Mongolia Economic Update, May 2024

Mongolia’s economy has recovered but the current economic expansion was largely driven by strong coal exports. Public and private consumption growth also supported the economy, spurred by rising household income and the 2023 supplementary budget. Despite increased public spending, the government’s fiscal position improved in 2023, driven by higher mining revenues, resulting in a reduction in public debt. The medium-term growth outlook remains favorable, mainly supported by the mining industry. Higher coal exports also improved the external position. Looking ahead, economic growth is expected to slow to 4.8 percent in 2024 as coal exports decline from their peak in 2023 and the agriculture sector continues to be affected by harsh climate conditions. Fiscal expansion and rising household incomes are expected to elevate inflationary pressures in 2024.

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: World Bank
Format: Report biblioteca
Language:English
en_US
Published: Washington, DC: World Bank 2024-05-14
Subjects:DZUD, LIVESTOCK LOSSES, MINING AND TRANSPORTATION, INFLATION, COAL EXPORT, SDG 8, AFFORDABLE AND CLEAN ENERGY, SDG 7, DECENT WORK AND ECONOMIC GROWTH,
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099712205072440750/IDU1fde5a8a51b4eb142e01be4218294b9579332
https://hdl.handle.net/10986/41540
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Summary:Mongolia’s economy has recovered but the current economic expansion was largely driven by strong coal exports. Public and private consumption growth also supported the economy, spurred by rising household income and the 2023 supplementary budget. Despite increased public spending, the government’s fiscal position improved in 2023, driven by higher mining revenues, resulting in a reduction in public debt. The medium-term growth outlook remains favorable, mainly supported by the mining industry. Higher coal exports also improved the external position. Looking ahead, economic growth is expected to slow to 4.8 percent in 2024 as coal exports decline from their peak in 2023 and the agriculture sector continues to be affected by harsh climate conditions. Fiscal expansion and rising household incomes are expected to elevate inflationary pressures in 2024.