Food price volatility and natural hazards in Pakistan. Measuring the impacts on hunger and food assistance

Recently there has been a marked increase in the number of countries facing food crises. Some of the underlying causes have included higher global food commodity price and increased volatility, higher frequency of severe natural disasters and political crises. National and global methods for prompt assessments are weak in supporting timely responses to food crises in many developing countries. While many sudden-onset natural disasters leave little time for assessment and response, man-made disasters present even more challenges to conducting increasingly complex and in-depth analyses. Therefore, there has been an urgent need to develop an effective Early Warning System that signals potential shocks and allows a quick response to crises. This report presents such a system: a shock impact modeling system (SISMOD) that was developed jointly by WFP and FAO, to simulate the impacts of shocks on household food consumption. The SISMOD builds on existing nationally representative household survey data. This model reduces the need for in-depth nationwide assessments, which can then be limited to the most affected areas and populations. Geographic and community targeting is made possible as the SISMOD provides estimates of the proportion of undernourished people by livelihood, income group and geographical area. It is being piloted in selected Low- Income Food- Deficit Countries (LIFDCs) that are highly vulnerable to reoccurring crises.

Bibliographic Details

Main Authors:	186608 Cheng Fang, 186548 FAO, Rome (Italy). Trade and Markets Div. eng, 186609 Sanogo, I., 186574 World Food Programme, Rome (Italy) eng, 186610 FAO, Rome (Italy). Global Information and Early Warning System eng
Format:	Texto biblioteca
Language:	eng
Published:	Rome (Italy) FAO/WFP 2014
Subjects:	foods, prices, Inflation, Natural disasters, Food consumption, Food supply, food security, early warning systems,
Online Access:	http://www.fao.org/3/a-i3808e.pdf
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