Future trends of marine fish biomass distributions from the North Sea to the Barents Sea
14 pages, 7 figures, 1 table, supplementary information https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-49911-9.-- Data availability: The data used in this study was obtained from bottom trawling data collated within the FishGlob60 (Accessible at https://github.com/AquaAuma/fishglob_data). The Norwegian Sea section of this data is no longer available in FishGlob, and needs to be directly asked for to the Norwegian Marine Data Centre (https://metadata.nmdc.no/metadata-api/landingpage/f77112db062b5924d079a54b311260fb). The environmental data used for calibrating the model came from the ‘Global Ocean Physics Reanalysis’ and the ‘Global Ocean Biogeochemistry Hindcast’ both of which were available through the Marine Copernicus repository61,62 at https://data.marine.copernicus.eu/products. Bottom depth was obtained from BioOracle63 at https://www.bio-oracle.org. The environmental data used for future projections came from the second version of the IPSL climate model (IPSL- CMIP6)67, and is fully accessible as well at https://esgf-data.dkrz.de/search/cmip6-dkrz/. World administrative boundaries polygons are available from opendatasoft, accessible at: https://public.opendatasoft.com/explore/dataset/world-administrative-boundaries/information90. The data generated in this study, and used for Figs. 3, 6 and 7 is provided in the Source Data file, while the output of all regression analysis are available in the Supplementary Data files, as well as the individual species range and biomass projections. The trait database gathered is available at https://github.com/CescGV/JSDM-Barents-Norwegian-North91. Source data are provided with this paper.-- Code availability: Code used for this publication is available at https://github.com/CescGV/JSDM-Barents-Norwegian-North
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Conserve and sustainably use the oceans, seas and marine resources for sustainable development Conserve and sustainably use the oceans, seas and marine resources for sustainable development |
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Conserve and sustainably use the oceans, seas and marine resources for sustainable development Conserve and sustainably use the oceans, seas and marine resources for sustainable development Gordó-Vilaseca, Francesc Costello, Mark J. Coll, Marta Jüterbock, Alexander Reiss, Henning Stephenson, Fabrice Future trends of marine fish biomass distributions from the North Sea to the Barents Sea |
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14 pages, 7 figures, 1 table, supplementary information https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-49911-9.-- Data availability: The data used in this study was obtained from bottom trawling data collated within the FishGlob60 (Accessible at https://github.com/AquaAuma/fishglob_data). The Norwegian Sea section of this data is no longer available in FishGlob, and needs to be directly asked for to the Norwegian Marine Data Centre (https://metadata.nmdc.no/metadata-api/landingpage/f77112db062b5924d079a54b311260fb). The environmental data used for calibrating the model came from the ‘Global Ocean Physics Reanalysis’ and the ‘Global Ocean Biogeochemistry Hindcast’ both of which were available through the Marine Copernicus repository61,62 at https://data.marine.copernicus.eu/products. Bottom depth was obtained from BioOracle63 at https://www.bio-oracle.org. The environmental data used for future projections came from the second version of the IPSL climate model (IPSL- CMIP6)67, and is fully accessible as well at https://esgf-data.dkrz.de/search/cmip6-dkrz/. World administrative boundaries polygons are available from opendatasoft, accessible at: https://public.opendatasoft.com/explore/dataset/world-administrative-boundaries/information90. The data generated in this study, and used for Figs. 3, 6 and 7 is provided in the Source Data file, while the output of all regression analysis are available in the Supplementary Data files, as well as the individual species range and biomass projections. The trait database gathered is available at https://github.com/CescGV/JSDM-Barents-Norwegian-North91. Source data are provided with this paper.-- Code availability: Code used for this publication is available at https://github.com/CescGV/JSDM-Barents-Norwegian-North |
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Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovación (España) |
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Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovación (España) Gordó-Vilaseca, Francesc Costello, Mark J. Coll, Marta Jüterbock, Alexander Reiss, Henning Stephenson, Fabrice |
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Conserve and sustainably use the oceans, seas and marine resources for sustainable development |
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Gordó-Vilaseca, Francesc Costello, Mark J. Coll, Marta Jüterbock, Alexander Reiss, Henning Stephenson, Fabrice |
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Gordó-Vilaseca, Francesc |
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Future trends of marine fish biomass distributions from the North Sea to the Barents Sea |
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Future trends of marine fish biomass distributions from the North Sea to the Barents Sea |
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Future trends of marine fish biomass distributions from the North Sea to the Barents Sea |
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Future trends of marine fish biomass distributions from the North Sea to the Barents Sea |
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Future trends of marine fish biomass distributions from the North Sea to the Barents Sea |
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future trends of marine fish biomass distributions from the north sea to the barents sea |
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2024-07 |
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http://hdl.handle.net/10261/365734 |
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dig-icm-es-10261-3657342024-08-12T09:39:25Z Future trends of marine fish biomass distributions from the North Sea to the Barents Sea Gordó-Vilaseca, Francesc Costello, Mark J. Coll, Marta Jüterbock, Alexander Reiss, Henning Stephenson, Fabrice Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovación (España) Agencia Estatal de Investigación (España) Nord University Conserve and sustainably use the oceans, seas and marine resources for sustainable development 14 pages, 7 figures, 1 table, supplementary information https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-49911-9.-- Data availability: The data used in this study was obtained from bottom trawling data collated within the FishGlob60 (Accessible at https://github.com/AquaAuma/fishglob_data). The Norwegian Sea section of this data is no longer available in FishGlob, and needs to be directly asked for to the Norwegian Marine Data Centre (https://metadata.nmdc.no/metadata-api/landingpage/f77112db062b5924d079a54b311260fb). The environmental data used for calibrating the model came from the ‘Global Ocean Physics Reanalysis’ and the ‘Global Ocean Biogeochemistry Hindcast’ both of which were available through the Marine Copernicus repository61,62 at https://data.marine.copernicus.eu/products. Bottom depth was obtained from BioOracle63 at https://www.bio-oracle.org. The environmental data used for future projections came from the second version of the IPSL climate model (IPSL- CMIP6)67, and is fully accessible as well at https://esgf-data.dkrz.de/search/cmip6-dkrz/. World administrative boundaries polygons are available from opendatasoft, accessible at: https://public.opendatasoft.com/explore/dataset/world-administrative-boundaries/information90. The data generated in this study, and used for Figs. 3, 6 and 7 is provided in the Source Data file, while the output of all regression analysis are available in the Supplementary Data files, as well as the individual species range and biomass projections. The trait database gathered is available at https://github.com/CescGV/JSDM-Barents-Norwegian-North91. Source data are provided with this paper.-- Code availability: Code used for this publication is available at https://github.com/CescGV/JSDM-Barents-Norwegian-North Climate warming is one of the facets of anthropogenic global change predicted to increase in the future, its magnitude depending on present-day decisions. The north Atlantic and Arctic Oceans are already undergoing community changes, with warmer-water species expanding northwards, and colder-water species retracting. However, the future extent and implications of these shifts remain unclear. Here, we fitted a joint species distribution model to occurrence data of 107, and biomass data of 61 marine fish species from 16,345 fishery independent trawls sampled between 2004 and 2022 in the northeast Atlantic Ocean, including the Barents Sea. We project overall increases in richness and declines in relative dominance in the community, and generalised increases in species’ ranges and biomass across three different future scenarios in 2050 and 2100. The projected decline of capelin and the practical extirpation of polar cod from the system, the two most abundant species in the Barents Sea, drove an overall reduction in fish biomass at Arctic latitudes that is not replaced by expanding species. Furthermore, our projections suggest that Arctic demersal fish will be at high risk of extinction by the end of the century if no climate refugia is available at eastern latitudes MC would like to acknowledge partial funding from the Spanish National Project ProOceans (PID2020−118097RB-I00) and institutional support of the ‘Severo Ochoa Centre of Excellence’ accreditation (CEX2019-000928-S). Open access funding provided by Nord University Peer reviewed 2024-08-12T09:39:25Z 2024-08-12T09:39:25Z 2024-07 artículo Nature Communications 15: 5637 (2024) 2041-1723 CEX2019-000928-S http://hdl.handle.net/10261/365734 10.1038/s41467-024-49911-9 en #PLACEHOLDER_PARENT_METADATA_VALUE# info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/AEI/Plan Estatal de Investigación Científica y Técnica y de Innovación 2017-2020/PID2020-118097RB-I00/ES/HACIA LA MEJORA DE LOS MODELOS DE ECOSISTEMAS MARINOS PARA PROYECTAR LOS EFECTOS ACUMULADOS DEL CAMBIO GLOBAL Y POSIBLES FUTUROS DEL OCEANO/ https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-49911-9 Sí open Nature Publishing Group |