Priorities for Sustainable Growth : A Strategy for Agriculture Sector Development in Tajikistan, Technical Annex 5. Agriculture Growth Decomposition
Agriculture sector growth has made a powerful contribution to post-war economic recovery in Tajikistan, accounting for approximately one third of overall economic growth from 1998 to 2004. Sector output increased by 65 percent in real terms during this period, and has now returned to the level extant at independence in 1990. Total Factor Productivity (TFP) has also increased, by 3 percent per year. Despite this progress, there is legitimate concern that this growth is unsustainable. Evidence suggests that it has been driven largely by the external factors noted above, rather than substantive changes to resources, incentives and the behavior of factor and commodity markets. First, an extensive program of policy reform, particularly in the area of land ownership, has yet to make a substantial impact on the incentive structure for agricultural workers cultivating the majority of arable land. Second, sustainable growth requires positive net investment. Third, commodity markets remain weak, with a limited capacity to translate increased demand into improved production incentives. And fourth, growth in crop production has been largely driven by low value food and cereal crops. A sustainable increase in access to rural finance will require much greater emphasis on the development of alternative sources of finance for all of agriculture, in addition to resolution of the cotton debt crisis. The capacity for agricultural loan appraisal and management also needs to be strengthened, new collateral instruments introduced and new loan products developed, which are suited to agriculture in general and small-scale farmers in particular.
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dig-okr-10986124332024-08-08T15:12:44Z Priorities for Sustainable Growth : A Strategy for Agriculture Sector Development in Tajikistan, Technical Annex 5. Agriculture Growth Decomposition World Bank AGRICULTURAL COMMODITIES AGRICULTURAL OUTPUT AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION AGRICULTURE BEEF BERRIES CIVIL WAR COLLECTIVE FARMS COMMODITY CORN COTTON COTTON CULTIVATION COTTON GROWING COTTON PRICES COTTON PRODUCTION COTTON YIELDS CROP CROP PRODUCTION CROP YIELD CROP YIELDS CROPPING CROPS CULTIVATED LAND DOMESTIC DEMAND ECONOMIC STABILITY EGGS EXPORT MARKETS FARM FARM GROWTH FARMERS FARMS FODDER FODDER CROPS GOATS GRAIN GRAPES GROSS VALUE GROWTH RATE GROWTH RATES HORTICULTURAL PRODUCTS HORTICULTURE HORTICULTURE SECTOR INFLATION LAMB LEGUMES LIVESTOCK LIVESTOCK COMMODITIES LIVESTOCK INVENTORY LIVESTOCK NUMBERS LIVESTOCK OUTPUT LIVESTOCK OWNERSHIP LIVESTOCK PRODUCTION LIVESTOCK PRODUCTIVITY LIVESTOCK SECTOR MAIZE MARKET CONDITIONS MARKETING MELONS MILK MUTTON PIGS POLITICAL STABILITY POTATOES POULTRY PRICE CHANGES PRICE INCREASES PRIVATIZATION PRODUCE PRODUCER PRICES PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH PRODUCTIVITY INCREASES RICE SEED SEED COTTON SHARE PRICES SHEEP SUBSTITUTION TOBACCO TOTAL OUTPUT TRANSACTIONS COSTS VALUE ADDED VALUE OF OUTPUT VEAL VEGETABLES VOLATILITY WHEAT WOOL YIELDS Agriculture sector growth has made a powerful contribution to post-war economic recovery in Tajikistan, accounting for approximately one third of overall economic growth from 1998 to 2004. Sector output increased by 65 percent in real terms during this period, and has now returned to the level extant at independence in 1990. Total Factor Productivity (TFP) has also increased, by 3 percent per year. Despite this progress, there is legitimate concern that this growth is unsustainable. Evidence suggests that it has been driven largely by the external factors noted above, rather than substantive changes to resources, incentives and the behavior of factor and commodity markets. First, an extensive program of policy reform, particularly in the area of land ownership, has yet to make a substantial impact on the incentive structure for agricultural workers cultivating the majority of arable land. Second, sustainable growth requires positive net investment. Third, commodity markets remain weak, with a limited capacity to translate increased demand into improved production incentives. And fourth, growth in crop production has been largely driven by low value food and cereal crops. A sustainable increase in access to rural finance will require much greater emphasis on the development of alternative sources of finance for all of agriculture, in addition to resolution of the cotton debt crisis. The capacity for agricultural loan appraisal and management also needs to be strengthened, new collateral instruments introduced and new loan products developed, which are suited to agriculture in general and small-scale farmers in particular. 2013-02-20T19:27:45Z 2013-02-20T19:27:45Z 2012 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2012/01/16279423/tajikistan-priorities-sustainable-growth-strategy-agriculture-sector-development-vol-6-7 https://hdl.handle.net/10986/12433 English en_US Public expenditure review (PER); CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank application/pdf text/plain Washington, DC |
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Banco Mundial |
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Estados Unidos |
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US |
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Bibliográfico |
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English en_US |
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AGRICULTURAL COMMODITIES AGRICULTURAL OUTPUT AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION AGRICULTURE BEEF BERRIES CIVIL WAR COLLECTIVE FARMS COMMODITY CORN COTTON COTTON CULTIVATION COTTON GROWING COTTON PRICES COTTON PRODUCTION COTTON YIELDS CROP CROP PRODUCTION CROP YIELD CROP YIELDS CROPPING CROPS CULTIVATED LAND DOMESTIC DEMAND ECONOMIC STABILITY EGGS EXPORT MARKETS FARM FARM GROWTH FARMERS FARMS FODDER FODDER CROPS GOATS GRAIN GRAPES GROSS VALUE GROWTH RATE GROWTH RATES HORTICULTURAL PRODUCTS HORTICULTURE HORTICULTURE SECTOR INFLATION LAMB LEGUMES LIVESTOCK LIVESTOCK COMMODITIES LIVESTOCK INVENTORY LIVESTOCK NUMBERS LIVESTOCK OUTPUT LIVESTOCK OWNERSHIP LIVESTOCK PRODUCTION LIVESTOCK PRODUCTIVITY LIVESTOCK SECTOR MAIZE MARKET CONDITIONS MARKETING MELONS MILK MUTTON PIGS POLITICAL STABILITY POTATOES POULTRY PRICE CHANGES PRICE INCREASES PRIVATIZATION PRODUCE PRODUCER PRICES PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH PRODUCTIVITY INCREASES RICE SEED SEED COTTON SHARE PRICES SHEEP SUBSTITUTION TOBACCO TOTAL OUTPUT TRANSACTIONS COSTS VALUE ADDED VALUE OF OUTPUT VEAL VEGETABLES VOLATILITY WHEAT WOOL YIELDS AGRICULTURAL COMMODITIES AGRICULTURAL OUTPUT AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION AGRICULTURE BEEF BERRIES CIVIL WAR COLLECTIVE FARMS COMMODITY CORN COTTON COTTON CULTIVATION COTTON GROWING COTTON PRICES COTTON PRODUCTION COTTON YIELDS CROP CROP PRODUCTION CROP YIELD CROP YIELDS CROPPING CROPS CULTIVATED LAND DOMESTIC DEMAND ECONOMIC STABILITY EGGS EXPORT MARKETS FARM FARM GROWTH FARMERS FARMS FODDER FODDER CROPS GOATS GRAIN GRAPES GROSS VALUE GROWTH RATE GROWTH RATES HORTICULTURAL PRODUCTS HORTICULTURE HORTICULTURE SECTOR INFLATION LAMB LEGUMES LIVESTOCK LIVESTOCK COMMODITIES LIVESTOCK INVENTORY LIVESTOCK NUMBERS LIVESTOCK OUTPUT LIVESTOCK OWNERSHIP LIVESTOCK PRODUCTION LIVESTOCK PRODUCTIVITY LIVESTOCK SECTOR MAIZE MARKET CONDITIONS MARKETING MELONS MILK MUTTON PIGS POLITICAL STABILITY POTATOES POULTRY PRICE CHANGES PRICE INCREASES PRIVATIZATION PRODUCE PRODUCER PRICES PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH PRODUCTIVITY INCREASES RICE SEED SEED COTTON SHARE PRICES SHEEP SUBSTITUTION TOBACCO TOTAL OUTPUT TRANSACTIONS COSTS VALUE ADDED VALUE OF OUTPUT VEAL VEGETABLES VOLATILITY WHEAT WOOL YIELDS |
| spellingShingle |
AGRICULTURAL COMMODITIES AGRICULTURAL OUTPUT AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION AGRICULTURE BEEF BERRIES CIVIL WAR COLLECTIVE FARMS COMMODITY CORN COTTON COTTON CULTIVATION COTTON GROWING COTTON PRICES COTTON PRODUCTION COTTON YIELDS CROP CROP PRODUCTION CROP YIELD CROP YIELDS CROPPING CROPS CULTIVATED LAND DOMESTIC DEMAND ECONOMIC STABILITY EGGS EXPORT MARKETS FARM FARM GROWTH FARMERS FARMS FODDER FODDER CROPS GOATS GRAIN GRAPES GROSS VALUE GROWTH RATE GROWTH RATES HORTICULTURAL PRODUCTS HORTICULTURE HORTICULTURE SECTOR INFLATION LAMB LEGUMES LIVESTOCK LIVESTOCK COMMODITIES LIVESTOCK INVENTORY LIVESTOCK NUMBERS LIVESTOCK OUTPUT LIVESTOCK OWNERSHIP LIVESTOCK PRODUCTION LIVESTOCK PRODUCTIVITY LIVESTOCK SECTOR MAIZE MARKET CONDITIONS MARKETING MELONS MILK MUTTON PIGS POLITICAL STABILITY POTATOES POULTRY PRICE CHANGES PRICE INCREASES PRIVATIZATION PRODUCE PRODUCER PRICES PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH PRODUCTIVITY INCREASES RICE SEED SEED COTTON SHARE PRICES SHEEP SUBSTITUTION TOBACCO TOTAL OUTPUT TRANSACTIONS COSTS VALUE ADDED VALUE OF OUTPUT VEAL VEGETABLES VOLATILITY WHEAT WOOL YIELDS AGRICULTURAL COMMODITIES AGRICULTURAL OUTPUT AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION AGRICULTURE BEEF BERRIES CIVIL WAR COLLECTIVE FARMS COMMODITY CORN COTTON COTTON CULTIVATION COTTON GROWING COTTON PRICES COTTON PRODUCTION COTTON YIELDS CROP CROP PRODUCTION CROP YIELD CROP YIELDS CROPPING CROPS CULTIVATED LAND DOMESTIC DEMAND ECONOMIC STABILITY EGGS EXPORT MARKETS FARM FARM GROWTH FARMERS FARMS FODDER FODDER CROPS GOATS GRAIN GRAPES GROSS VALUE GROWTH RATE GROWTH RATES HORTICULTURAL PRODUCTS HORTICULTURE HORTICULTURE SECTOR INFLATION LAMB LEGUMES LIVESTOCK LIVESTOCK COMMODITIES LIVESTOCK INVENTORY LIVESTOCK NUMBERS LIVESTOCK OUTPUT LIVESTOCK OWNERSHIP LIVESTOCK PRODUCTION LIVESTOCK PRODUCTIVITY LIVESTOCK SECTOR MAIZE MARKET CONDITIONS MARKETING MELONS MILK MUTTON PIGS POLITICAL STABILITY POTATOES POULTRY PRICE CHANGES PRICE INCREASES PRIVATIZATION PRODUCE PRODUCER PRICES PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH PRODUCTIVITY INCREASES RICE SEED SEED COTTON SHARE PRICES SHEEP SUBSTITUTION TOBACCO TOTAL OUTPUT TRANSACTIONS COSTS VALUE ADDED VALUE OF OUTPUT VEAL VEGETABLES VOLATILITY WHEAT WOOL YIELDS World Bank Priorities for Sustainable Growth : A Strategy for Agriculture Sector Development in Tajikistan, Technical Annex 5. Agriculture Growth Decomposition |
| description |
Agriculture sector growth has made a
powerful contribution to post-war economic recovery in
Tajikistan, accounting for approximately one third of
overall economic growth from 1998 to 2004. Sector output
increased by 65 percent in real terms during this period,
and has now returned to the level extant at independence in
1990. Total Factor Productivity (TFP) has also increased, by
3 percent per year. Despite this progress, there is
legitimate concern that this growth is unsustainable.
Evidence suggests that it has been driven largely by the
external factors noted above, rather than substantive
changes to resources, incentives and the behavior of factor
and commodity markets. First, an extensive program of policy
reform, particularly in the area of land ownership, has yet
to make a substantial impact on the incentive structure for
agricultural workers cultivating the majority of arable
land. Second, sustainable growth requires positive net
investment. Third, commodity markets remain weak, with a
limited capacity to translate increased demand into improved
production incentives. And fourth, growth in crop production
has been largely driven by low value food and cereal crops.
A sustainable increase in access to rural finance will
require much greater emphasis on the development of
alternative sources of finance for all of agriculture, in
addition to resolution of the cotton debt crisis. The
capacity for agricultural loan appraisal and management also
needs to be strengthened, new collateral instruments
introduced and new loan products developed, which are suited
to agriculture in general and small-scale farmers in particular. |
| topic_facet |
AGRICULTURAL COMMODITIES AGRICULTURAL OUTPUT AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION AGRICULTURE BEEF BERRIES CIVIL WAR COLLECTIVE FARMS COMMODITY CORN COTTON COTTON CULTIVATION COTTON GROWING COTTON PRICES COTTON PRODUCTION COTTON YIELDS CROP CROP PRODUCTION CROP YIELD CROP YIELDS CROPPING CROPS CULTIVATED LAND DOMESTIC DEMAND ECONOMIC STABILITY EGGS EXPORT MARKETS FARM FARM GROWTH FARMERS FARMS FODDER FODDER CROPS GOATS GRAIN GRAPES GROSS VALUE GROWTH RATE GROWTH RATES HORTICULTURAL PRODUCTS HORTICULTURE HORTICULTURE SECTOR INFLATION LAMB LEGUMES LIVESTOCK LIVESTOCK COMMODITIES LIVESTOCK INVENTORY LIVESTOCK NUMBERS LIVESTOCK OUTPUT LIVESTOCK OWNERSHIP LIVESTOCK PRODUCTION LIVESTOCK PRODUCTIVITY LIVESTOCK SECTOR MAIZE MARKET CONDITIONS MARKETING MELONS MILK MUTTON PIGS POLITICAL STABILITY POTATOES POULTRY PRICE CHANGES PRICE INCREASES PRIVATIZATION PRODUCE PRODUCER PRICES PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH PRODUCTIVITY INCREASES RICE SEED SEED COTTON SHARE PRICES SHEEP SUBSTITUTION TOBACCO TOTAL OUTPUT TRANSACTIONS COSTS VALUE ADDED VALUE OF OUTPUT VEAL VEGETABLES VOLATILITY WHEAT WOOL YIELDS |
| author |
World Bank |
| author_facet |
World Bank |
| author_sort |
World Bank |
| title |
Priorities for Sustainable Growth : A Strategy for Agriculture Sector Development in Tajikistan, Technical Annex 5. Agriculture Growth Decomposition |
| title_short |
Priorities for Sustainable Growth : A Strategy for Agriculture Sector Development in Tajikistan, Technical Annex 5. Agriculture Growth Decomposition |
| title_full |
Priorities for Sustainable Growth : A Strategy for Agriculture Sector Development in Tajikistan, Technical Annex 5. Agriculture Growth Decomposition |
| title_fullStr |
Priorities for Sustainable Growth : A Strategy for Agriculture Sector Development in Tajikistan, Technical Annex 5. Agriculture Growth Decomposition |
| title_full_unstemmed |
Priorities for Sustainable Growth : A Strategy for Agriculture Sector Development in Tajikistan, Technical Annex 5. Agriculture Growth Decomposition |
| title_sort |
priorities for sustainable growth : a strategy for agriculture sector development in tajikistan, technical annex 5. agriculture growth decomposition |
| publisher |
Washington, DC |
| publishDate |
2012 |
| url |
http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2012/01/16279423/tajikistan-priorities-sustainable-growth-strategy-agriculture-sector-development-vol-6-7 https://hdl.handle.net/10986/12433 |
| work_keys_str_mv |
AT worldbank prioritiesforsustainablegrowthastrategyforagriculturesectordevelopmentintajikistantechnicalannex5agriculturegrowthdecomposition |
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1807154336386514944 |