Who Benefited from Burundi's Demobilization Program?

This paper assesses the impact of the demobilization, reinsertion and reintegration program in post-war Burundi. Two major rebel groups benefited from cash and in-kind transfers, the CNDD-FDD from 2004, and the FNL from 2010. A panel data of households collected in 2006 and 2010 is combined with official records from the National Commission for Demobilization, Reinsertion and Reintegration. Regression analysis shows that the cash payments received by FNL demobilized households had a positive impact on consumption, nonfood spending and investments. The program also generated positive spillovers in the villages where FNL combatants returned. Ex-combatants indeed spent a large part of their allowance on consumption goods and clothing, thereby generating a short-run economic boom in villages. However, the long-run evolution of consumption indicators is negative for CNDD-FDD households, as well as for villages where CNDD-FDD combatants returned, suggesting that the direct impact and the spillovers of the program vanished in the long run.

Bibliographic Details

Main Authors:	D'Aoust, Olivia, Sterck, Olivier, Verwimp, Philip
Format:	Working Paper biblioteca
Language:	English en_US
Published:	World Bank, Washington, DC 2016-06
Subjects:	ECONOMIC BOOM, DEMOBILIZED SOLDIERS, LIVING STANDARDS, CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES, HOUSEHOLD SIZE, HOUSEHOLD SURVEY, TRANSITION FROM WAR TO PEACE, MULTIPLIERS, POOR DATA, INCOME, INTEREST, CONSUMPTION BEHAVIOR, COMBATANTS, INCOME CHANGES, DISCOUNT RATE, LIQUIDITY, ELASTICITY, POLITICAL ECONOMY, CONSTRAINTS, WELFARE, CURRENT CONSUMPTION, MEASUREMENT ERRORS, ECONOMIC POLICY, LABOR ECONOMICS, POLICY DISCUSSIONS, VARIABLES, EMPIRICAL STUDIES, SOLDIERS, PAYMENTS, WEALTH, INDEPENDENCE, CONFLICT, INTERNATIONAL BANK, EMPIRICAL LITERATURE, TRENDS, REBELS, COUNTERPARTS, DEVELOPMENT, EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS, SMALL BUSINESS, ECONOMIC PERSPECTIVES, POSITIVE IMPACT, DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS, MONEY, WEAPONS, EX-REBEL, DATA QUALITY, TOTAL CONSUMPTION, ECONOMETRICS, EXTERNALITIES, FUTURE CONSUMPTION, VIOLENCE, CRITERIA, WORLD DEVELOPMENT, CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE, PRODUCT, POLITICAL LIBERALIZATION, ECONOMIC CONSTRAINTS, EX-COMBATANTS, UTILITY, HOUSEHOLD WEALTH, GRANTS, ECONOMIC RESEARCH, EX-REBELS, INCOME DATA, ARMAMENT, GRANT, CONSUMPTION, GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM, BERTRAND COMPETITION, ELECTIONS, GOOD, EX- COMBATANTS, ECONOMIC OUTCOMES, ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS, FOUNDATIONS, POLICE, FUTURE, VALUE, REBEL, PATERNALISM, CREDIT, DEMAND, ECONOMIC REINTEGRATION, CONSUMPTION GOODS, CONSUMPTION MEASURE, EX-COMBATANT, LEVELS OF CONSUMPTION, PRODUCTIVE ASSETS, DEMOBILIZATION, AGRICULTURE, ECONOMY, DEMOGRAPHIC CHARACTERISTICS, NATION, AGGREGATE CONSUMPTION, MEASUREMENT, HOUSEHOLD CHARACTERISTICS, ASSETS, BENCHMARK, ECONOMIC THEORY, ECONOMIC SITUATION, ECONOMICS, REGRESSION ANALYSIS, CONSTANT PRICES, ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT, DATA SET, GDP, GOODS, THEORY, ECONOMIES OF SCALE, WAR, HOUSEHOLDS, POSITIVE EXTERNALITIES, AVERAGE ANNUAL, DISARMAMENT, EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE, PRIVATE CONSUMPTION, UNIVERSITY, FINANCIAL SUPPORT, SOCIAL REINTEGRATION, HOUSEHOLD EXPENDITURES, POLICY RESEARCH, HOUSEHOLD WELFARE, CIVIL WAR, AGREEMENT, LEVEL OF CONSUMPTION, RECONCILIATION, CONSUMPTION LEVELS, OUTCOMES, PUBLIC GOOD, PEACE, PRICES, RECONSTRUCTION, ECONOMIES, DEVELOPMENT POLICY,
Online Access:	http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2016/06/26532997/benefited-burundis-demobilization-program http://hdl.handle.net/10986/24649
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