Performance of prognostic markers in pediatric sepsis

Abstract Objective To evaluate the prognostic performance of the Pediatric Index of Mortality 2 (PIM2), ferritin, lactate, C-reactive protein (CRP), and leukocytes, alone and in combination, in pediatric patients with sepsis admitted to the pediatric intensive care unit (PICU). Methods A retrospective study was conducted in a PICU in Brazil. All patients aged 6 months to 18 years admitted with a diagnosis of sepsis were eligible for inclusion. Those with ferritin and C-reactive protein measured within 48 h and lactate and leukocytes within 24 h of admission were included in the prognostic performance analysis. Results Of 350 eligible patients with sepsis, 294 had undergone all measurements required for analysis and were included in the study. PIM2, ferritin, lactate, and CRP had good discriminatory power for mortality, with PIM2 and ferritin being superior to CRP. The cutoff values for PIM2 (> 14%), ferritin (> 135 ng/mL), lactate (> 1.7 mmol/L), and CRP (> 6.7 mg/mL) were associated with mortality. The combination of ferritin, lactate, and CRP had a positive predictive value of 43% for mortality, similar to that of PIM2 alone (38.6%). The combined use of the three biomarkers plus PIM2 increased the positive predictive value to 76% and accuracy to 0.945. Conclusions PIM2, ferritin, lactate, and CRP alone showed good prognostic performance for mortality in pediatric patients older than 6 months with sepsis. When combined, they were able to predict death in three-fourths of the patients with sepsis. Total leukocyte count was not useful as a prognostic marker.

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Main Authors: Tonial,Cristian Tedesco, Costa,Caroline Abud Drumond, Andrades,Gabriela Rupp Hanzen, Crestani,Francielly, Bruno,Francisco, Piva,Jefferson Pedro, Garcia,Pedro Celiny Ramos
Format: Digital revista
Language:English
Published: Sociedade Brasileira de Pediatria 2021
Online Access:http://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0021-75572021000300287
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spelling oai:scielo:S0021-755720210003002872021-06-30Performance of prognostic markers in pediatric sepsisTonial,Cristian TedescoCosta,Caroline Abud DrumondAndrades,Gabriela Rupp HanzenCrestani,FranciellyBruno,FranciscoPiva,Jefferson PedroGarcia,Pedro Celiny Ramos Sepsis Mortality Biomarkers Intensive care units Pediatric Prognosis Abstract Objective To evaluate the prognostic performance of the Pediatric Index of Mortality 2 (PIM2), ferritin, lactate, C-reactive protein (CRP), and leukocytes, alone and in combination, in pediatric patients with sepsis admitted to the pediatric intensive care unit (PICU). Methods A retrospective study was conducted in a PICU in Brazil. All patients aged 6 months to 18 years admitted with a diagnosis of sepsis were eligible for inclusion. Those with ferritin and C-reactive protein measured within 48 h and lactate and leukocytes within 24 h of admission were included in the prognostic performance analysis. Results Of 350 eligible patients with sepsis, 294 had undergone all measurements required for analysis and were included in the study. PIM2, ferritin, lactate, and CRP had good discriminatory power for mortality, with PIM2 and ferritin being superior to CRP. The cutoff values for PIM2 (> 14%), ferritin (> 135 ng/mL), lactate (> 1.7 mmol/L), and CRP (> 6.7 mg/mL) were associated with mortality. The combination of ferritin, lactate, and CRP had a positive predictive value of 43% for mortality, similar to that of PIM2 alone (38.6%). The combined use of the three biomarkers plus PIM2 increased the positive predictive value to 76% and accuracy to 0.945. Conclusions PIM2, ferritin, lactate, and CRP alone showed good prognostic performance for mortality in pediatric patients older than 6 months with sepsis. When combined, they were able to predict death in three-fourths of the patients with sepsis. Total leukocyte count was not useful as a prognostic marker.info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessSociedade Brasileira de PediatriaJornal de Pediatria v.97 n.3 20212021-06-01info:eu-repo/semantics/articletext/htmlhttp://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0021-75572021000300287en10.1016/j.jped.2020.07.008
institution SCIELO
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country Brasil
countrycode BR
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databasecode rev-scielo-br
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libraryname SciELO
language English
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author Tonial,Cristian Tedesco
Costa,Caroline Abud Drumond
Andrades,Gabriela Rupp Hanzen
Crestani,Francielly
Bruno,Francisco
Piva,Jefferson Pedro
Garcia,Pedro Celiny Ramos
spellingShingle Tonial,Cristian Tedesco
Costa,Caroline Abud Drumond
Andrades,Gabriela Rupp Hanzen
Crestani,Francielly
Bruno,Francisco
Piva,Jefferson Pedro
Garcia,Pedro Celiny Ramos
Performance of prognostic markers in pediatric sepsis
author_facet Tonial,Cristian Tedesco
Costa,Caroline Abud Drumond
Andrades,Gabriela Rupp Hanzen
Crestani,Francielly
Bruno,Francisco
Piva,Jefferson Pedro
Garcia,Pedro Celiny Ramos
author_sort Tonial,Cristian Tedesco
title Performance of prognostic markers in pediatric sepsis
title_short Performance of prognostic markers in pediatric sepsis
title_full Performance of prognostic markers in pediatric sepsis
title_fullStr Performance of prognostic markers in pediatric sepsis
title_full_unstemmed Performance of prognostic markers in pediatric sepsis
title_sort performance of prognostic markers in pediatric sepsis
description Abstract Objective To evaluate the prognostic performance of the Pediatric Index of Mortality 2 (PIM2), ferritin, lactate, C-reactive protein (CRP), and leukocytes, alone and in combination, in pediatric patients with sepsis admitted to the pediatric intensive care unit (PICU). Methods A retrospective study was conducted in a PICU in Brazil. All patients aged 6 months to 18 years admitted with a diagnosis of sepsis were eligible for inclusion. Those with ferritin and C-reactive protein measured within 48 h and lactate and leukocytes within 24 h of admission were included in the prognostic performance analysis. Results Of 350 eligible patients with sepsis, 294 had undergone all measurements required for analysis and were included in the study. PIM2, ferritin, lactate, and CRP had good discriminatory power for mortality, with PIM2 and ferritin being superior to CRP. The cutoff values for PIM2 (> 14%), ferritin (> 135 ng/mL), lactate (> 1.7 mmol/L), and CRP (> 6.7 mg/mL) were associated with mortality. The combination of ferritin, lactate, and CRP had a positive predictive value of 43% for mortality, similar to that of PIM2 alone (38.6%). The combined use of the three biomarkers plus PIM2 increased the positive predictive value to 76% and accuracy to 0.945. Conclusions PIM2, ferritin, lactate, and CRP alone showed good prognostic performance for mortality in pediatric patients older than 6 months with sepsis. When combined, they were able to predict death in three-fourths of the patients with sepsis. Total leukocyte count was not useful as a prognostic marker.
publisher Sociedade Brasileira de Pediatria
publishDate 2021
url http://old.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0021-75572021000300287
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