Targeting in Tax Compliance Interventions

Tax authorities often use low-cost communication with taxpayers to encourage voluntary compliance and avoid other costly interventions. This paper reports findings from an experiment with more than 30,000 taxpayers in Honduras, designed to assess how taxpayers with different risk scores respond to a communication intervention. Across several outcomes, the average effect of the intervention on compliance was 0. Contrary to the expectation of experts surveyed, only taxpayers considered to be at low risk of noncompliance increase their filing and reported income. Using rich administrative data and a causal forest algorithm, the paper finds that ex-ante predicted risk and responsiveness to the intervention are negatively correlated. These findings can inform the design of targeted interventions by tax authorities.

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Del Carmen, Giselle, Espinal Hernandez, Edgardo Enrique, De Gouvea Scot De Arruda, Thiago
Format: Working Paper biblioteca
Language:English
Published: Washington, DC: World Bank 2022-03-14
Subjects:TAX AUTHORITY, DEVELOPMENT IMPACT EVALUATION, INCOME TAX DECLARATION, INTERNATIONAL GOOD PRACTICE, INCOME TAX FILING, INCOME TAX LIABILITY,
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/653411647279081382/Targeting-in-Tax-Compliance-Interventions-Experimental-Evidence-from-Honduras
https://hdl.handle.net/10986/37155
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spelling dig-okr-10986371552024-09-17T14:15:59Z Targeting in Tax Compliance Interventions Experimental Evidence from Honduras Del Carmen, Giselle Espinal Hernandez, Edgardo Enrique De Gouvea Scot De Arruda, Thiago TAX AUTHORITY DEVELOPMENT IMPACT EVALUATION INCOME TAX DECLARATION INTERNATIONAL GOOD PRACTICE INCOME TAX FILING INCOME TAX LIABILITY Tax authorities often use low-cost communication with taxpayers to encourage voluntary compliance and avoid other costly interventions. This paper reports findings from an experiment with more than 30,000 taxpayers in Honduras, designed to assess how taxpayers with different risk scores respond to a communication intervention. Across several outcomes, the average effect of the intervention on compliance was 0. Contrary to the expectation of experts surveyed, only taxpayers considered to be at low risk of noncompliance increase their filing and reported income. Using rich administrative data and a causal forest algorithm, the paper finds that ex-ante predicted risk and responsiveness to the intervention are negatively correlated. These findings can inform the design of targeted interventions by tax authorities. 2022-03-17T17:41:43Z 2022-03-17T17:41:43Z 2022-03-14 Working Paper Document de travail Documento de trabajo http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/653411647279081382/Targeting-in-Tax-Compliance-Interventions-Experimental-Evidence-from-Honduras https://hdl.handle.net/10986/37155 English Policy Research Working Paper; 9967 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank application/pdf text/plain Washington, DC: World Bank
institution Banco Mundial
collection DSpace
country Estados Unidos
countrycode US
component Bibliográfico
access En linea
databasecode dig-okr
tag biblioteca
region America del Norte
libraryname Biblioteca del Banco Mundial
language English
topic TAX AUTHORITY
DEVELOPMENT IMPACT EVALUATION
INCOME TAX DECLARATION
INTERNATIONAL GOOD PRACTICE
INCOME TAX FILING
INCOME TAX LIABILITY
TAX AUTHORITY
DEVELOPMENT IMPACT EVALUATION
INCOME TAX DECLARATION
INTERNATIONAL GOOD PRACTICE
INCOME TAX FILING
INCOME TAX LIABILITY
spellingShingle TAX AUTHORITY
DEVELOPMENT IMPACT EVALUATION
INCOME TAX DECLARATION
INTERNATIONAL GOOD PRACTICE
INCOME TAX FILING
INCOME TAX LIABILITY
TAX AUTHORITY
DEVELOPMENT IMPACT EVALUATION
INCOME TAX DECLARATION
INTERNATIONAL GOOD PRACTICE
INCOME TAX FILING
INCOME TAX LIABILITY
Del Carmen, Giselle
Espinal Hernandez, Edgardo Enrique
De Gouvea Scot De Arruda, Thiago
Targeting in Tax Compliance Interventions
description Tax authorities often use low-cost communication with taxpayers to encourage voluntary compliance and avoid other costly interventions. This paper reports findings from an experiment with more than 30,000 taxpayers in Honduras, designed to assess how taxpayers with different risk scores respond to a communication intervention. Across several outcomes, the average effect of the intervention on compliance was 0. Contrary to the expectation of experts surveyed, only taxpayers considered to be at low risk of noncompliance increase their filing and reported income. Using rich administrative data and a causal forest algorithm, the paper finds that ex-ante predicted risk and responsiveness to the intervention are negatively correlated. These findings can inform the design of targeted interventions by tax authorities.
format Working Paper
topic_facet TAX AUTHORITY
DEVELOPMENT IMPACT EVALUATION
INCOME TAX DECLARATION
INTERNATIONAL GOOD PRACTICE
INCOME TAX FILING
INCOME TAX LIABILITY
author Del Carmen, Giselle
Espinal Hernandez, Edgardo Enrique
De Gouvea Scot De Arruda, Thiago
author_facet Del Carmen, Giselle
Espinal Hernandez, Edgardo Enrique
De Gouvea Scot De Arruda, Thiago
author_sort Del Carmen, Giselle
title Targeting in Tax Compliance Interventions
title_short Targeting in Tax Compliance Interventions
title_full Targeting in Tax Compliance Interventions
title_fullStr Targeting in Tax Compliance Interventions
title_full_unstemmed Targeting in Tax Compliance Interventions
title_sort targeting in tax compliance interventions
publisher Washington, DC: World Bank
publishDate 2022-03-14
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/653411647279081382/Targeting-in-Tax-Compliance-Interventions-Experimental-Evidence-from-Honduras
https://hdl.handle.net/10986/37155
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AT delcarmengiselle experimentalevidencefromhonduras
AT espinalhernandezedgardoenrique experimentalevidencefromhonduras
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