When the Rain Stops Falling
This paper investigates the effects of severe drought shocks on Tunisia’s agriculture sector during 2000–19. Using labor force surveys aligned with granular weather data, it calculates the Standardized Potential Evapotranspiration Index to detect moderate-to-severe drought shocks at the governorate level and frames the analysis in a staggered difference-in-differences setting. The findings show that shocked areas experience a drop of 7.4 to 10.6 percentage points in agricultural employment with respect the untreated or not-yet-treated governorates. There is a contemporaneous opposite dynamic in the employment rate of low-skill and less climate-sensitive sectors, as well as a modest and transient increase in unemployment. The effects are largely heterogeneous across groups of workers, with very young individuals, women, and low-educated workers paying the highest toll.
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| Format: | Working Paper biblioteca |
| Language: | English en_US |
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Washington, DC: World Bank
2024-05-07
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| Subjects: | DROUGHT, AGRICULTURE, EMPLOYMENT, GENDER GAP, TUNISIA, CLEAN WATER AND SANITATION, SDG 6, ZERO HUNGER, SDG 2, GENDER EQUALITY, SDG 5, DECENT WORK AND ECONOMIC GROWTH, SDG 8, |
| Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099212205072411678/IDU17a7c9a48121f714d881aa161861bb79f46e4 https://hdl.handle.net/10986/41514 |
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dig-okr-10986415142024-05-10T02:23:50Z When the Rain Stops Falling Effects of Droughts on the Tunisian Labor Market Alfani, Federica Pallante, Giacomo Palma, Alessandro Talhaoui, Abdelkader DROUGHT AGRICULTURE EMPLOYMENT GENDER GAP TUNISIA CLEAN WATER AND SANITATION SDG 6 ZERO HUNGER SDG 2 GENDER EQUALITY SDG 5 DECENT WORK AND ECONOMIC GROWTH SDG 8 This paper investigates the effects of severe drought shocks on Tunisia’s agriculture sector during 2000–19. Using labor force surveys aligned with granular weather data, it calculates the Standardized Potential Evapotranspiration Index to detect moderate-to-severe drought shocks at the governorate level and frames the analysis in a staggered difference-in-differences setting. The findings show that shocked areas experience a drop of 7.4 to 10.6 percentage points in agricultural employment with respect the untreated or not-yet-treated governorates. There is a contemporaneous opposite dynamic in the employment rate of low-skill and less climate-sensitive sectors, as well as a modest and transient increase in unemployment. The effects are largely heterogeneous across groups of workers, with very young individuals, women, and low-educated workers paying the highest toll. 2024-05-07T15:59:06Z 2024-05-07T15:59:06Z 2024-05-07 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099212205072411678/IDU17a7c9a48121f714d881aa161861bb79f46e4 https://hdl.handle.net/10986/41514 English en_US Policy Research Working Paper; 10766 CC BY 3.0 IGO https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank application/pdf text/plain Washington, DC: World Bank |
| institution |
Banco Mundial |
| collection |
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| country |
Estados Unidos |
| countrycode |
US |
| component |
Bibliográfico |
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| databasecode |
dig-okr |
| tag |
biblioteca |
| region |
America del Norte |
| libraryname |
Biblioteca del Banco Mundial |
| language |
English en_US |
| topic |
DROUGHT AGRICULTURE EMPLOYMENT GENDER GAP TUNISIA CLEAN WATER AND SANITATION SDG 6 ZERO HUNGER SDG 2 GENDER EQUALITY SDG 5 DECENT WORK AND ECONOMIC GROWTH SDG 8 DROUGHT AGRICULTURE EMPLOYMENT GENDER GAP TUNISIA CLEAN WATER AND SANITATION SDG 6 ZERO HUNGER SDG 2 GENDER EQUALITY SDG 5 DECENT WORK AND ECONOMIC GROWTH SDG 8 |
| spellingShingle |
DROUGHT AGRICULTURE EMPLOYMENT GENDER GAP TUNISIA CLEAN WATER AND SANITATION SDG 6 ZERO HUNGER SDG 2 GENDER EQUALITY SDG 5 DECENT WORK AND ECONOMIC GROWTH SDG 8 DROUGHT AGRICULTURE EMPLOYMENT GENDER GAP TUNISIA CLEAN WATER AND SANITATION SDG 6 ZERO HUNGER SDG 2 GENDER EQUALITY SDG 5 DECENT WORK AND ECONOMIC GROWTH SDG 8 Alfani, Federica Pallante, Giacomo Palma, Alessandro Talhaoui, Abdelkader When the Rain Stops Falling |
| description |
This paper investigates the effects
of severe drought shocks on Tunisia’s agriculture sector
during 2000–19. Using labor force surveys aligned with
granular weather data, it calculates the Standardized
Potential Evapotranspiration Index to detect
moderate-to-severe drought shocks at the governorate level
and frames the analysis in a staggered
difference-in-differences setting. The findings show that
shocked areas experience a drop of 7.4 to 10.6 percentage
points in agricultural employment with respect the untreated
or not-yet-treated governorates. There is a contemporaneous
opposite dynamic in the employment rate of low-skill and
less climate-sensitive sectors, as well as a modest and
transient increase in unemployment. The effects are largely
heterogeneous across groups of workers, with very young
individuals, women, and low-educated workers paying the
highest toll. |
| format |
Working Paper |
| topic_facet |
DROUGHT AGRICULTURE EMPLOYMENT GENDER GAP TUNISIA CLEAN WATER AND SANITATION SDG 6 ZERO HUNGER SDG 2 GENDER EQUALITY SDG 5 DECENT WORK AND ECONOMIC GROWTH SDG 8 |
| author |
Alfani, Federica Pallante, Giacomo Palma, Alessandro Talhaoui, Abdelkader |
| author_facet |
Alfani, Federica Pallante, Giacomo Palma, Alessandro Talhaoui, Abdelkader |
| author_sort |
Alfani, Federica |
| title |
When the Rain Stops Falling |
| title_short |
When the Rain Stops Falling |
| title_full |
When the Rain Stops Falling |
| title_fullStr |
When the Rain Stops Falling |
| title_full_unstemmed |
When the Rain Stops Falling |
| title_sort |
when the rain stops falling |
| publisher |
Washington, DC: World Bank |
| publishDate |
2024-05-07 |
| url |
http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099212205072411678/IDU17a7c9a48121f714d881aa161861bb79f46e4 https://hdl.handle.net/10986/41514 |
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| _version_ |
1802820751718350848 |