The Impact of Climate Change on Global Tropical Storm Damages

This paper constructs an integrated assessment model of tropical cyclones in order to quantify the impact that climate change may have on tropical cyclone damages in countries around the world. The paper relies on a tropical cyclone generator in each ocean and several climate models to predict tropical cyclones with and without climate change. A damage model is constructed to compute the resulting damage when a cyclone strikes each country. Economic development is expected to double global tropical cyclone damages because more will be in harm's way. Climate change is expected to double global damage again, causing an additional $54 billion of damage per year. The damage is projected to be concentrated in North America and eastern Asia but many Caribbean islands will suffer the highest damages per unit of GDP. Most of the increased damage will be caused by rare but very powerful storms.

Bibliographic Details

Main Authors:	Mendelsohn, Robert, Emanuel, Kerry, Chonabayashi, Shun
Language:	English
Published:	2011-02-01
Subjects:	APPLIED METEOROLOGY, ATMOSPHERE, ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE, BAROMETRIC PRESSURE, BLANKET, BUILDING CODES, CALCULATION, CATASTROPHIC INSURANCE, CLIMATE, CLIMATE CHANGE, CLIMATE CHANGE DAMAGE, CLIMATE CHANGE DAMAGES, CLIMATE CHANGE ECONOMICS, CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS, CLIMATE CHANGE PREDICTIONS, CLIMATE CHANGES, CLIMATE CONDITIONS, CLIMATE DATA, CLIMATE DYNAMICS, CLIMATE MODEL, CLIMATE MODELS, CLIMATE RESEARCH, CLIMATE SCENARIO, CLIMATE SCENARIOS, CLIMATE SYSTEM, CLIMATES, CLIMATOLOGY, CO2, COSTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE, CYCLONE ACTIVITIES, CYCLONE CENTER, CYCLONE TRACKS, DAMAGE ASSESSMENT, DISASTER, DISASTER REDUCTION, DISASTER RELIEF, ECONOMIC GROWTH, ECONOMICS OF CLIMATE CHANGE, EFFECT OF CLIMATE CHANGE, EMISSION, EMISSION PATH, EMISSION SCENARIO, EMISSIONS, EMISSIONS SCENARIO, EMISSIONS SCENARIOS, EXTREME EVENT, EXTREME EVENTS, FATALITIES, FATALITY, FLOOD, FLOOD INSURANCE, GCM, GENERAL CIRCULATION MODEL, GENERATOR, GLOBAL CLIMATE, GLOBAL EMISSIONS, GLOBAL WARMING, GREENHOUSE, GREENHOUSE GAS, GREENHOUSE GAS CONCENTRATIONS, GREENHOUSE GAS MITIGATION, GREENHOUSE GASES, GWP, HURRICANE, HURRICANES, IMPACT OF CLIMATE, IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE, IMPACTS FROM CLIMATE CHANGE, INCOME, INTENSITY OF STORMS, INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE, IPCC, LAND USE, MAXIMUM WIND SPEED, METEOROLOGY, NATIONAL INCOME, NATURAL HAZARDS, OCEAN BASINS, OCEANS, POLICY MAKERS, PRESENT VALUE, PROBABILITY DENSITY, PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTION, RISK ANALYSIS, SCENARIOS, SCIENTISTS, SEA LEVEL RISE, SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, SEA WALLS, SOCIAL AFFAIRS, SOLAR RADIATION, STORM DAMAGE, STORM DAMAGES, STORM SURGES, STORMS, TEMPERATURE, TEMPERATURE CHANGES, TOTAL DAMAGES, TROPICAL CYCLONE, TROPICAL CYCLONE IMPACTS, TROPICAL CYCLONE INTENSITY, TROPICAL CYCLONES, TROPICAL STORM, TROPICAL STORMS, TYPHOONS, UNCERTAINTIES, VULNERABILITY TO CLIMATE CHANGE, WARMER CLIMATE, WEATHER, WIND, WIND DIRECTION, WIND SHEAR, WIND SPEED, WIND SPEEDS,
Online Access:	http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20111104095129 https://hdl.handle.net/10986/3638
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