Brazil 2021 Data Update
There is evidence of significant under-coverage of the “Auxilio Emergencial” program in Brazil’s Continuous National Household Sample Survey (PNADC in Portuguese) 2021. The program, originally launched as an emergency measure by the Government of Brazil to support families during the pandemic, covered over 68 million individuals in 2020. The previous PNADC 2020 only observed about 20 million, and an approach to impute AE beneficiary status was applied to complement the observed AE status and better capture households’ welfare. A new version of the AE program was launched in 2021. AE in 2021 covered 36 million, while the PNADC 2021 only observed 8 million. An adjustment that incorporates the eligibility criteria of AE 2021 is implemented in the calculation of households’ income and poverty rates. The imputation method described here is included in the World Bank’s poverty and inequality estimates for Brazil 2021 (published in March 2023). The poverty estimates in 2021 are 28.4 percent at the US$6.85 poverty line and 5.8 percent at the US$2.15 line. The Gini coefficient is estimated at 0.526. A set of robustness checks shows qualitatively similar results.
Main Authors: | , |
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Format: | Working Paper biblioteca |
Language: | English en_US |
Published: |
Washington, DC: World Bank
2023-04-01
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Subjects: | POVERTY, INEQUALITY, COVID-19, EMERGENCY TRANSFERS, NON-SAMPLING BIAS, |
Online Access: | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099334304122319773/IDU0a5bb83fe02e000416c0a18f09fbdd3950173 https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/39925 |
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Summary: | There is evidence of significant
under-coverage of the “Auxilio Emergencial” program in
Brazil’s Continuous National Household Sample Survey (PNADC
in Portuguese) 2021. The program, originally launched as an
emergency measure by the Government of Brazil to support
families during the pandemic, covered over 68 million
individuals in 2020. The previous PNADC 2020 only observed
about 20 million, and an approach to impute AE beneficiary
status was applied to complement the observed AE status and
better capture households’ welfare. A new version of the AE
program was launched in 2021. AE in 2021 covered 36 million,
while the PNADC 2021 only observed 8 million. An adjustment
that incorporates the eligibility criteria of AE 2021 is
implemented in the calculation of households’ income and
poverty rates. The imputation method described here is
included in the World Bank’s poverty and inequality
estimates for Brazil 2021 (published in March 2023). The
poverty estimates in 2021 are 28.4 percent at the US$6.85
poverty line and 5.8 percent at the US$2.15 line. The Gini
coefficient is estimated at 0.526. A set of robustness
checks shows qualitatively similar results. |
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