRIUM LEVEL
EXCHANGE RATE CRISES
EXCHANGE RATE FLUCTUATIONS
EXCHANGE RATE REGIMES
EXCHANGE RATE VOLATILITY
EXOGENOUS INCOME
EXPENDITURE
EXTERNAL COMPETITIVENESS
EXTERNAL DEBT
EXTERNAL INDEBTEDNESS
EXTERNAL SHOCK
EXTERNAL SHOCKS
FINANCIAL CRISIS
FISCAL BALANCE
FISCAL DEFICIT
FISCAL DISCIPLINE
FISCAL POLICIES
FISCAL POLICY
FISCAL THEORY
FIXED EXCHANGE RATE
FIXED EXCHANGE RATE REGIME
FIXED EXCHANGE RATES
FLOATING REGIMES
FOREIGN ASSETS
FOREIGN CURRENCY
FOREIGN DEBT
FOREIGN EXCHANGE
FOREIGN EXCHANGE RESERVES
FOREIGN INFLATION
FOREIGN INTEREST
FOREIGN INTEREST RATE
FOREIGN INTEREST RATES
FOREIGN LOANS
FOREIGN RATE
FOREIGN REAL INTEREST RATE
FOREIGN REAL INTEREST RATES
GDP
GOLD
GOLD STANDARD
GOVERNMENT BUDGET
GOVERNMENT CONSUMPTION
GOVERNMENT DEBT
GOVERNMENT REVENUES
GOVERNMENT SPENDING
GROWTH RATE
GROWTH RATES
HARD PEG
HOME COUNTRY
IMBALANCES
IMPACT ON PRICE
IMPERFECT CAPITAL MOBILITY
IMPORTS
INDEBTEDNESS
INFLATION
INFLATION ANCHORS
INFLATION RATE
INFLATION RATES
INSTRUMENT
INTEREST RATE PARITY
INTEREST RATES
INTERMEDIATE REGIMES
INTERNATIONAL BANK
INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS
INTERNATIONAL INFLATION
INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
INTERNATIONAL PRICES
LIBERALIZATION
LIQUIDITY
LOCAL CURRENCY
LONG RUN EQUILIBRIUM
LONG-RUN EQUILIBRIUM
LONG-TERM CAPITAL
MACROECONOMIC ADJUSTMENT
MACROECONOMIC EVENTS
MACROECONOMIC FLUCTUATIONS
MACROECONOMIC MODEL
MACROECONOMIC STABILITY
MARGINAL PRODUCTIVITY
MARKET EQUILIBRIUM
MONETARY AUTHORITIES
MONETARY AUTHORITY
MONETARY DISCIPLINE
MONETARY MODEL
MONETARY POLICIES
MONETARY POLICY
MONETARY REGIMES
MONETARY UNIONS
MONEY DEMAND
MONEY GROWTH
MONEY MARKET
MONEY STOCK
MONEY SUPPLY
MULTIPLIERS
NOMINAL ANCHORS
NOMINAL EXCHANGE RATE
OPEN ECONOMIES
OPEN ECONOMY
OPTIMIZATION
OUTPUT
OUTPUT RATIO
PERMANENT SHOCK
POLITICAL ECONOMY
POPULATION GROWTH
POVERTY REDUCTION
PRICE STABILITY
PRIVATE CAPITAL
PRIVATE CONSUMPTION
PRODUCTION FUNCTION
PUBLIC ASSETS
PUBLIC CONSUMPTION
PUBLIC DEBT
PUBLIC DEFICIT
PUBLIC ECONOMICS
PUBLIC EXPENDITURES
PUBLIC SECTOR
PUBLIC SPENDING
PURCHASING POWER
PURCHASING POWER PARITY
RATE OF GROWTH
RATE OF INFLATION
REAL CONSUMPTION
REAL EFFECTIVE EXCHANGE RATE
REAL EXCHANGE RATE
REAL INTEREST
REAL INTEREST RATE
REAL TERMS
RECESSION
RELATIVE PRICE
RELATIVE PRICES
RISK PREMIUM
SAVINGS
SEIGNORAGE
SHORT-TERM CAPITAL
SLOWDOWN
STEADY STATE
STOCK CHANGE
STOCK RETURNS
SUPPLY CONSTRAINT
SURPLUS
TAX
TAX INCREASE
TAX RATE
TAX RATES
TIME HORIZON
TRADING
UTILITY FUNCTION
WEALTH
WITHDRAWAL
WORLD DEMAND
ABSENCE OF STERILIZATION
ACTUAL VALUES
ADJUSTMENT MECHANISM
AGGREGATE CONSUMPTION
BALANCE OF PAYMENTS
BUDGET DEFICIT
BUSINESS CYCLE
BUSINESS CYCLES
CAPITAL ACCUMULATION
CAPITAL INFLOW
CAPITAL INFLOWS
CAPITAL MOVEMENTS
CAPITAL STOCK
CASH BALANCE
CASH BALANCES
CENTRAL BANK
CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
CONSUMERS
CONSUMPTION PRICE INDEX
CONSUMPTION SPENDING
CONTROL VARIABLE
CORRELATION COEFFICIENTS
CREDIBILITY
CURRENCY
CURRENCY BOARD
CURRENCY BOARD ARRANGEMENT
CURRENCY BOARDS
CURRENCY CRISES
CURRENT ACCOUNT
CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT
CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICITS
CURRENT ACCOUNTS
DEBT SERVICE
DEPENDENT VARIABLE
DEPRECIATION
DEPRECIATION RATE
DERIVATIVE
DERIVATIVES
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
DISCOUNT RATE
DOMESTIC BANKING
DOMESTIC BANKING SYSTEM
DOMESTIC CONSUMPTION
DOMESTIC CREDIT
DOMESTIC GOOD
DOMESTIC GOODS
DOMESTIC INFLATION
DOMESTIC MONEY SUPPLY
DOMESTIC PRICES
DYNAMIC ANALYSIS
ECONOMETRIC ESTIMATES
ECONOMIC POLICY
ELASTICITY
ELASTICITY OF EXPORTS
EMERGING ECONOMIES
EQUATIONS
EQUILIBRIUM LEVEL
EXCHANGE RATE CRISES
EXCHANGE RATE FLUCTUATIONS
EXCHANGE RATE REGIMES
EXCHANGE RATE VOLATILITY
EXOGENOUS INCOME
EXPENDITURE
EXTERNAL COMPETITIVENESS
EXTERNAL DEBT
EXTERNAL INDEBTEDNESS
EXTERNAL SHOCK
EXTERNAL SHOCKS
FINANCIAL CRISIS
FISCAL BALANCE
FISCAL DEFICIT
FISCAL DISCIPLINE
FISCAL POLICIES
FISCAL POLICY
FISCAL THEORY
FIXED EXCHANGE RATE
FIXED EXCHANGE RATE REGIME
FIXED EXCHANGE RATES
FLOATING REGIMES
FOREIGN ASSETS
FOREIGN CURRENCY
FOREIGN DEBT
FOREIGN EXCHANGE
FOREIGN EXCHANGE RESERVES
FOREIGN INFLATION
FOREIGN INTEREST
FOREIGN INTEREST RATE
FOREIGN INTEREST RATES
FOREIGN LOANS
FOREIGN RATE
FOREIGN REAL INTEREST RATE
FOREIGN REAL INTEREST RATES
GDP
GOLD
GOLD STANDARD
GOVERNMENT BUDGET
GOVERNMENT CONSUMPTION
GOVERNMENT DEBT
GOVERNMENT REVENUES
GOVERNMENT SPENDING
GROWTH RATE
GROWTH RATES
HARD PEG
HOME COUNTRY
IMBALANCES
IMPACT ON PRICE
IMPERFECT CAPITAL MOBILITY
IMPORTS
INDEBTEDNESS
INFLATION
INFLATION ANCHORS
INFLATION RATE
INFLATION RATES
INSTRUMENT
INTEREST RATE PARITY
INTEREST RATES
INTERMEDIATE REGIMES
INTERNATIONAL BANK
INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS
INTERNATIONAL INFLATION
INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
INTERNATIONAL PRICES
LIBERALIZATION
LIQUIDITY
LOCAL CURRENCY
LONG RUN EQUILIBRIUM
LONG-RUN EQUILIBRIUM
LONG-TERM CAPITAL
MACROECONOMIC ADJUSTMENT
MACROECONOMIC EVENTS
MACROECONOMIC FLUCTUATIONS
MACROECONOMIC MODEL
MACROECONOMIC STABILITY
MARGINAL PRODUCTIVITY
MARKET EQUILIBRIUM
MONETARY AUTHORITIES
MONETARY AUTHORITY
MONETARY DISCIPLINE
MONETARY MODEL
MONETARY POLICIES
MONETARY POLICY
MONETARY REGIMES
MONETARY UNIONS
MONEY DEMAND
MONEY GROWTH
MONEY MARKET
MONEY STOCK
MONEY SUPPLY
MULTIPLIERS
NOMINAL ANCHORS
NOMINAL EXCHANGE RATE
OPEN ECONOMIES
OPEN ECONOMY
OPTIMIZATION
OUTPUT
OUTPUT RATIO
PERMANENT SHOCK
POLITICAL ECONOMY
POPULATION GROWTH
POVERTY REDUCTION
PRICE STABILITY
PRIVATE CAPITAL
PRIVATE CONSUMPTION
PRODUCTION FUNCTION
PUBLIC ASSETS
PUBLIC CONSUMPTION
PUBLIC DEBT
PUBLIC DEFICIT
PUBLIC ECONOMICS
PUBLIC EXPENDITURES
PUBLIC SECTOR
PUBLIC SPENDING
PURCHASING POWER
PURCHASING POWER PARITY
RATE OF GROWTH
RATE OF INFLATION
REAL CONSUMPTION
REAL EFFECTIVE EXCHANGE RATE
REAL EXCHANGE RATE
REAL INTEREST
REAL INTEREST RATE
REAL TERMS
RECESSION
RELATIVE PRICE
RELATIVE PRICES
RISK PREMIUM
SAVINGS
SEIGNORAGE
SHORT-TERM CAPITAL
SLOWDOWN
STEADY STATE
STOCK CHANGE
STOCK RETURNS
SUPPLY CONSTRAINT
SURPLUS
TAX
TAX INCREASE
TAX RATE
TAX RATES
TIME HORIZON
TRADING
UTILITY FUNCTION
WEALTH
WITHDRAWAL
WORLD DEMAND
Aloy, Marcel
Moreno-Dodson, Blanca
Nancy, Gilles
Intertemporal Adjustment and Fiscal Policy Under a Fixed Exchange Rate Regime
description The paper presents a dynamic model for small to medium open economies operating under a fixed exchange rate regime. The model provides a partial explanation of the channels through which fiscal and monetary policy affects the real exchange rate. An empirical investigation is conducted for the case of Argentina during the currency board period of 1991-2001. Empirical estimates show that fiscal policy may indeed be an efficient instrument for promoting macroeconomic stability insofar as it encourages convergence toward long-run equilibrium and alters the long-term balance between exports and consumption, both private and public. The simulation applied to Argentina shows that if the share of public spending in the economy is higher than the share of imports, an increase in the tax rate will stimulate capital stock slightly, at least in the short term, and depreciate the real effective exchange rate. In the long run, the fiscal policy affects the value of the real exchange rate and consequently external competitiveness.
topic_facet ABSENCE OF STERILIZATION
ACTUAL VALUES
ADJUSTMENT MECHANISM
AGGREGATE CONSUMPTION
BALANCE OF PAYMENTS
BUDGET DEFICIT
BUSINESS CYCLE
BUSINESS CYCLES
CAPITAL ACCUMULATION
CAPITAL INFLOW
CAPITAL INFLOWS
CAPITAL MOVEMENTS
CAPITAL STOCK
CASH BALANCE
CASH BALANCES
CENTRAL BANK
CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
CONSUMERS
CONSUMPTION PRICE INDEX
CONSUMPTION SPENDING
CONTROL VARIABLE
CORRELATION COEFFICIENTS
CREDIBILITY
CURRENCY
CURRENCY BOARD
CURRENCY BOARD ARRANGEMENT
CURRENCY BOARDS
CURRENCY CRISES
CURRENT ACCOUNT
CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT
CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICITS
CURRENT ACCOUNTS
DEBT SERVICE
DEPENDENT VARIABLE
DEPRECIATION
DEPRECIATION RATE
DERIVATIVE
DERIVATIVES
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
DISCOUNT RATE
DOMESTIC BANKING
DOMESTIC BANKING SYSTEM
DOMESTIC CONSUMPTION
DOMESTIC CREDIT
DOMESTIC GOOD
DOMESTIC GOODS
DOMESTIC INFLATION
DOMESTIC MONEY SUPPLY
DOMESTIC PRICES
DYNAMIC ANALYSIS
ECONOMETRIC ESTIMATES
ECONOMIC POLICY
ELASTICITY
ELASTICITY OF EXPORTS
EMERGING ECONOMIES
EQUATIONS
EQUILIBRIUM LEVEL
EXCHANGE RATE CRISES
EXCHANGE RATE FLUCTUATIONS
EXCHANGE RATE REGIMES
EXCHANGE RATE VOLATILITY
EXOGENOUS INCOME
EXPENDITURE
EXTERNAL COMPETITIVENESS
EXTERNAL DEBT
EXTERNAL INDEBTEDNESS
EXTERNAL SHOCK
EXTERNAL SHOCKS
FINANCIAL CRISIS
FISCAL BALANCE
FISCAL DEFICIT
FISCAL DISCIPLINE
FISCAL POLICIES
FISCAL POLICY
FISCAL THEORY
FIXED EXCHANGE RATE
FIXED EXCHANGE RATE REGIME
FIXED EXCHANGE RATES
FLOATING REGIMES
FOREIGN ASSETS
FOREIGN CURRENCY
FOREIGN DEBT
FOREIGN EXCHANGE
FOREIGN EXCHANGE RESERVES
FOREIGN INFLATION
FOREIGN INTEREST
FOREIGN INTEREST RATE
FOREIGN INTEREST RATES
FOREIGN LOANS
FOREIGN RATE
FOREIGN REAL INTEREST RATE
FOREIGN REAL INTEREST RATES
GDP
GOLD
GOLD STANDARD
GOVERNMENT BUDGET
GOVERNMENT CONSUMPTION
GOVERNMENT DEBT
GOVERNMENT REVENUES
GOVERNMENT SPENDING
GROWTH RATE
GROWTH RATES
HARD PEG
HOME COUNTRY
IMBALANCES
IMPACT ON PRICE
IMPERFECT CAPITAL MOBILITY
IMPORTS
INDEBTEDNESS
INFLATION
INFLATION ANCHORS
INFLATION RATE
INFLATION RATES
INSTRUMENT
INTEREST RATE PARITY
INTEREST RATES
INTERMEDIATE REGIMES
INTERNATIONAL BANK
INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS
INTERNATIONAL INFLATION
INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
INTERNATIONAL PRICES
LIBERALIZATION
LIQUIDITY
LOCAL CURRENCY
LONG RUN EQUILIBRIUM
LONG-RUN EQUILIBRIUM
LONG-TERM CAPITAL
MACROECONOMIC ADJUSTMENT
MACROECONOMIC EVENTS
MACROECONOMIC FLUCTUATIONS
MACROECONOMIC MODEL
MACROECONOMIC STABILITY
MARGINAL PRODUCTIVITY
MARKET EQUILIBRIUM
MONETARY AUTHORITIES
MONETARY AUTHORITY
MONETARY DISCIPLINE
MONETARY MODEL
MONETARY POLICIES
MONETARY POLICY
MONETARY REGIMES
MONETARY UNIONS
MONEY DEMAND
MONEY GROWTH
MONEY MARKET
MONEY STOCK
MONEY SUPPLY
MULTIPLIERS
NOMINAL ANCHORS
NOMINAL EXCHANGE RATE
OPEN ECONOMIES
OPEN ECONOMY
OPTIMIZATION
OUTPUT
OUTPUT RATIO
PERMANENT SHOCK
POLITICAL ECONOMY
POPULATION GROWTH
POVERTY REDUCTION
PRICE STABILITY
PRIVATE CAPITAL
PRIVATE CONSUMPTION
PRODUCTION FUNCTION
PUBLIC ASSETS
PUBLIC CONSUMPTION
PUBLIC DEBT
PUBLIC DEFICIT
PUBLIC ECONOMICS
PUBLIC EXPENDITURES
PUBLIC SECTOR
PUBLIC SPENDING
PURCHASING POWER
PURCHASING POWER PARITY
RATE OF GROWTH
RATE OF INFLATION
REAL CONSUMPTION
REAL EFFECTIVE EXCHANGE RATE
REAL EXCHANGE RATE
REAL INTEREST
REAL INTEREST RATE
REAL TERMS
RECESSION
RELATIVE PRICE
RELATIVE PRICES
RISK PREMIUM
SAVINGS
SEIGNORAGE
SHORT-TERM CAPITAL
SLOWDOWN
STEADY STATE
STOCK CHANGE
STOCK RETURNS
SUPPLY CONSTRAINT
SURPLUS
TAX
TAX INCREASE
TAX RATE
TAX RATES
TIME HORIZON
TRADING
UTILITY FUNCTION
WEALTH
WITHDRAWAL
WORLD DEMAND
author Aloy, Marcel
Moreno-Dodson, Blanca
Nancy, Gilles
author_facet Aloy, Marcel
Moreno-Dodson, Blanca
Nancy, Gilles
author_sort Aloy, Marcel
title Intertemporal Adjustment and Fiscal Policy Under a Fixed Exchange Rate Regime
title_short Intertemporal Adjustment and Fiscal Policy Under a Fixed Exchange Rate Regime
title_full Intertemporal Adjustment and Fiscal Policy Under a Fixed Exchange Rate Regime
title_fullStr Intertemporal Adjustment and Fiscal Policy Under a Fixed Exchange Rate Regime
title_full_unstemmed Intertemporal Adjustment and Fiscal Policy Under a Fixed Exchange Rate Regime
title_sort intertemporal adjustment and fiscal policy under a fixed exchange rate regime
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2008-04
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2008/04/9384583/intertemporal-adjustment-fiscal-policy-under-fixed-exchange-rate-regime
https://hdl.handle.net/10986/6704
work_keys_str_mv AT aloymarcel intertemporaladjustmentandfiscalpolicyunderafixedexchangerateregime
AT morenododsonblanca intertemporaladjustmentandfiscalpolicyunderafixedexchangerateregime
AT nancygilles intertemporaladjustmentandfiscalpolicyunderafixedexchangerateregime
_version_ 1807156296768552960
spelling dig-okr-1098667042024-08-08T16:43:00Z Intertemporal Adjustment and Fiscal Policy Under a Fixed Exchange Rate Regime Aloy, Marcel Moreno-Dodson, Blanca Nancy, Gilles ABSENCE OF STERILIZATION ACTUAL VALUES ADJUSTMENT MECHANISM AGGREGATE CONSUMPTION BALANCE OF PAYMENTS BUDGET DEFICIT BUSINESS CYCLE BUSINESS CYCLES CAPITAL ACCUMULATION CAPITAL INFLOW CAPITAL INFLOWS CAPITAL MOVEMENTS CAPITAL STOCK CASH BALANCE CASH BALANCES CENTRAL BANK CONSUMER PRICE INDEX CONSUMERS CONSUMPTION PRICE INDEX CONSUMPTION SPENDING CONTROL VARIABLE CORRELATION COEFFICIENTS CREDIBILITY CURRENCY CURRENCY BOARD CURRENCY BOARD ARRANGEMENT CURRENCY BOARDS CURRENCY CRISES CURRENT ACCOUNT CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICITS CURRENT ACCOUNTS DEBT SERVICE DEPENDENT VARIABLE DEPRECIATION DEPRECIATION RATE DERIVATIVE DERIVATIVES DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS DISCOUNT RATE DOMESTIC BANKING DOMESTIC BANKING SYSTEM DOMESTIC CONSUMPTION DOMESTIC CREDIT DOMESTIC GOOD DOMESTIC GOODS DOMESTIC INFLATION DOMESTIC MONEY SUPPLY DOMESTIC PRICES DYNAMIC ANALYSIS ECONOMETRIC ESTIMATES ECONOMIC POLICY ELASTICITY ELASTICITY OF EXPORTS EMERGING ECONOMIES EQUATIONS EQUILIBRIUM LEVEL EXCHANGE RATE CRISES EXCHANGE RATE FLUCTUATIONS EXCHANGE RATE REGIMES EXCHANGE RATE VOLATILITY EXOGENOUS INCOME EXPENDITURE EXTERNAL COMPETITIVENESS EXTERNAL DEBT EXTERNAL INDEBTEDNESS EXTERNAL SHOCK EXTERNAL SHOCKS FINANCIAL CRISIS FISCAL BALANCE FISCAL DEFICIT FISCAL DISCIPLINE FISCAL POLICIES FISCAL POLICY FISCAL THEORY FIXED EXCHANGE RATE FIXED EXCHANGE RATE REGIME FIXED EXCHANGE RATES FLOATING REGIMES FOREIGN ASSETS FOREIGN CURRENCY FOREIGN DEBT FOREIGN EXCHANGE FOREIGN EXCHANGE RESERVES FOREIGN INFLATION FOREIGN INTEREST FOREIGN INTEREST RATE FOREIGN INTEREST RATES FOREIGN LOANS FOREIGN RATE FOREIGN REAL INTEREST RATE FOREIGN REAL INTEREST RATES GDP GOLD GOLD STANDARD GOVERNMENT BUDGET GOVERNMENT CONSUMPTION GOVERNMENT DEBT GOVERNMENT REVENUES GOVERNMENT SPENDING GROWTH RATE GROWTH RATES HARD PEG HOME COUNTRY IMBALANCES IMPACT ON PRICE IMPERFECT CAPITAL MOBILITY IMPORTS INDEBTEDNESS INFLATION INFLATION ANCHORS INFLATION RATE INFLATION RATES INSTRUMENT INTEREST RATE PARITY INTEREST RATES INTERMEDIATE REGIMES INTERNATIONAL BANK INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS INTERNATIONAL INFLATION INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND INTERNATIONAL PRICES LIBERALIZATION LIQUIDITY LOCAL CURRENCY LONG RUN EQUILIBRIUM LONG-RUN EQUILIBRIUM LONG-TERM CAPITAL MACROECONOMIC ADJUSTMENT MACROECONOMIC EVENTS MACROECONOMIC FLUCTUATIONS MACROECONOMIC MODEL MACROECONOMIC STABILITY MARGINAL PRODUCTIVITY MARKET EQUILIBRIUM MONETARY AUTHORITIES MONETARY AUTHORITY MONETARY DISCIPLINE MONETARY MODEL MONETARY POLICIES MONETARY POLICY MONETARY REGIMES MONETARY UNIONS MONEY DEMAND MONEY GROWTH MONEY MARKET MONEY STOCK MONEY SUPPLY MULTIPLIERS NOMINAL ANCHORS NOMINAL EXCHANGE RATE OPEN ECONOMIES OPEN ECONOMY OPTIMIZATION OUTPUT OUTPUT RATIO PERMANENT SHOCK POLITICAL ECONOMY POPULATION GROWTH POVERTY REDUCTION PRICE STABILITY PRIVATE CAPITAL PRIVATE CONSUMPTION PRODUCTION FUNCTION PUBLIC ASSETS PUBLIC CONSUMPTION PUBLIC DEBT PUBLIC DEFICIT PUBLIC ECONOMICS PUBLIC EXPENDITURES PUBLIC SECTOR PUBLIC SPENDING PURCHASING POWER PURCHASING POWER PARITY RATE OF GROWTH RATE OF INFLATION REAL CONSUMPTION REAL EFFECTIVE EXCHANGE RATE REAL EXCHANGE RATE REAL INTEREST REAL INTEREST RATE REAL TERMS RECESSION RELATIVE PRICE RELATIVE PRICES RISK PREMIUM SAVINGS SEIGNORAGE SHORT-TERM CAPITAL SLOWDOWN STEADY STATE STOCK CHANGE STOCK RETURNS SUPPLY CONSTRAINT SURPLUS TAX TAX INCREASE TAX RATE TAX RATES TIME HORIZON TRADING UTILITY FUNCTION WEALTH WITHDRAWAL WORLD DEMAND The paper presents a dynamic model for small to medium open economies operating under a fixed exchange rate regime. The model provides a partial explanation of the channels through which fiscal and monetary policy affects the real exchange rate. An empirical investigation is conducted for the case of Argentina during the currency board period of 1991-2001. Empirical estimates show that fiscal policy may indeed be an efficient instrument for promoting macroeconomic stability insofar as it encourages convergence toward long-run equilibrium and alters the long-term balance between exports and consumption, both private and public. The simulation applied to Argentina shows that if the share of public spending in the economy is higher than the share of imports, an increase in the tax rate will stimulate capital stock slightly, at least in the short term, and depreciate the real effective exchange rate. In the long run, the fiscal policy affects the value of the real exchange rate and consequently external competitiveness. 2012-05-30T20:01:18Z 2012-05-30T20:01:18Z 2008-04 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2008/04/9384583/intertemporal-adjustment-fiscal-policy-under-fixed-exchange-rate-regime https://hdl.handle.net/10986/6704 English Policy Research Working Paper No. 4607 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank application/pdf text/plain World Bank, Washington, DC