The Impact of Climate Change on Global Tropical Storm Damages
This paper constructs an integrated assessment model of tropical cyclones in order to quantify the impact that climate change may have on tropical cyclone damages in countries around the world. The paper relies on a tropical cyclone generator in each ocean and several climate models to predict tropical cyclones with and without climate change. A damage model is constructed to compute the resulting damage when a cyclone strikes each country. Economic development is expected to double global tropical cyclone damages because more will be in harm's way. Climate change is expected to double global damage again, causing an additional $54 billion of damage per year. The damage is projected to be concentrated in North America and eastern Asia but many Caribbean islands will suffer the highest damages per unit of GDP. Most of the increased damage will be caused by rare but very powerful storms.
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dig-okr-1098636382024-08-08T15:31:05Z The Impact of Climate Change on Global Tropical Storm Damages Mendelsohn, Robert Emanuel, Kerry Chonabayashi, Shun APPLIED METEOROLOGY ATMOSPHERE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE BAROMETRIC PRESSURE BLANKET BUILDING CODES CALCULATION CATASTROPHIC INSURANCE CLIMATE CLIMATE CHANGE CLIMATE CHANGE DAMAGE CLIMATE CHANGE DAMAGES CLIMATE CHANGE ECONOMICS CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS CLIMATE CHANGE PREDICTIONS CLIMATE CHANGES CLIMATE CONDITIONS CLIMATE DATA CLIMATE DYNAMICS CLIMATE MODEL CLIMATE MODELS CLIMATE RESEARCH CLIMATE SCENARIO CLIMATE SCENARIOS CLIMATE SYSTEM CLIMATES CLIMATOLOGY CO2 COSTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE CYCLONE ACTIVITIES CYCLONE CENTER CYCLONE TRACKS DAMAGE ASSESSMENT DISASTER DISASTER REDUCTION DISASTER RELIEF ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMICS OF CLIMATE CHANGE EFFECT OF CLIMATE CHANGE EMISSION EMISSION PATH EMISSION SCENARIO EMISSIONS EMISSIONS SCENARIO EMISSIONS SCENARIOS EXTREME EVENT EXTREME EVENTS FATALITIES FATALITY FLOOD FLOOD INSURANCE GCM GENERAL CIRCULATION MODEL GENERATOR GLOBAL CLIMATE GLOBAL EMISSIONS GLOBAL WARMING GREENHOUSE GREENHOUSE GAS GREENHOUSE GAS CONCENTRATIONS GREENHOUSE GAS MITIGATION GREENHOUSE GASES GWP HURRICANE HURRICANES IMPACT OF CLIMATE IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS FROM CLIMATE CHANGE INCOME INTENSITY OF STORMS INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE IPCC LAND USE MAXIMUM WIND SPEED METEOROLOGY NATIONAL INCOME NATURAL HAZARDS OCEAN BASINS OCEANS POLICY MAKERS PRESENT VALUE PROBABILITY DENSITY PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTION RISK ANALYSIS SCENARIOS SCIENTISTS SEA LEVEL RISE SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES SEA WALLS SOCIAL AFFAIRS SOLAR RADIATION STORM DAMAGE STORM DAMAGES STORM SURGES STORMS TEMPERATURE TEMPERATURE CHANGES TOTAL DAMAGES TROPICAL CYCLONE TROPICAL CYCLONE IMPACTS TROPICAL CYCLONE INTENSITY TROPICAL CYCLONES TROPICAL STORM TROPICAL STORMS TYPHOONS UNCERTAINTIES VULNERABILITY TO CLIMATE CHANGE WARMER CLIMATE WEATHER WIND WIND DIRECTION WIND SHEAR WIND SPEED WIND SPEEDS This paper constructs an integrated assessment model of tropical cyclones in order to quantify the impact that climate change may have on tropical cyclone damages in countries around the world. The paper relies on a tropical cyclone generator in each ocean and several climate models to predict tropical cyclones with and without climate change. A damage model is constructed to compute the resulting damage when a cyclone strikes each country. Economic development is expected to double global tropical cyclone damages because more will be in harm's way. Climate change is expected to double global damage again, causing an additional $54 billion of damage per year. The damage is projected to be concentrated in North America and eastern Asia but many Caribbean islands will suffer the highest damages per unit of GDP. Most of the increased damage will be caused by rare but very powerful storms. 2012-03-19T18:06:00Z 2012-03-19T18:06:00Z 2011-02-01 http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20111104095129 https://hdl.handle.net/10986/3638 English Policy Research working paper ; no. WPS 5562 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank application/pdf text/plain |
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Banco Mundial |
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Estados Unidos |
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US |
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Bibliográfico |
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En linea |
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dig-okr |
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biblioteca |
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America del Norte |
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Biblioteca del Banco Mundial |
language |
English |
topic |
APPLIED METEOROLOGY ATMOSPHERE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE BAROMETRIC PRESSURE BLANKET BUILDING CODES CALCULATION CATASTROPHIC INSURANCE CLIMATE CLIMATE CHANGE CLIMATE CHANGE DAMAGE CLIMATE CHANGE DAMAGES CLIMATE CHANGE ECONOMICS CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS CLIMATE CHANGE PREDICTIONS CLIMATE CHANGES CLIMATE CONDITIONS CLIMATE DATA CLIMATE DYNAMICS CLIMATE MODEL CLIMATE MODELS CLIMATE RESEARCH CLIMATE SCENARIO CLIMATE SCENARIOS CLIMATE SYSTEM CLIMATES CLIMATOLOGY CO2 COSTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE CYCLONE ACTIVITIES CYCLONE CENTER CYCLONE TRACKS DAMAGE ASSESSMENT DISASTER DISASTER REDUCTION DISASTER RELIEF ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMICS OF CLIMATE CHANGE EFFECT OF CLIMATE CHANGE EMISSION EMISSION PATH EMISSION SCENARIO EMISSIONS EMISSIONS SCENARIO EMISSIONS SCENARIOS EXTREME EVENT EXTREME EVENTS FATALITIES FATALITY FLOOD FLOOD INSURANCE GCM GENERAL CIRCULATION MODEL GENERATOR GLOBAL CLIMATE GLOBAL EMISSIONS GLOBAL WARMING GREENHOUSE GREENHOUSE GAS GREENHOUSE GAS CONCENTRATIONS GREENHOUSE GAS MITIGATION GREENHOUSE GASES GWP HURRICANE HURRICANES IMPACT OF CLIMATE IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS FROM CLIMATE CHANGE INCOME INTENSITY OF STORMS INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE IPCC LAND USE MAXIMUM WIND SPEED METEOROLOGY NATIONAL INCOME NATURAL HAZARDS OCEAN BASINS OCEANS POLICY MAKERS PRESENT VALUE PROBABILITY DENSITY PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTION RISK ANALYSIS SCENARIOS SCIENTISTS SEA LEVEL RISE SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES SEA WALLS SOCIAL AFFAIRS SOLAR RADIATION STORM DAMAGE STORM DAMAGES STORM SURGES STORMS TEMPERATURE TEMPERATURE CHANGES TOTAL DAMAGES TROPICAL CYCLONE TROPICAL CYCLONE IMPACTS TROPICAL CYCLONE INTENSITY TROPICAL CYCLONES TROPICAL STORM TROPICAL STORMS TYPHOONS UNCERTAINTIES VULNERABILITY TO CLIMATE CHANGE WARMER CLIMATE WEATHER WIND WIND DIRECTION WIND SHEAR WIND SPEED WIND SPEEDS APPLIED METEOROLOGY ATMOSPHERE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE BAROMETRIC PRESSURE BLANKET BUILDING CODES CALCULATION CATASTROPHIC INSURANCE CLIMATE CLIMATE CHANGE CLIMATE CHANGE DAMAGE CLIMATE CHANGE DAMAGES CLIMATE CHANGE ECONOMICS CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS CLIMATE CHANGE PREDICTIONS CLIMATE CHANGES CLIMATE CONDITIONS CLIMATE DATA CLIMATE DYNAMICS CLIMATE MODEL CLIMATE MODELS CLIMATE RESEARCH CLIMATE SCENARIO CLIMATE SCENARIOS CLIMATE SYSTEM CLIMATES CLIMATOLOGY CO2 COSTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE CYCLONE ACTIVITIES CYCLONE CENTER CYCLONE TRACKS DAMAGE ASSESSMENT DISASTER DISASTER REDUCTION DISASTER RELIEF ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMICS OF CLIMATE CHANGE EFFECT OF CLIMATE CHANGE EMISSION EMISSION PATH EMISSION SCENARIO EMISSIONS EMISSIONS SCENARIO EMISSIONS SCENARIOS EXTREME EVENT EXTREME EVENTS FATALITIES FATALITY FLOOD FLOOD INSURANCE GCM GENERAL CIRCULATION MODEL GENERATOR GLOBAL CLIMATE GLOBAL EMISSIONS GLOBAL WARMING GREENHOUSE GREENHOUSE GAS GREENHOUSE GAS CONCENTRATIONS GREENHOUSE GAS MITIGATION GREENHOUSE GASES GWP HURRICANE HURRICANES IMPACT OF CLIMATE IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS FROM CLIMATE CHANGE INCOME INTENSITY OF STORMS INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE IPCC LAND USE MAXIMUM WIND SPEED METEOROLOGY NATIONAL INCOME NATURAL HAZARDS OCEAN BASINS OCEANS POLICY MAKERS PRESENT VALUE PROBABILITY DENSITY PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTION RISK ANALYSIS SCENARIOS SCIENTISTS SEA LEVEL RISE SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES SEA WALLS SOCIAL AFFAIRS SOLAR RADIATION STORM DAMAGE STORM DAMAGES STORM SURGES STORMS TEMPERATURE TEMPERATURE CHANGES TOTAL DAMAGES TROPICAL CYCLONE TROPICAL CYCLONE IMPACTS TROPICAL CYCLONE INTENSITY TROPICAL CYCLONES TROPICAL STORM TROPICAL STORMS TYPHOONS UNCERTAINTIES VULNERABILITY TO CLIMATE CHANGE WARMER CLIMATE WEATHER WIND WIND DIRECTION WIND SHEAR WIND SPEED WIND SPEEDS |
spellingShingle |
APPLIED METEOROLOGY ATMOSPHERE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE BAROMETRIC PRESSURE BLANKET BUILDING CODES CALCULATION CATASTROPHIC INSURANCE CLIMATE CLIMATE CHANGE CLIMATE CHANGE DAMAGE CLIMATE CHANGE DAMAGES CLIMATE CHANGE ECONOMICS CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS CLIMATE CHANGE PREDICTIONS CLIMATE CHANGES CLIMATE CONDITIONS CLIMATE DATA CLIMATE DYNAMICS CLIMATE MODEL CLIMATE MODELS CLIMATE RESEARCH CLIMATE SCENARIO CLIMATE SCENARIOS CLIMATE SYSTEM CLIMATES CLIMATOLOGY CO2 COSTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE CYCLONE ACTIVITIES CYCLONE CENTER CYCLONE TRACKS DAMAGE ASSESSMENT DISASTER DISASTER REDUCTION DISASTER RELIEF ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMICS OF CLIMATE CHANGE EFFECT OF CLIMATE CHANGE EMISSION EMISSION PATH EMISSION SCENARIO EMISSIONS EMISSIONS SCENARIO EMISSIONS SCENARIOS EXTREME EVENT EXTREME EVENTS FATALITIES FATALITY FLOOD FLOOD INSURANCE GCM GENERAL CIRCULATION MODEL GENERATOR GLOBAL CLIMATE GLOBAL EMISSIONS GLOBAL WARMING GREENHOUSE GREENHOUSE GAS GREENHOUSE GAS CONCENTRATIONS GREENHOUSE GAS MITIGATION GREENHOUSE GASES GWP HURRICANE HURRICANES IMPACT OF CLIMATE IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS FROM CLIMATE CHANGE INCOME INTENSITY OF STORMS INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE IPCC LAND USE MAXIMUM WIND SPEED METEOROLOGY NATIONAL INCOME NATURAL HAZARDS OCEAN BASINS OCEANS POLICY MAKERS PRESENT VALUE PROBABILITY DENSITY PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTION RISK ANALYSIS SCENARIOS SCIENTISTS SEA LEVEL RISE SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES SEA WALLS SOCIAL AFFAIRS SOLAR RADIATION STORM DAMAGE STORM DAMAGES STORM SURGES STORMS TEMPERATURE TEMPERATURE CHANGES TOTAL DAMAGES TROPICAL CYCLONE TROPICAL CYCLONE IMPACTS TROPICAL CYCLONE INTENSITY TROPICAL CYCLONES TROPICAL STORM TROPICAL STORMS TYPHOONS UNCERTAINTIES VULNERABILITY TO CLIMATE CHANGE WARMER CLIMATE WEATHER WIND WIND DIRECTION WIND SHEAR WIND SPEED WIND SPEEDS APPLIED METEOROLOGY ATMOSPHERE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE BAROMETRIC PRESSURE BLANKET BUILDING CODES CALCULATION CATASTROPHIC INSURANCE CLIMATE CLIMATE CHANGE CLIMATE CHANGE DAMAGE CLIMATE CHANGE DAMAGES CLIMATE CHANGE ECONOMICS CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS CLIMATE CHANGE PREDICTIONS CLIMATE CHANGES CLIMATE CONDITIONS CLIMATE DATA CLIMATE DYNAMICS CLIMATE MODEL CLIMATE MODELS CLIMATE RESEARCH CLIMATE SCENARIO CLIMATE SCENARIOS CLIMATE SYSTEM CLIMATES CLIMATOLOGY CO2 COSTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE CYCLONE ACTIVITIES CYCLONE CENTER CYCLONE TRACKS DAMAGE ASSESSMENT DISASTER DISASTER REDUCTION DISASTER RELIEF ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMICS OF CLIMATE CHANGE EFFECT OF CLIMATE CHANGE EMISSION EMISSION PATH EMISSION SCENARIO EMISSIONS EMISSIONS SCENARIO EMISSIONS SCENARIOS EXTREME EVENT EXTREME EVENTS FATALITIES FATALITY FLOOD FLOOD INSURANCE GCM GENERAL CIRCULATION MODEL GENERATOR GLOBAL CLIMATE GLOBAL EMISSIONS GLOBAL WARMING GREENHOUSE GREENHOUSE GAS GREENHOUSE GAS CONCENTRATIONS GREENHOUSE GAS MITIGATION GREENHOUSE GASES GWP HURRICANE HURRICANES IMPACT OF CLIMATE IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS FROM CLIMATE CHANGE INCOME INTENSITY OF STORMS INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE IPCC LAND USE MAXIMUM WIND SPEED METEOROLOGY NATIONAL INCOME NATURAL HAZARDS OCEAN BASINS OCEANS POLICY MAKERS PRESENT VALUE PROBABILITY DENSITY PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTION RISK ANALYSIS SCENARIOS SCIENTISTS SEA LEVEL RISE SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES SEA WALLS SOCIAL AFFAIRS SOLAR RADIATION STORM DAMAGE STORM DAMAGES STORM SURGES STORMS TEMPERATURE TEMPERATURE CHANGES TOTAL DAMAGES TROPICAL CYCLONE TROPICAL CYCLONE IMPACTS TROPICAL CYCLONE INTENSITY TROPICAL CYCLONES TROPICAL STORM TROPICAL STORMS TYPHOONS UNCERTAINTIES VULNERABILITY TO CLIMATE CHANGE WARMER CLIMATE WEATHER WIND WIND DIRECTION WIND SHEAR WIND SPEED WIND SPEEDS Mendelsohn, Robert Emanuel, Kerry Chonabayashi, Shun The Impact of Climate Change on Global Tropical Storm Damages |
description |
This paper constructs an integrated
assessment model of tropical cyclones in order to quantify
the impact that climate change may have on tropical cyclone
damages in countries around the world. The paper relies on a
tropical cyclone generator in each ocean and several climate
models to predict tropical cyclones with and without climate
change. A damage model is constructed to compute the
resulting damage when a cyclone strikes each country.
Economic development is expected to double global tropical
cyclone damages because more will be in harm's way.
Climate change is expected to double global damage again,
causing an additional $54 billion of damage per year. The
damage is projected to be concentrated in North America and
eastern Asia but many Caribbean islands will suffer the
highest damages per unit of GDP. Most of the increased
damage will be caused by rare but very powerful storms. |
topic_facet |
APPLIED METEOROLOGY ATMOSPHERE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE BAROMETRIC PRESSURE BLANKET BUILDING CODES CALCULATION CATASTROPHIC INSURANCE CLIMATE CLIMATE CHANGE CLIMATE CHANGE DAMAGE CLIMATE CHANGE DAMAGES CLIMATE CHANGE ECONOMICS CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS CLIMATE CHANGE PREDICTIONS CLIMATE CHANGES CLIMATE CONDITIONS CLIMATE DATA CLIMATE DYNAMICS CLIMATE MODEL CLIMATE MODELS CLIMATE RESEARCH CLIMATE SCENARIO CLIMATE SCENARIOS CLIMATE SYSTEM CLIMATES CLIMATOLOGY CO2 COSTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE CYCLONE ACTIVITIES CYCLONE CENTER CYCLONE TRACKS DAMAGE ASSESSMENT DISASTER DISASTER REDUCTION DISASTER RELIEF ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMICS OF CLIMATE CHANGE EFFECT OF CLIMATE CHANGE EMISSION EMISSION PATH EMISSION SCENARIO EMISSIONS EMISSIONS SCENARIO EMISSIONS SCENARIOS EXTREME EVENT EXTREME EVENTS FATALITIES FATALITY FLOOD FLOOD INSURANCE GCM GENERAL CIRCULATION MODEL GENERATOR GLOBAL CLIMATE GLOBAL EMISSIONS GLOBAL WARMING GREENHOUSE GREENHOUSE GAS GREENHOUSE GAS CONCENTRATIONS GREENHOUSE GAS MITIGATION GREENHOUSE GASES GWP HURRICANE HURRICANES IMPACT OF CLIMATE IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS FROM CLIMATE CHANGE INCOME INTENSITY OF STORMS INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE IPCC LAND USE MAXIMUM WIND SPEED METEOROLOGY NATIONAL INCOME NATURAL HAZARDS OCEAN BASINS OCEANS POLICY MAKERS PRESENT VALUE PROBABILITY DENSITY PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTION RISK ANALYSIS SCENARIOS SCIENTISTS SEA LEVEL RISE SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES SEA WALLS SOCIAL AFFAIRS SOLAR RADIATION STORM DAMAGE STORM DAMAGES STORM SURGES STORMS TEMPERATURE TEMPERATURE CHANGES TOTAL DAMAGES TROPICAL CYCLONE TROPICAL CYCLONE IMPACTS TROPICAL CYCLONE INTENSITY TROPICAL CYCLONES TROPICAL STORM TROPICAL STORMS TYPHOONS UNCERTAINTIES VULNERABILITY TO CLIMATE CHANGE WARMER CLIMATE WEATHER WIND WIND DIRECTION WIND SHEAR WIND SPEED WIND SPEEDS |
author |
Mendelsohn, Robert Emanuel, Kerry Chonabayashi, Shun |
author_facet |
Mendelsohn, Robert Emanuel, Kerry Chonabayashi, Shun |
author_sort |
Mendelsohn, Robert |
title |
The Impact of Climate Change on Global Tropical Storm Damages |
title_short |
The Impact of Climate Change on Global Tropical Storm Damages |
title_full |
The Impact of Climate Change on Global Tropical Storm Damages |
title_fullStr |
The Impact of Climate Change on Global Tropical Storm Damages |
title_full_unstemmed |
The Impact of Climate Change on Global Tropical Storm Damages |
title_sort |
impact of climate change on global tropical storm damages |
publishDate |
2011-02-01 |
url |
http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20111104095129 https://hdl.handle.net/10986/3638 |
work_keys_str_mv |
AT mendelsohnrobert theimpactofclimatechangeonglobaltropicalstormdamages AT emanuelkerry theimpactofclimatechangeonglobaltropicalstormdamages AT chonabayashishun theimpactofclimatechangeonglobaltropicalstormdamages AT mendelsohnrobert impactofclimatechangeonglobaltropicalstormdamages AT emanuelkerry impactofclimatechangeonglobaltropicalstormdamages AT chonabayashishun impactofclimatechangeonglobaltropicalstormdamages |
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1807154916193468416 |