Brazilian agriculture: productivity and growth rates

Brazilian agriculture: productivity and growth rates

To evaluate the growth of the Brazilian agricultural sector, we estimated growth rates for production, area, exports, imports, consumption and productivity (when applicable), for cellulose, sugar, beef, pork and chicken, soybean grain, maize, cotton, rice, apple, grape, mango, and melon. Estimates of instantaneous (continuous capitalization) and generalized rates were performed, considering regression models and time series models, respectively. The best model was selected considering the minimization of the mean square error between observed and predicted values. The results show that production, productivity and exports of Brazilian agricultural and livestock products remain strong and expanding. This fact reinforces the understanding that, in addition to the already consolidated markets, the country has the potential to meet the needs of new markets for the Brazilian agricultural products.

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Main Authors: Souza, Geraldo da Silva e, Gomes, Eliane Gonçalves, Gazzola, Rosaura
Format: Digital revista
Language:Portuguese
Published: Ministério da Agricultura, Pecuária e Abastecimento 2022
Online Access:https://seer.sede.embrapa.br/index.php/RPA/article/view/1699
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spelling rev-rpa-br-article-16992022-04-22T12:36:27Z Brazilian agriculture: productivity and growth rates Agropecuária brasileira: produtividade e taxas de crescimento Souza, Geraldo da Silva e Gomes, Eliane Gonçalves Gazzola, Rosaura Agribusiness; time series models; generalized growth rate. Agronegócio; modelos de séries de tempo; taxa de crescimento generalizada. To evaluate the growth of the Brazilian agricultural sector, we estimated growth rates for production, area, exports, imports, consumption and productivity (when applicable), for cellulose, sugar, beef, pork and chicken, soybean grain, maize, cotton, rice, apple, grape, mango, and melon. Estimates of instantaneous (continuous capitalization) and generalized rates were performed, considering regression models and time series models, respectively. The best model was selected considering the minimization of the mean square error between observed and predicted values. The results show that production, productivity and exports of Brazilian agricultural and livestock products remain strong and expanding. This fact reinforces the understanding that, in addition to the already consolidated markets, the country has the potential to meet the needs of new markets for the Brazilian agricultural products. Para avaliar o crescimento do setor agropecuário brasileiro, foram estimadas taxas de crescimento da produção, área, exportação, importação, consumo e produtividade (quando aplicável) de celulose, açúcar, carnes bovina, suína e de frango, soja em grão, milho, algodão, arroz, maçã, uva, manga e melão. Estimativas de taxas instantâneas (capitalização contínua) e generalizadas foram feitas, considerando-se o ajuste de modelos de regressão e de séries temporais, respectivamente. A escolha do melhor modelo foi feita, tendo-se tomado como critério a minimização do erro médio quadrático entre os valores observados e os preditos. Os resultados mostram que a produção, a produtividade e as exportações de produtos agrícolas e pecuários brasileiros se mantêm fortes e em expansão. Esse fato reforça o entendimento de que, além dos mercados já consolidados, o País tem potencial para atender à abertura de novos mercados para os produtos da agropecuária brasileira. Ministério da Agricultura, Pecuária e Abastecimento 2022-04-22 Avaliado pelos pares application/pdf https://seer.sede.embrapa.br/index.php/RPA/article/view/1699 Revista de Política Agrícola; v. 31, n. 1 (2022); 86 pt
institution EMBRAPA
collection OJS
country Brasil
countrycode BR
component Revista
access En linea
databasecode rev-rpa-br
tag revista
region America del Sur
libraryname Sistema de bibliotecas de EMBRAPA
language Portuguese
format Digital
author Souza, Geraldo da Silva e
Gomes, Eliane Gonçalves
Gazzola, Rosaura
spellingShingle Souza, Geraldo da Silva e
Gomes, Eliane Gonçalves
Gazzola, Rosaura
Brazilian agriculture: productivity and growth rates
author_facet Souza, Geraldo da Silva e
Gomes, Eliane Gonçalves
Gazzola, Rosaura
author_sort Souza, Geraldo da Silva e
title Brazilian agriculture: productivity and growth rates
title_short Brazilian agriculture: productivity and growth rates
title_full Brazilian agriculture: productivity and growth rates
title_fullStr Brazilian agriculture: productivity and growth rates
title_full_unstemmed Brazilian agriculture: productivity and growth rates
title_sort brazilian agriculture: productivity and growth rates
description To evaluate the growth of the Brazilian agricultural sector, we estimated growth rates for production, area, exports, imports, consumption and productivity (when applicable), for cellulose, sugar, beef, pork and chicken, soybean grain, maize, cotton, rice, apple, grape, mango, and melon. Estimates of instantaneous (continuous capitalization) and generalized rates were performed, considering regression models and time series models, respectively. The best model was selected considering the minimization of the mean square error between observed and predicted values. The results show that production, productivity and exports of Brazilian agricultural and livestock products remain strong and expanding. This fact reinforces the understanding that, in addition to the already consolidated markets, the country has the potential to meet the needs of new markets for the Brazilian agricultural products.
publisher Ministério da Agricultura, Pecuária e Abastecimento
publishDate 2022
url https://seer.sede.embrapa.br/index.php/RPA/article/view/1699
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AT souzageraldodasilvae agropecuariabrasileiraprodutividadeetaxasdecrescimento
AT gomeselianegoncalves agropecuariabrasileiraprodutividadeetaxasdecrescimento
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