Multi-hazard risk mapping using machine learning

This study maps out Ghana’s multi-hazard risk of flood and drought by using machine learning (ML) models for susceptibility analysis, socioeconomic survey for vulnerability analysis and population density for exposure analysis. The ML models used were Logistic Regression (LR), Random Forest (RF) and Support Vector Machine (SVM) with inputs of location and features of natural hazards. Topographic, precipitation, temperature, hydrology, land cover and soil cover raster images were also used in these models. The value of the Area Under the Curve (AUC) of Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve (ROC) was above 0.80 for all models except the LR model for drought classification. The best performing model was RF, with an AUC of 0.84 and 0.82 for flood and drought classification.

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Adounkpe, Peniel, Ghosh, Surajit, Amarnath, Giriraj
Format: Report biblioteca
Language:English
Published: CGIAR System Organization 2022-10-20
Subjects:drought, flood, agriculture, climate change, food systems,
Online Access:https://hdl.handle.net/10568/127621
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spelling dig-cgspace-10568-1276212023-12-08T19:36:04Z Multi-hazard risk mapping using machine learning Adounkpe, Peniel Ghosh, Surajit Amarnath, Giriraj drought flood agriculture climate change food systems This study maps out Ghana’s multi-hazard risk of flood and drought by using machine learning (ML) models for susceptibility analysis, socioeconomic survey for vulnerability analysis and population density for exposure analysis. The ML models used were Logistic Regression (LR), Random Forest (RF) and Support Vector Machine (SVM) with inputs of location and features of natural hazards. Topographic, precipitation, temperature, hydrology, land cover and soil cover raster images were also used in these models. The value of the Area Under the Curve (AUC) of Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve (ROC) was above 0.80 for all models except the LR model for drought classification. The best performing model was RF, with an AUC of 0.84 and 0.82 for flood and drought classification. 2022-10-20 2023-01-19T19:12:56Z 2023-01-19T19:12:56Z Report Adounkpe P, Ghosh S, Amarnath G. 2022. Multi-hazard Risk Mapping with Machine Learning. CGIAR Climate Resilience Initiative. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/127621 en https://hdl.handle.net/10568/121965 CC-BY-NC-ND-4.0 Open Access 23 p. application/pdf CGIAR System Organization
institution CGIAR
collection DSpace
country Francia
countrycode FR
component Bibliográfico
access En linea
databasecode dig-cgspace
tag biblioteca
region Europa del Oeste
libraryname Biblioteca del CGIAR
language English
topic drought
flood
agriculture
climate change
food systems
drought
flood
agriculture
climate change
food systems
spellingShingle drought
flood
agriculture
climate change
food systems
drought
flood
agriculture
climate change
food systems
Adounkpe, Peniel
Ghosh, Surajit
Amarnath, Giriraj
Multi-hazard risk mapping using machine learning
description This study maps out Ghana’s multi-hazard risk of flood and drought by using machine learning (ML) models for susceptibility analysis, socioeconomic survey for vulnerability analysis and population density for exposure analysis. The ML models used were Logistic Regression (LR), Random Forest (RF) and Support Vector Machine (SVM) with inputs of location and features of natural hazards. Topographic, precipitation, temperature, hydrology, land cover and soil cover raster images were also used in these models. The value of the Area Under the Curve (AUC) of Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve (ROC) was above 0.80 for all models except the LR model for drought classification. The best performing model was RF, with an AUC of 0.84 and 0.82 for flood and drought classification.
format Report
topic_facet drought
flood
agriculture
climate change
food systems
author Adounkpe, Peniel
Ghosh, Surajit
Amarnath, Giriraj
author_facet Adounkpe, Peniel
Ghosh, Surajit
Amarnath, Giriraj
author_sort Adounkpe, Peniel
title Multi-hazard risk mapping using machine learning
title_short Multi-hazard risk mapping using machine learning
title_full Multi-hazard risk mapping using machine learning
title_fullStr Multi-hazard risk mapping using machine learning
title_full_unstemmed Multi-hazard risk mapping using machine learning
title_sort multi-hazard risk mapping using machine learning
publisher CGIAR System Organization
publishDate 2022-10-20
url https://hdl.handle.net/10568/127621
work_keys_str_mv AT adounkpepeniel multihazardriskmappingusingmachinelearning
AT ghoshsurajit multihazardriskmappingusingmachinelearning
AT amarnathgiriraj multihazardriskmappingusingmachinelearning
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