Droughts Worsen Air Quality by Shifting Power Generation in Latin America and the Caribbean
This paper studies how air quality around combustion power plants changes in response to hydrological droughts that affect hydropower generation. Using fixed-effect and post-double selection methods, the paper analyzes a unique plant-level panel of fine particulate matter concentrations and meteorological conditions spanning 20 years at monthly frequency. The findings show that, on average, hydrological droughts lead to 0.83 micrograms per cubic meter excess fine particulate matter, equivalent to a 5.3 percent increase from non-drought conditions. Counterfactual simulations for the region indicate that this excess fine particulate matter may have resulted in up to 10,000 premature deaths annually. Combining the estimates with climate, demographic, and policy projections, the paper also shows that this health burden will likely persist over the next four decades.
Main Authors: | , , |
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Format: | Working Paper biblioteca |
Language: | English en_US |
Published: |
Washington, DC: World Bank
2024-05-06
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Subjects: | DROUGHT, ELECTRICITY GENERATION, AIR QUALITY, HEALTH, POVERTY, CLIMATE CHANGE, AFFORDABLE AND CLEAN ENERGY, SDG 7, CLIMATE ACTION, SDG 13, GOOD HEALTH AND WELL-BEING, SDG 3, NO POVERTY, SDG 1, |
Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099200305032441685/IDU18158e2681ceeb14d7b1a4c119eb690ffe169 https://hdl.handle.net/10986/41500 |
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dig-okr-10986415002024-05-09T02:24:09Z Droughts Worsen Air Quality by Shifting Power Generation in Latin America and the Caribbean Eriksson, Mathilda del Valle, Alejandro De La Fuente, Alejandro DROUGHT ELECTRICITY GENERATION AIR QUALITY HEALTH POVERTY CLIMATE CHANGE AFFORDABLE AND CLEAN ENERGY SDG 7 CLIMATE ACTION SDG 13 GOOD HEALTH AND WELL-BEING SDG 3 NO POVERTY SDG 1 This paper studies how air quality around combustion power plants changes in response to hydrological droughts that affect hydropower generation. Using fixed-effect and post-double selection methods, the paper analyzes a unique plant-level panel of fine particulate matter concentrations and meteorological conditions spanning 20 years at monthly frequency. The findings show that, on average, hydrological droughts lead to 0.83 micrograms per cubic meter excess fine particulate matter, equivalent to a 5.3 percent increase from non-drought conditions. Counterfactual simulations for the region indicate that this excess fine particulate matter may have resulted in up to 10,000 premature deaths annually. Combining the estimates with climate, demographic, and policy projections, the paper also shows that this health burden will likely persist over the next four decades. 2024-05-06T13:09:53Z 2024-05-06T13:09:53Z 2024-05-06 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099200305032441685/IDU18158e2681ceeb14d7b1a4c119eb690ffe169 https://hdl.handle.net/10986/41500 English en_US Policy Research Working Paper; 10760 CC BY 3.0 IGO https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank application/pdf text/plain Washington, DC: World Bank |
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DROUGHT ELECTRICITY GENERATION AIR QUALITY HEALTH POVERTY CLIMATE CHANGE AFFORDABLE AND CLEAN ENERGY SDG 7 CLIMATE ACTION SDG 13 GOOD HEALTH AND WELL-BEING SDG 3 NO POVERTY SDG 1 DROUGHT ELECTRICITY GENERATION AIR QUALITY HEALTH POVERTY CLIMATE CHANGE AFFORDABLE AND CLEAN ENERGY SDG 7 CLIMATE ACTION SDG 13 GOOD HEALTH AND WELL-BEING SDG 3 NO POVERTY SDG 1 |
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DROUGHT ELECTRICITY GENERATION AIR QUALITY HEALTH POVERTY CLIMATE CHANGE AFFORDABLE AND CLEAN ENERGY SDG 7 CLIMATE ACTION SDG 13 GOOD HEALTH AND WELL-BEING SDG 3 NO POVERTY SDG 1 DROUGHT ELECTRICITY GENERATION AIR QUALITY HEALTH POVERTY CLIMATE CHANGE AFFORDABLE AND CLEAN ENERGY SDG 7 CLIMATE ACTION SDG 13 GOOD HEALTH AND WELL-BEING SDG 3 NO POVERTY SDG 1 Eriksson, Mathilda del Valle, Alejandro De La Fuente, Alejandro Droughts Worsen Air Quality by Shifting Power Generation in Latin America and the Caribbean |
description |
This paper studies how air quality
around combustion power plants changes in response to
hydrological droughts that affect hydropower generation.
Using fixed-effect and post-double selection methods, the
paper analyzes a unique plant-level panel of fine
particulate matter concentrations and meteorological
conditions spanning 20 years at monthly frequency. The
findings show that, on average, hydrological droughts lead
to 0.83 micrograms per cubic meter excess fine particulate
matter, equivalent to a 5.3 percent increase from
non-drought conditions. Counterfactual simulations for the
region indicate that this excess fine particulate matter may
have resulted in up to 10,000 premature deaths annually.
Combining the estimates with climate, demographic, and
policy projections, the paper also shows that this health
burden will likely persist over the next four decades. |
format |
Working Paper |
topic_facet |
DROUGHT ELECTRICITY GENERATION AIR QUALITY HEALTH POVERTY CLIMATE CHANGE AFFORDABLE AND CLEAN ENERGY SDG 7 CLIMATE ACTION SDG 13 GOOD HEALTH AND WELL-BEING SDG 3 NO POVERTY SDG 1 |
author |
Eriksson, Mathilda del Valle, Alejandro De La Fuente, Alejandro |
author_facet |
Eriksson, Mathilda del Valle, Alejandro De La Fuente, Alejandro |
author_sort |
Eriksson, Mathilda |
title |
Droughts Worsen Air Quality by Shifting Power Generation in Latin America and the Caribbean |
title_short |
Droughts Worsen Air Quality by Shifting Power Generation in Latin America and the Caribbean |
title_full |
Droughts Worsen Air Quality by Shifting Power Generation in Latin America and the Caribbean |
title_fullStr |
Droughts Worsen Air Quality by Shifting Power Generation in Latin America and the Caribbean |
title_full_unstemmed |
Droughts Worsen Air Quality by Shifting Power Generation in Latin America and the Caribbean |
title_sort |
droughts worsen air quality by shifting power generation in latin america and the caribbean |
publisher |
Washington, DC: World Bank |
publishDate |
2024-05-06 |
url |
http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099200305032441685/IDU18158e2681ceeb14d7b1a4c119eb690ffe169 https://hdl.handle.net/10986/41500 |
work_keys_str_mv |
AT erikssonmathilda droughtsworsenairqualitybyshiftingpowergenerationinlatinamericaandthecaribbean AT delvallealejandro droughtsworsenairqualitybyshiftingpowergenerationinlatinamericaandthecaribbean AT delafuentealejandro droughtsworsenairqualitybyshiftingpowergenerationinlatinamericaandthecaribbean |
_version_ |
1802820751411118080 |