Moving to Adaptation?
Using data on the paths of all hurricanes in the Atlantic Basin from 1992 to 2017, this paper studies whether migration has served as a form of adaptation to hurricane risk. The findings show that on average hurricanes have little to no impact on county out-migration, with population-weighted exposure to hurricanes increasing slightly over the sample period. Counties with high economic activity see net in-migration in the years after a hurricane. Further, return migration likely plays a role in offsetting any out-migration in the year of the storm. The intensity of pre-hurricane migration between county pairs is a strong predictor of excess migration after a hurricane, suggesting that existing economic and social ties dominate in post-hurricane migration decisions. Given existing policies and incentives, the economic and social benefits that people derive from living in high-risk areas currently outweigh the incentive to adapt to future storms by relocating across counties.
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Format: | Working Paper biblioteca |
Language: | English English |
Published: |
World Bank, Washington, DC
2023-07-27
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Subjects: | CYCLONES, CLIMATE CHANGE, ADAPTATION TO RISK, MIGRATION, |
Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099315507272320722/IDU094cddbee04f5004bcf083120ff7d068d8c5a https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/40119 |
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dig-okr-10986401192024-03-11T19:23:59Z Moving to Adaptation? Understanding the Migratory Response to Hurricanes in the United States Behrer, A. Patrick Bolotnyy, Valentin CYCLONES CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION TO RISK MIGRATION Using data on the paths of all hurricanes in the Atlantic Basin from 1992 to 2017, this paper studies whether migration has served as a form of adaptation to hurricane risk. The findings show that on average hurricanes have little to no impact on county out-migration, with population-weighted exposure to hurricanes increasing slightly over the sample period. Counties with high economic activity see net in-migration in the years after a hurricane. Further, return migration likely plays a role in offsetting any out-migration in the year of the storm. The intensity of pre-hurricane migration between county pairs is a strong predictor of excess migration after a hurricane, suggesting that existing economic and social ties dominate in post-hurricane migration decisions. Given existing policies and incentives, the economic and social benefits that people derive from living in high-risk areas currently outweigh the incentive to adapt to future storms by relocating across counties. 2023-07-31T19:56:16Z 2023-07-31T19:56:16Z 2023-07-27 Working Paper http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099315507272320722/IDU094cddbee04f5004bcf083120ff7d068d8c5a https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/40119 English en Policy Research Working Papers; 10528 CC BY 3.0 IGO https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank application/pdf text/plain World Bank, Washington, DC |
institution |
Banco Mundial |
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country |
Estados Unidos |
countrycode |
US |
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Bibliográfico |
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En linea |
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dig-okr |
tag |
biblioteca |
region |
America del Norte |
libraryname |
Biblioteca del Banco Mundial |
language |
English English |
topic |
CYCLONES CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION TO RISK MIGRATION CYCLONES CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION TO RISK MIGRATION |
spellingShingle |
CYCLONES CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION TO RISK MIGRATION CYCLONES CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION TO RISK MIGRATION Behrer, A. Patrick Bolotnyy, Valentin Moving to Adaptation? |
description |
Using data on the paths of all
hurricanes in the Atlantic Basin from 1992 to 2017, this
paper studies whether migration has served as a form of
adaptation to hurricane risk. The findings show that on
average hurricanes have little to no impact on county
out-migration, with population-weighted exposure to
hurricanes increasing slightly over the sample period.
Counties with high economic activity see net in-migration in
the years after a hurricane. Further, return migration
likely plays a role in offsetting any out-migration in the
year of the storm. The intensity of pre-hurricane migration
between county pairs is a strong predictor of excess
migration after a hurricane, suggesting that existing
economic and social ties dominate in post-hurricane
migration decisions. Given existing policies and incentives,
the economic and social benefits that people derive from
living in high-risk areas currently outweigh the incentive
to adapt to future storms by relocating across counties. |
format |
Working Paper |
topic_facet |
CYCLONES CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION TO RISK MIGRATION |
author |
Behrer, A. Patrick Bolotnyy, Valentin |
author_facet |
Behrer, A. Patrick Bolotnyy, Valentin |
author_sort |
Behrer, A. Patrick |
title |
Moving to Adaptation? |
title_short |
Moving to Adaptation? |
title_full |
Moving to Adaptation? |
title_fullStr |
Moving to Adaptation? |
title_full_unstemmed |
Moving to Adaptation? |
title_sort |
moving to adaptation? |
publisher |
World Bank, Washington, DC |
publishDate |
2023-07-27 |
url |
http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099315507272320722/IDU094cddbee04f5004bcf083120ff7d068d8c5a https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/40119 |
work_keys_str_mv |
AT behrerapatrick movingtoadaptation AT bolotnyyvalentin movingtoadaptation AT behrerapatrick understandingthemigratoryresponsetohurricanesintheunitedstates AT bolotnyyvalentin understandingthemigratoryresponsetohurricanesintheunitedstates |
_version_ |
1794797152126369792 |