Causality between External Debt and Capital Flight in Sub-Saharan Africa

Over the past few decades, the foreign liabilities of the majority of countries in Sub-Saharan Africa have grown dramatically, propelling most nations into the status of Highly Indebted Poor Countries, when these liabilities reached unsustainable levels in the 1990s. At the same time, increases in capital flight from the region followed a parallel trend, leading scholars to draw on "revolving door" models to explain the apparent positive covariation of external debt and capital flight in the region. This paper investigates the causality between external debt and capital flight in a cross-section of Sub-Saharan African countries using co-integration and error-correction models. Although dual causality, which is consistent with the revolving door hypothesis, cannot be rejected for the majority of countries, empirical evidence highlights the lead of external debt over capital flight. The significance of error-correction terms points to a long-run co-integrating relationship between external debt and capital flight in a large number of countries.

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Fofack, Hippolyte
Language:English
Published: 2009-09-01
Subjects:ACCESS TO DEBT, ACCOUNTING, ACCUMULATION OF DEBT, ARREARS, ASSETS, AUTOREGRESSION, BALANCE OF PAYMENT, BALANCE OF PAYMENT CRISIS, BALANCE OF PAYMENTS, BALANCE OF PAYMENTS CRISIS, BALANCE-OF-PAYMENTS CRISES, BANK DEBT, BANK POLICY, CAPITAL CONTROLS, CAPITAL FLIGHT, CAPITAL FLOWS, CAPITAL FORMATION, CAPITAL INFLOWS, CAPITAL INFUSION, CAPITAL OUTFLOWS, CAPITAL STOCK, CENTRAL BANK, COIN, COMPETITIVENESS, CORRELATION ANALYSIS, CORRELATION COEFFICIENT, COUNTRY RISK, COUNTRY RISKS, CREDIBILITY, CREDITOR, CREDITORS, CURRENCY DEVALUATION, CURRENT ACCOUNT, CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT, CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICITS, CUSTOMS DUTIES, DEBT, DEBT CRISIS, DEBT DISBURSEMENTS, DEBT OVERHANG, DEBT RATIO, DEBT RATIOS, DEBT REDUCTION, DEBT RELIEF, DEBT SERVICE, DEBT SERVICE PAYMENTS, DEBT STRATEGY, DEFICIT FINANCING, DEPENDENT VARIABLE, DEPRECIATION, DESCRIPTIVE STATISTIC, DEVALUATION, DEVELOPING COUNTRIES, DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE, DEVELOPMENT BANK, DISBURSEMENT, DISEQUILIBRIUM, DOMESTIC AGENTS, DOMESTIC ARREARS, DOMESTIC CREDITORS, DOMESTIC DEBT, DOMESTIC DEBT MARKETS, DOMESTIC GOODS, ECONOMETRIC MODELS, ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT, ECONOMIC DOWNTURNS, ECONOMIC GROWTH, ECONOMIC RESEARCH, ECONOMIC THEORY, ERROR CORRECTION MODEL, ERROR CORRECTION MODELS, ERROR CORRECTION TERM, ERROR CORRECTION TERMS, ERROR TERM, EXCHANGE RATES, EXOGENOUS FACTORS, EXPENDITURE, EXPENDITURES, EXPORT DIVERSIFICATION, EXPORTS, EXPOSURE, EXTERNAL BORROWING, EXTERNAL BORROWINGS, EXTERNAL DEBT, EXTERNAL DEBT ACCUMULATION, EXTERNAL DEBT INDICATORS, EXTERNAL DEBT SERVICES, EXTERNAL DEBT STOCK, EXTERNAL DEBT SUSTAINABILITY, EXTERNAL FINANCE, EXTERNAL FINANCING, EXTERNAL INDEBTEDNESS, EXTERNAL LIABILITIES, FEDERAL RESERVE, FEDERAL RESERVE BANK, FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENT, FINANCIAL MARKET, FISCAL DEFICITS, FISCAL POLICY, FOREIGN AID, FOREIGN CREDITORS, FOREIGN CURRENCY, FOREIGN EXCHANGE, FOREIGN INDEBTEDNESS, FOREIGN LIABILITIES, FOREIGN RESERVES, FUTURE RESEARCH, GDP, GLOBAL CAPITAL, GLOBAL MARKET, GOVERNMENT GUARANTEE, GROSS CAPITAL FORMATION, GROWTH RATE, GROWTH RATES, HOLDING, HOLDINGS, IMPLICIT INSURANCE, IMPORT, IMPORT RESTRICTIONS, IMPORTS, INCOME, INCOME INEQUALITY, INDEBTED COUNTRIES, INFLATION, INFLATION TAX, INSOLVENCY, INSTRUMENT, INSURANCE, INSURANCE COVERAGE, INTEREST EARNINGS, INTEREST PAYMENTS, INTEREST RATE, INTEREST RATES, INTERNATIONAL BANK, INTERNATIONAL DEBT, INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL ARCHITECTURE, INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS, INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL SYSTEM, INTERNATIONAL MONEY, INVESTMENT BOOMS, LOCAL CURRENCY, LONG-RUN EQUILIBRIUM, LOW DEBT, LOW DEBT RATIOS, LOW-INCOME COUNTRIES,
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spelling dig-okr-1098642352024-08-08T16:19:33Z Causality between External Debt and Capital Flight in Sub-Saharan Africa Fofack, Hippolyte ACCESS TO DEBT ACCOUNTING ACCUMULATION OF DEBT ARREARS ASSETS AUTOREGRESSION BALANCE OF PAYMENT BALANCE OF PAYMENT CRISIS BALANCE OF PAYMENTS BALANCE OF PAYMENTS CRISIS BALANCE-OF-PAYMENTS CRISES BANK DEBT BANK POLICY CAPITAL CONTROLS CAPITAL FLIGHT CAPITAL FLOWS CAPITAL FORMATION CAPITAL INFLOWS CAPITAL INFUSION CAPITAL OUTFLOWS CAPITAL STOCK CENTRAL BANK COIN COMPETITIVENESS CORRELATION ANALYSIS CORRELATION COEFFICIENT COUNTRY RISK COUNTRY RISKS CREDIBILITY CREDITOR CREDITORS CURRENCY DEVALUATION CURRENT ACCOUNT CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICITS CUSTOMS DUTIES DEBT DEBT CRISIS DEBT DISBURSEMENTS DEBT OVERHANG DEBT RATIO DEBT RATIOS DEBT REDUCTION DEBT RELIEF DEBT SERVICE DEBT SERVICE PAYMENTS DEBT STRATEGY DEFICIT FINANCING DEPENDENT VARIABLE DEPRECIATION DESCRIPTIVE STATISTIC DEVALUATION DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE DEVELOPMENT BANK DISBURSEMENT DISEQUILIBRIUM DOMESTIC AGENTS DOMESTIC ARREARS DOMESTIC CREDITORS DOMESTIC DEBT DOMESTIC DEBT MARKETS DOMESTIC GOODS ECONOMETRIC MODELS ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ECONOMIC DOWNTURNS ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC RESEARCH ECONOMIC THEORY ERROR CORRECTION MODEL ERROR CORRECTION MODELS ERROR CORRECTION TERM ERROR CORRECTION TERMS ERROR TERM EXCHANGE RATES EXOGENOUS FACTORS EXPENDITURE EXPENDITURES EXPORT DIVERSIFICATION EXPORTS EXPOSURE EXTERNAL BORROWING EXTERNAL BORROWINGS EXTERNAL DEBT EXTERNAL DEBT ACCUMULATION EXTERNAL DEBT INDICATORS EXTERNAL DEBT SERVICES EXTERNAL DEBT STOCK EXTERNAL DEBT SUSTAINABILITY EXTERNAL FINANCE EXTERNAL FINANCING EXTERNAL INDEBTEDNESS EXTERNAL LIABILITIES FEDERAL RESERVE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENT FINANCIAL MARKET FISCAL DEFICITS FISCAL POLICY FOREIGN AID FOREIGN CREDITORS FOREIGN CURRENCY FOREIGN EXCHANGE FOREIGN INDEBTEDNESS FOREIGN LIABILITIES FOREIGN RESERVES FUTURE RESEARCH GDP GLOBAL CAPITAL GLOBAL MARKET GOVERNMENT GUARANTEE GROSS CAPITAL FORMATION GROWTH RATE GROWTH RATES HOLDING HOLDINGS IMPLICIT INSURANCE IMPORT IMPORT RESTRICTIONS IMPORTS INCOME INCOME INEQUALITY INDEBTED COUNTRIES INFLATION INFLATION TAX INSOLVENCY INSTRUMENT INSURANCE INSURANCE COVERAGE INTEREST EARNINGS INTEREST PAYMENTS INTEREST RATE INTEREST RATES INTERNATIONAL BANK INTERNATIONAL DEBT INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL ARCHITECTURE INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL SYSTEM INTERNATIONAL MONEY INVESTMENT BOOMS LOCAL CURRENCY LONG-RUN EQUILIBRIUM LOW DEBT LOW DEBT RATIOS LOW-INCOME COUNTRIES Over the past few decades, the foreign liabilities of the majority of countries in Sub-Saharan Africa have grown dramatically, propelling most nations into the status of Highly Indebted Poor Countries, when these liabilities reached unsustainable levels in the 1990s. At the same time, increases in capital flight from the region followed a parallel trend, leading scholars to draw on "revolving door" models to explain the apparent positive covariation of external debt and capital flight in the region. This paper investigates the causality between external debt and capital flight in a cross-section of Sub-Saharan African countries using co-integration and error-correction models. Although dual causality, which is consistent with the revolving door hypothesis, cannot be rejected for the majority of countries, empirical evidence highlights the lead of external debt over capital flight. The significance of error-correction terms points to a long-run co-integrating relationship between external debt and capital flight in a large number of countries. 2012-03-19T19:12:21Z 2012-03-19T19:12:21Z 2009-09-01 http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20090908153237 https://hdl.handle.net/10986/4235 English Policy Research working paper ; no. WPS 5042 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank application/pdf text/plain
institution Banco Mundial
collection DSpace
country Estados Unidos
countrycode US
component Bibliográfico
access En linea
databasecode dig-okr
tag biblioteca
region America del Norte
libraryname Biblioteca del Banco Mundial
language English
topic ACCESS TO DEBT
ACCOUNTING
ACCUMULATION OF DEBT
ARREARS
ASSETS
AUTOREGRESSION
BALANCE OF PAYMENT
BALANCE OF PAYMENT CRISIS
BALANCE OF PAYMENTS
BALANCE OF PAYMENTS CRISIS
BALANCE-OF-PAYMENTS CRISES
BANK DEBT
BANK POLICY
CAPITAL CONTROLS
CAPITAL FLIGHT
CAPITAL FLOWS
CAPITAL FORMATION
CAPITAL INFLOWS
CAPITAL INFUSION
CAPITAL OUTFLOWS
CAPITAL STOCK
CENTRAL BANK
COIN
COMPETITIVENESS
CORRELATION ANALYSIS
CORRELATION COEFFICIENT
COUNTRY RISK
COUNTRY RISKS
CREDIBILITY
CREDITOR
CREDITORS
CURRENCY DEVALUATION
CURRENT ACCOUNT
CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT
CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICITS
CUSTOMS DUTIES
DEBT
DEBT CRISIS
DEBT DISBURSEMENTS
DEBT OVERHANG
DEBT RATIO
DEBT RATIOS
DEBT REDUCTION
DEBT RELIEF
DEBT SERVICE
DEBT SERVICE PAYMENTS
DEBT STRATEGY
DEFICIT FINANCING
DEPENDENT VARIABLE
DEPRECIATION
DESCRIPTIVE STATISTIC
DEVALUATION
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE
DEVELOPMENT BANK
DISBURSEMENT
DISEQUILIBRIUM
DOMESTIC AGENTS
DOMESTIC ARREARS
DOMESTIC CREDITORS
DOMESTIC DEBT
DOMESTIC DEBT MARKETS
DOMESTIC GOODS
ECONOMETRIC MODELS
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC DOWNTURNS
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC RESEARCH
ECONOMIC THEORY
ERROR CORRECTION MODEL
ERROR CORRECTION MODELS
ERROR CORRECTION TERM
ERROR CORRECTION TERMS
ERROR TERM
EXCHANGE RATES
EXOGENOUS FACTORS
EXPENDITURE
EXPENDITURES
EXPORT DIVERSIFICATION
EXPORTS
EXPOSURE
EXTERNAL BORROWING
EXTERNAL BORROWINGS
EXTERNAL DEBT
EXTERNAL DEBT ACCUMULATION
EXTERNAL DEBT INDICATORS
EXTERNAL DEBT SERVICES
EXTERNAL DEBT STOCK
EXTERNAL DEBT SUSTAINABILITY
EXTERNAL FINANCE
EXTERNAL FINANCING
EXTERNAL INDEBTEDNESS
EXTERNAL LIABILITIES
FEDERAL RESERVE
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK
FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENT
FINANCIAL MARKET
FISCAL DEFICITS
FISCAL POLICY
FOREIGN AID
FOREIGN CREDITORS
FOREIGN CURRENCY
FOREIGN EXCHANGE
FOREIGN INDEBTEDNESS
FOREIGN LIABILITIES
FOREIGN RESERVES
FUTURE RESEARCH
GDP
GLOBAL CAPITAL
GLOBAL MARKET
GOVERNMENT GUARANTEE
GROSS CAPITAL FORMATION
GROWTH RATE
GROWTH RATES
HOLDING
HOLDINGS
IMPLICIT INSURANCE
IMPORT
IMPORT RESTRICTIONS
IMPORTS
INCOME
INCOME INEQUALITY
INDEBTED COUNTRIES
INFLATION
INFLATION TAX
INSOLVENCY
INSTRUMENT
INSURANCE
INSURANCE COVERAGE
INTEREST EARNINGS
INTEREST PAYMENTS
INTEREST RATE
INTEREST RATES
INTERNATIONAL BANK
INTERNATIONAL DEBT
INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL ARCHITECTURE
INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS
INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL SYSTEM
INTERNATIONAL MONEY
INVESTMENT BOOMS
LOCAL CURRENCY
LONG-RUN EQUILIBRIUM
LOW DEBT
LOW DEBT RATIOS
LOW-INCOME COUNTRIES
ACCESS TO DEBT
ACCOUNTING
ACCUMULATION OF DEBT
ARREARS
ASSETS
AUTOREGRESSION
BALANCE OF PAYMENT
BALANCE OF PAYMENT CRISIS
BALANCE OF PAYMENTS
BALANCE OF PAYMENTS CRISIS
BALANCE-OF-PAYMENTS CRISES
BANK DEBT
BANK POLICY
CAPITAL CONTROLS
CAPITAL FLIGHT
CAPITAL FLOWS
CAPITAL FORMATION
CAPITAL INFLOWS
CAPITAL INFUSION
CAPITAL OUTFLOWS
CAPITAL STOCK
CENTRAL BANK
COIN
COMPETITIVENESS
CORRELATION ANALYSIS
CORRELATION COEFFICIENT
COUNTRY RISK
COUNTRY RISKS
CREDIBILITY
CREDITOR
CREDITORS
CURRENCY DEVALUATION
CURRENT ACCOUNT
CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT
CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICITS
CUSTOMS DUTIES
DEBT
DEBT CRISIS
DEBT DISBURSEMENTS
DEBT OVERHANG
DEBT RATIO
DEBT RATIOS
DEBT REDUCTION
DEBT RELIEF
DEBT SERVICE
DEBT SERVICE PAYMENTS
DEBT STRATEGY
DEFICIT FINANCING
DEPENDENT VARIABLE
DEPRECIATION
DESCRIPTIVE STATISTIC
DEVALUATION
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE
DEVELOPMENT BANK
DISBURSEMENT
DISEQUILIBRIUM
DOMESTIC AGENTS
DOMESTIC ARREARS
DOMESTIC CREDITORS
DOMESTIC DEBT
DOMESTIC DEBT MARKETS
DOMESTIC GOODS
ECONOMETRIC MODELS
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC DOWNTURNS
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC RESEARCH
ECONOMIC THEORY
ERROR CORRECTION MODEL
ERROR CORRECTION MODELS
ERROR CORRECTION TERM
ERROR CORRECTION TERMS
ERROR TERM
EXCHANGE RATES
EXOGENOUS FACTORS
EXPENDITURE
EXPENDITURES
EXPORT DIVERSIFICATION
EXPORTS
EXPOSURE
EXTERNAL BORROWING
EXTERNAL BORROWINGS
EXTERNAL DEBT
EXTERNAL DEBT ACCUMULATION
EXTERNAL DEBT INDICATORS
EXTERNAL DEBT SERVICES
EXTERNAL DEBT STOCK
EXTERNAL DEBT SUSTAINABILITY
EXTERNAL FINANCE
EXTERNAL FINANCING
EXTERNAL INDEBTEDNESS
EXTERNAL LIABILITIES
FEDERAL RESERVE
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK
FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENT
FINANCIAL MARKET
FISCAL DEFICITS
FISCAL POLICY
FOREIGN AID
FOREIGN CREDITORS
FOREIGN CURRENCY
FOREIGN EXCHANGE
FOREIGN INDEBTEDNESS
FOREIGN LIABILITIES
FOREIGN RESERVES
FUTURE RESEARCH
GDP
GLOBAL CAPITAL
GLOBAL MARKET
GOVERNMENT GUARANTEE
GROSS CAPITAL FORMATION
GROWTH RATE
GROWTH RATES
HOLDING
HOLDINGS
IMPLICIT INSURANCE
IMPORT
IMPORT RESTRICTIONS
IMPORTS
INCOME
INCOME INEQUALITY
INDEBTED COUNTRIES
INFLATION
INFLATION TAX
INSOLVENCY
INSTRUMENT
INSURANCE
INSURANCE COVERAGE
INTEREST EARNINGS
INTEREST PAYMENTS
INTEREST RATE
INTEREST RATES
INTERNATIONAL BANK
INTERNATIONAL DEBT
INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL ARCHITECTURE
INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS
INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL SYSTEM
INTERNATIONAL MONEY
INVESTMENT BOOMS
LOCAL CURRENCY
LONG-RUN EQUILIBRIUM
LOW DEBT
LOW DEBT RATIOS
LOW-INCOME COUNTRIES
spellingShingle ACCESS TO DEBT
ACCOUNTING
ACCUMULATION OF DEBT
ARREARS
ASSETS
AUTOREGRESSION
BALANCE OF PAYMENT
BALANCE OF PAYMENT CRISIS
BALANCE OF PAYMENTS
BALANCE OF PAYMENTS CRISIS
BALANCE-OF-PAYMENTS CRISES
BANK DEBT
BANK POLICY
CAPITAL CONTROLS
CAPITAL FLIGHT
CAPITAL FLOWS
CAPITAL FORMATION
CAPITAL INFLOWS
CAPITAL INFUSION
CAPITAL OUTFLOWS
CAPITAL STOCK
CENTRAL BANK
COIN
COMPETITIVENESS
CORRELATION ANALYSIS
CORRELATION COEFFICIENT
COUNTRY RISK
COUNTRY RISKS
CREDIBILITY
CREDITOR
CREDITORS
CURRENCY DEVALUATION
CURRENT ACCOUNT
CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT
CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICITS
CUSTOMS DUTIES
DEBT
DEBT CRISIS
DEBT DISBURSEMENTS
DEBT OVERHANG
DEBT RATIO
DEBT RATIOS
DEBT REDUCTION
DEBT RELIEF
DEBT SERVICE
DEBT SERVICE PAYMENTS
DEBT STRATEGY
DEFICIT FINANCING
DEPENDENT VARIABLE
DEPRECIATION
DESCRIPTIVE STATISTIC
DEVALUATION
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE
DEVELOPMENT BANK
DISBURSEMENT
DISEQUILIBRIUM
DOMESTIC AGENTS
DOMESTIC ARREARS
DOMESTIC CREDITORS
DOMESTIC DEBT
DOMESTIC DEBT MARKETS
DOMESTIC GOODS
ECONOMETRIC MODELS
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC DOWNTURNS
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC RESEARCH
ECONOMIC THEORY
ERROR CORRECTION MODEL
ERROR CORRECTION MODELS
ERROR CORRECTION TERM
ERROR CORRECTION TERMS
ERROR TERM
EXCHANGE RATES
EXOGENOUS FACTORS
EXPENDITURE
EXPENDITURES
EXPORT DIVERSIFICATION
EXPORTS
EXPOSURE
EXTERNAL BORROWING
EXTERNAL BORROWINGS
EXTERNAL DEBT
EXTERNAL DEBT ACCUMULATION
EXTERNAL DEBT INDICATORS
EXTERNAL DEBT SERVICES
EXTERNAL DEBT STOCK
EXTERNAL DEBT SUSTAINABILITY
EXTERNAL FINANCE
EXTERNAL FINANCING
EXTERNAL INDEBTEDNESS
EXTERNAL LIABILITIES
FEDERAL RESERVE
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK
FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENT
FINANCIAL MARKET
FISCAL DEFICITS
FISCAL POLICY
FOREIGN AID
FOREIGN CREDITORS
FOREIGN CURRENCY
FOREIGN EXCHANGE
FOREIGN INDEBTEDNESS
FOREIGN LIABILITIES
FOREIGN RESERVES
FUTURE RESEARCH
GDP
GLOBAL CAPITAL
GLOBAL MARKET
GOVERNMENT GUARANTEE
GROSS CAPITAL FORMATION
GROWTH RATE
GROWTH RATES
HOLDING
HOLDINGS
IMPLICIT INSURANCE
IMPORT
IMPORT RESTRICTIONS
IMPORTS
INCOME
INCOME INEQUALITY
INDEBTED COUNTRIES
INFLATION
INFLATION TAX
INSOLVENCY
INSTRUMENT
INSURANCE
INSURANCE COVERAGE
INTEREST EARNINGS
INTEREST PAYMENTS
INTEREST RATE
INTEREST RATES
INTERNATIONAL BANK
INTERNATIONAL DEBT
INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL ARCHITECTURE
INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS
INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL SYSTEM
INTERNATIONAL MONEY
INVESTMENT BOOMS
LOCAL CURRENCY
LONG-RUN EQUILIBRIUM
LOW DEBT
LOW DEBT RATIOS
LOW-INCOME COUNTRIES
ACCESS TO DEBT
ACCOUNTING
ACCUMULATION OF DEBT
ARREARS
ASSETS
AUTOREGRESSION
BALANCE OF PAYMENT
BALANCE OF PAYMENT CRISIS
BALANCE OF PAYMENTS
BALANCE OF PAYMENTS CRISIS
BALANCE-OF-PAYMENTS CRISES
BANK DEBT
BANK POLICY
CAPITAL CONTROLS
CAPITAL FLIGHT
CAPITAL FLOWS
CAPITAL FORMATION
CAPITAL INFLOWS
CAPITAL INFUSION
CAPITAL OUTFLOWS
CAPITAL STOCK
CENTRAL BANK
COIN
COMPETITIVENESS
CORRELATION ANALYSIS
CORRELATION COEFFICIENT
COUNTRY RISK
COUNTRY RISKS
CREDIBILITY
CREDITOR
CREDITORS
CURRENCY DEVALUATION
CURRENT ACCOUNT
CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT
CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICITS
CUSTOMS DUTIES
DEBT
DEBT CRISIS
DEBT DISBURSEMENTS
DEBT OVERHANG
DEBT RATIO
DEBT RATIOS
DEBT REDUCTION
DEBT RELIEF
DEBT SERVICE
DEBT SERVICE PAYMENTS
DEBT STRATEGY
DEFICIT FINANCING
DEPENDENT VARIABLE
DEPRECIATION
DESCRIPTIVE STATISTIC
DEVALUATION
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE
DEVELOPMENT BANK
DISBURSEMENT
DISEQUILIBRIUM
DOMESTIC AGENTS
DOMESTIC ARREARS
DOMESTIC CREDITORS
DOMESTIC DEBT
DOMESTIC DEBT MARKETS
DOMESTIC GOODS
ECONOMETRIC MODELS
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC DOWNTURNS
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC RESEARCH
ECONOMIC THEORY
ERROR CORRECTION MODEL
ERROR CORRECTION MODELS
ERROR CORRECTION TERM
ERROR CORRECTION TERMS
ERROR TERM
EXCHANGE RATES
EXOGENOUS FACTORS
EXPENDITURE
EXPENDITURES
EXPORT DIVERSIFICATION
EXPORTS
EXPOSURE
EXTERNAL BORROWING
EXTERNAL BORROWINGS
EXTERNAL DEBT
EXTERNAL DEBT ACCUMULATION
EXTERNAL DEBT INDICATORS
EXTERNAL DEBT SERVICES
EXTERNAL DEBT STOCK
EXTERNAL DEBT SUSTAINABILITY
EXTERNAL FINANCE
EXTERNAL FINANCING
EXTERNAL INDEBTEDNESS
EXTERNAL LIABILITIES
FEDERAL RESERVE
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK
FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENT
FINANCIAL MARKET
FISCAL DEFICITS
FISCAL POLICY
FOREIGN AID
FOREIGN CREDITORS
FOREIGN CURRENCY
FOREIGN EXCHANGE
FOREIGN INDEBTEDNESS
FOREIGN LIABILITIES
FOREIGN RESERVES
FUTURE RESEARCH
GDP
GLOBAL CAPITAL
GLOBAL MARKET
GOVERNMENT GUARANTEE
GROSS CAPITAL FORMATION
GROWTH RATE
GROWTH RATES
HOLDING
HOLDINGS
IMPLICIT INSURANCE
IMPORT
IMPORT RESTRICTIONS
IMPORTS
INCOME
INCOME INEQUALITY
INDEBTED COUNTRIES
INFLATION
INFLATION TAX
INSOLVENCY
INSTRUMENT
INSURANCE
INSURANCE COVERAGE
INTEREST EARNINGS
INTEREST PAYMENTS
INTEREST RATE
INTEREST RATES
INTERNATIONAL BANK
INTERNATIONAL DEBT
INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL ARCHITECTURE
INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS
INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL SYSTEM
INTERNATIONAL MONEY
INVESTMENT BOOMS
LOCAL CURRENCY
LONG-RUN EQUILIBRIUM
LOW DEBT
LOW DEBT RATIOS
LOW-INCOME COUNTRIES
Fofack, Hippolyte
Causality between External Debt and Capital Flight in Sub-Saharan Africa
description Over the past few decades, the foreign liabilities of the majority of countries in Sub-Saharan Africa have grown dramatically, propelling most nations into the status of Highly Indebted Poor Countries, when these liabilities reached unsustainable levels in the 1990s. At the same time, increases in capital flight from the region followed a parallel trend, leading scholars to draw on "revolving door" models to explain the apparent positive covariation of external debt and capital flight in the region. This paper investigates the causality between external debt and capital flight in a cross-section of Sub-Saharan African countries using co-integration and error-correction models. Although dual causality, which is consistent with the revolving door hypothesis, cannot be rejected for the majority of countries, empirical evidence highlights the lead of external debt over capital flight. The significance of error-correction terms points to a long-run co-integrating relationship between external debt and capital flight in a large number of countries.
topic_facet ACCESS TO DEBT
ACCOUNTING
ACCUMULATION OF DEBT
ARREARS
ASSETS
AUTOREGRESSION
BALANCE OF PAYMENT
BALANCE OF PAYMENT CRISIS
BALANCE OF PAYMENTS
BALANCE OF PAYMENTS CRISIS
BALANCE-OF-PAYMENTS CRISES
BANK DEBT
BANK POLICY
CAPITAL CONTROLS
CAPITAL FLIGHT
CAPITAL FLOWS
CAPITAL FORMATION
CAPITAL INFLOWS
CAPITAL INFUSION
CAPITAL OUTFLOWS
CAPITAL STOCK
CENTRAL BANK
COIN
COMPETITIVENESS
CORRELATION ANALYSIS
CORRELATION COEFFICIENT
COUNTRY RISK
COUNTRY RISKS
CREDIBILITY
CREDITOR
CREDITORS
CURRENCY DEVALUATION
CURRENT ACCOUNT
CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT
CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICITS
CUSTOMS DUTIES
DEBT
DEBT CRISIS
DEBT DISBURSEMENTS
DEBT OVERHANG
DEBT RATIO
DEBT RATIOS
DEBT REDUCTION
DEBT RELIEF
DEBT SERVICE
DEBT SERVICE PAYMENTS
DEBT STRATEGY
DEFICIT FINANCING
DEPENDENT VARIABLE
DEPRECIATION
DESCRIPTIVE STATISTIC
DEVALUATION
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE
DEVELOPMENT BANK
DISBURSEMENT
DISEQUILIBRIUM
DOMESTIC AGENTS
DOMESTIC ARREARS
DOMESTIC CREDITORS
DOMESTIC DEBT
DOMESTIC DEBT MARKETS
DOMESTIC GOODS
ECONOMETRIC MODELS
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
ECONOMIC DOWNTURNS
ECONOMIC GROWTH
ECONOMIC RESEARCH
ECONOMIC THEORY
ERROR CORRECTION MODEL
ERROR CORRECTION MODELS
ERROR CORRECTION TERM
ERROR CORRECTION TERMS
ERROR TERM
EXCHANGE RATES
EXOGENOUS FACTORS
EXPENDITURE
EXPENDITURES
EXPORT DIVERSIFICATION
EXPORTS
EXPOSURE
EXTERNAL BORROWING
EXTERNAL BORROWINGS
EXTERNAL DEBT
EXTERNAL DEBT ACCUMULATION
EXTERNAL DEBT INDICATORS
EXTERNAL DEBT SERVICES
EXTERNAL DEBT STOCK
EXTERNAL DEBT SUSTAINABILITY
EXTERNAL FINANCE
EXTERNAL FINANCING
EXTERNAL INDEBTEDNESS
EXTERNAL LIABILITIES
FEDERAL RESERVE
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK
FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENT
FINANCIAL MARKET
FISCAL DEFICITS
FISCAL POLICY
FOREIGN AID
FOREIGN CREDITORS
FOREIGN CURRENCY
FOREIGN EXCHANGE
FOREIGN INDEBTEDNESS
FOREIGN LIABILITIES
FOREIGN RESERVES
FUTURE RESEARCH
GDP
GLOBAL CAPITAL
GLOBAL MARKET
GOVERNMENT GUARANTEE
GROSS CAPITAL FORMATION
GROWTH RATE
GROWTH RATES
HOLDING
HOLDINGS
IMPLICIT INSURANCE
IMPORT
IMPORT RESTRICTIONS
IMPORTS
INCOME
INCOME INEQUALITY
INDEBTED COUNTRIES
INFLATION
INFLATION TAX
INSOLVENCY
INSTRUMENT
INSURANCE
INSURANCE COVERAGE
INTEREST EARNINGS
INTEREST PAYMENTS
INTEREST RATE
INTEREST RATES
INTERNATIONAL BANK
INTERNATIONAL DEBT
INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL ARCHITECTURE
INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS
INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL SYSTEM
INTERNATIONAL MONEY
INVESTMENT BOOMS
LOCAL CURRENCY
LONG-RUN EQUILIBRIUM
LOW DEBT
LOW DEBT RATIOS
LOW-INCOME COUNTRIES
author Fofack, Hippolyte
author_facet Fofack, Hippolyte
author_sort Fofack, Hippolyte
title Causality between External Debt and Capital Flight in Sub-Saharan Africa
title_short Causality between External Debt and Capital Flight in Sub-Saharan Africa
title_full Causality between External Debt and Capital Flight in Sub-Saharan Africa
title_fullStr Causality between External Debt and Capital Flight in Sub-Saharan Africa
title_full_unstemmed Causality between External Debt and Capital Flight in Sub-Saharan Africa
title_sort causality between external debt and capital flight in sub-saharan africa
publishDate 2009-09-01
url http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20090908153237
https://hdl.handle.net/10986/4235
work_keys_str_mv AT fofackhippolyte causalitybetweenexternaldebtandcapitalflightinsubsaharanafrica
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