Youth Out of School and Out of Work in Latin America
This paper examines the phenomena of high rates of youth that are out of school and out of work in Latin America. The analysis pursues a dynamic approach by constructing a pseudo-panel from 234 household surveys for 18 countries in the region that allow tracing the life cycle trajectories of different cohorts over time. The trajectories are associated with a series of variables characterizing the household, community, and macro environment in which schooling and labor market participation decisions take place. The most important result obtained is that the persistently high rates of being out of school and out of work among males are strongly associated with greater labor force participation by women, which can be generating a “crowding out” effect against men, given slow job creation rates across the region. The analysis also explores the possibility of scarring effects, and finds that higher shares of out of school and out of work youth at ages 15–20 years are associated with lower wages for the same cohorts later in life, at ages 35–40 years, for males and females. As for employment prospects, the analysis finds scarring effects only for females, with greater out of school and out of work youth shares being related to lower proportions of women in the labor market later in the life cycle.
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dig-okr-10986228442024-08-07T20:18:00Z Youth Out of School and Out of Work in Latin America A Cohort Approach Székely, Miguel Karver, Jonathan JOBS EMPLOYMENT RISKS HOUSEHOLD SURVEY UNEMPLOYMENT RATES RIGHTS MOTIVATION ECONOMIC GROWTH PRODUCTION EMPLOYMENT GENERATION ADULT WORKERS INFORMAL SECTOR PREVIOUS SECTION YOUTH EMPLOYMENT INCOME LABOR LEGISLATION LABOR MARKET NEEDS HOUSEHOLD STRUCTURE YOUTH GROUPS EMPLOYMENT OPPORTUNITIES ECONOMIC VOLATILITY AGE GROUP INFORMATION LABOR FORCE POLITICAL ECONOMY JOB FEMALE EMPLOYMENT EFFECTS LABOR MARKET REGULATION INCENTIVES LABOR ECONOMICS EMPLOYMENT RATES LABOR FORCE PARTICIPATION ASSOCIATIONS PRESENT ANALYSIS EMPLOYMENT TRENDS EMPLOYMENT OUTCOMES LABOR MARKET EXPERIENCE ECONOMIC SHOCK PRESENT VALUE LABOR MARKET EXOGENOUS SHOCKS TRAINING EMPLOYMENT LEVELS DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT ECONOMIC MOBILITY DISPLACEMENT INCOME INEQUALITY PRODUCTIVITY LABOR PRODUCTIVITY UNEMPLOYED ATTRITION TRANSFERS IMPERFECT INFORMATION VIOLENCE EARNINGS LOSSES JOB MARKET MARKETS ORGANIZATIONS VOCATIONAL EDUCATION HOUSEHOLD SURVEYS STANDARDS LABOR PRIMARY SCHOOL PRIME AGE CAPITAL INVESTMENTS MORTALITY WAGE LEVELS FEMALE LABOR UNEMPLOYMENT YOUTH LABOR YOUTH RATES HUMAN CAPITAL VOCATIONAL TRAINING YOUNG ADULTS WORKERS DISPLACED WORKERS LABOR MARKET CONDITIONS WAGES POLICIES SUBSTITUTION EFFECTS AGE VALUE AVERAGE WAGE WAGE RATES AGE GROUPS EMPLOYMENT STATUS YOUTH LABOR MARKET OUTCOMES JOB CREATION EDUCATIONAL SERVICES LABOR RELATIONS SECONDARY SCHOOLING LABOR MARKET INDICATORS TRADE LIBERALIZATION ADOLESCENTS ECONOMICS MANPOWER SKILLED LABOR LABOR ORGANIZATION WAGE STRUCTURE CHILDREN YOUTH SERVICES SECURITY EMPLOYABILITY SUBSTITUTION EFFECT INVESTMENT RISK HUMAN RESOURCES PRIVATE COSTS FEMALE LABOR FORCE SUPPLY YOUNG PEOPLE LABOR SUPPLY LAW PRIMARY LEVEL CHILD LABOR LOCAL LABOR MARKET LABOUR SUPPLY PRIMARY EDUCATION YOUTH UNEMPLOYMENT LABOUR LABOR MARKETS ECONOMIC SHOCKS OUTCOMES LOW EMPLOYMENT EMPLOYMENT PROSPECTS UNSKILLED LABOR PRICES FINDING EMPLOYMENT FUTURE LABOR ECONOMIC CONDITIONS PRODUCTION PROCESSES JOB DISPLACEMENT This paper examines the phenomena of high rates of youth that are out of school and out of work in Latin America. The analysis pursues a dynamic approach by constructing a pseudo-panel from 234 household surveys for 18 countries in the region that allow tracing the life cycle trajectories of different cohorts over time. The trajectories are associated with a series of variables characterizing the household, community, and macro environment in which schooling and labor market participation decisions take place. The most important result obtained is that the persistently high rates of being out of school and out of work among males are strongly associated with greater labor force participation by women, which can be generating a “crowding out” effect against men, given slow job creation rates across the region. The analysis also explores the possibility of scarring effects, and finds that higher shares of out of school and out of work youth at ages 15–20 years are associated with lower wages for the same cohorts later in life, at ages 35–40 years, for males and females. As for employment prospects, the analysis finds scarring effects only for females, with greater out of school and out of work youth shares being related to lower proportions of women in the labor market later in the life cycle. 2015-11-04T21:59:08Z 2015-11-04T21:59:08Z 2015-09 Working Paper Document de travail Documento de trabajo http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2015/09/25093410/youth-out-school-out-work-latin-america-cohort-approach https://hdl.handle.net/10986/22844 English en_US Policy Research Working Paper;No. 7421 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ World Bank application/pdf text/plain World Bank, Washington, DC |
institution |
Banco Mundial |
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Estados Unidos |
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US |
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Bibliográfico |
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En linea |
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biblioteca |
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America del Norte |
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Biblioteca del Banco Mundial |
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English en_US |
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JOBS EMPLOYMENT RISKS HOUSEHOLD SURVEY UNEMPLOYMENT RATES RIGHTS MOTIVATION ECONOMIC GROWTH PRODUCTION EMPLOYMENT GENERATION ADULT WORKERS INFORMAL SECTOR PREVIOUS SECTION YOUTH EMPLOYMENT INCOME LABOR LEGISLATION LABOR MARKET NEEDS HOUSEHOLD STRUCTURE YOUTH GROUPS EMPLOYMENT OPPORTUNITIES ECONOMIC VOLATILITY AGE GROUP INFORMATION LABOR FORCE POLITICAL ECONOMY JOB FEMALE EMPLOYMENT EFFECTS LABOR MARKET REGULATION INCENTIVES LABOR ECONOMICS EMPLOYMENT RATES LABOR FORCE PARTICIPATION ASSOCIATIONS PRESENT ANALYSIS EMPLOYMENT TRENDS EMPLOYMENT OUTCOMES LABOR MARKET EXPERIENCE ECONOMIC SHOCK PRESENT VALUE LABOR MARKET EXOGENOUS SHOCKS TRAINING EMPLOYMENT LEVELS DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT ECONOMIC MOBILITY DISPLACEMENT INCOME INEQUALITY PRODUCTIVITY LABOR PRODUCTIVITY UNEMPLOYED ATTRITION TRANSFERS IMPERFECT INFORMATION VIOLENCE EARNINGS LOSSES JOB MARKET MARKETS ORGANIZATIONS VOCATIONAL EDUCATION HOUSEHOLD SURVEYS STANDARDS LABOR PRIMARY SCHOOL PRIME AGE CAPITAL INVESTMENTS MORTALITY WAGE LEVELS FEMALE LABOR UNEMPLOYMENT YOUTH LABOR YOUTH RATES HUMAN CAPITAL VOCATIONAL TRAINING YOUNG ADULTS WORKERS DISPLACED WORKERS LABOR MARKET CONDITIONS WAGES POLICIES SUBSTITUTION EFFECTS AGE VALUE AVERAGE WAGE WAGE RATES AGE GROUPS EMPLOYMENT STATUS YOUTH LABOR MARKET OUTCOMES JOB CREATION EDUCATIONAL SERVICES LABOR RELATIONS SECONDARY SCHOOLING LABOR MARKET INDICATORS TRADE LIBERALIZATION ADOLESCENTS ECONOMICS MANPOWER SKILLED LABOR LABOR ORGANIZATION WAGE STRUCTURE CHILDREN YOUTH SERVICES SECURITY EMPLOYABILITY SUBSTITUTION EFFECT INVESTMENT RISK HUMAN RESOURCES PRIVATE COSTS FEMALE LABOR FORCE SUPPLY YOUNG PEOPLE LABOR SUPPLY LAW PRIMARY LEVEL CHILD LABOR LOCAL LABOR MARKET LABOUR SUPPLY PRIMARY EDUCATION YOUTH UNEMPLOYMENT LABOUR LABOR MARKETS ECONOMIC SHOCKS OUTCOMES LOW EMPLOYMENT EMPLOYMENT PROSPECTS UNSKILLED LABOR PRICES FINDING EMPLOYMENT FUTURE LABOR ECONOMIC CONDITIONS PRODUCTION PROCESSES JOB DISPLACEMENT JOBS EMPLOYMENT RISKS HOUSEHOLD SURVEY UNEMPLOYMENT RATES RIGHTS MOTIVATION ECONOMIC GROWTH PRODUCTION EMPLOYMENT GENERATION ADULT WORKERS INFORMAL SECTOR PREVIOUS SECTION YOUTH EMPLOYMENT INCOME LABOR LEGISLATION LABOR MARKET NEEDS HOUSEHOLD STRUCTURE YOUTH GROUPS EMPLOYMENT OPPORTUNITIES ECONOMIC VOLATILITY AGE GROUP INFORMATION LABOR FORCE POLITICAL ECONOMY JOB FEMALE EMPLOYMENT EFFECTS LABOR MARKET REGULATION INCENTIVES LABOR ECONOMICS EMPLOYMENT RATES LABOR FORCE PARTICIPATION ASSOCIATIONS PRESENT ANALYSIS EMPLOYMENT TRENDS EMPLOYMENT OUTCOMES LABOR MARKET EXPERIENCE ECONOMIC SHOCK PRESENT VALUE LABOR MARKET EXOGENOUS SHOCKS TRAINING EMPLOYMENT LEVELS DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT ECONOMIC MOBILITY DISPLACEMENT INCOME INEQUALITY PRODUCTIVITY LABOR PRODUCTIVITY UNEMPLOYED ATTRITION TRANSFERS IMPERFECT INFORMATION VIOLENCE EARNINGS LOSSES JOB MARKET MARKETS ORGANIZATIONS VOCATIONAL EDUCATION HOUSEHOLD SURVEYS STANDARDS LABOR PRIMARY SCHOOL PRIME AGE CAPITAL INVESTMENTS MORTALITY WAGE LEVELS FEMALE LABOR UNEMPLOYMENT YOUTH LABOR YOUTH RATES HUMAN CAPITAL VOCATIONAL TRAINING YOUNG ADULTS WORKERS DISPLACED WORKERS LABOR MARKET CONDITIONS WAGES POLICIES SUBSTITUTION EFFECTS AGE VALUE AVERAGE WAGE WAGE RATES AGE GROUPS EMPLOYMENT STATUS YOUTH LABOR MARKET OUTCOMES JOB CREATION EDUCATIONAL SERVICES LABOR RELATIONS SECONDARY SCHOOLING LABOR MARKET INDICATORS TRADE LIBERALIZATION ADOLESCENTS ECONOMICS MANPOWER SKILLED LABOR LABOR ORGANIZATION WAGE STRUCTURE CHILDREN YOUTH SERVICES SECURITY EMPLOYABILITY SUBSTITUTION EFFECT INVESTMENT RISK HUMAN RESOURCES PRIVATE COSTS FEMALE LABOR FORCE SUPPLY YOUNG PEOPLE LABOR SUPPLY LAW PRIMARY LEVEL CHILD LABOR LOCAL LABOR MARKET LABOUR SUPPLY PRIMARY EDUCATION YOUTH UNEMPLOYMENT LABOUR LABOR MARKETS ECONOMIC SHOCKS OUTCOMES LOW EMPLOYMENT EMPLOYMENT PROSPECTS UNSKILLED LABOR PRICES FINDING EMPLOYMENT FUTURE LABOR ECONOMIC CONDITIONS PRODUCTION PROCESSES JOB DISPLACEMENT |
spellingShingle |
JOBS EMPLOYMENT RISKS HOUSEHOLD SURVEY UNEMPLOYMENT RATES RIGHTS MOTIVATION ECONOMIC GROWTH PRODUCTION EMPLOYMENT GENERATION ADULT WORKERS INFORMAL SECTOR PREVIOUS SECTION YOUTH EMPLOYMENT INCOME LABOR LEGISLATION LABOR MARKET NEEDS HOUSEHOLD STRUCTURE YOUTH GROUPS EMPLOYMENT OPPORTUNITIES ECONOMIC VOLATILITY AGE GROUP INFORMATION LABOR FORCE POLITICAL ECONOMY JOB FEMALE EMPLOYMENT EFFECTS LABOR MARKET REGULATION INCENTIVES LABOR ECONOMICS EMPLOYMENT RATES LABOR FORCE PARTICIPATION ASSOCIATIONS PRESENT ANALYSIS EMPLOYMENT TRENDS EMPLOYMENT OUTCOMES LABOR MARKET EXPERIENCE ECONOMIC SHOCK PRESENT VALUE LABOR MARKET EXOGENOUS SHOCKS TRAINING EMPLOYMENT LEVELS DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT ECONOMIC MOBILITY DISPLACEMENT INCOME INEQUALITY PRODUCTIVITY LABOR PRODUCTIVITY UNEMPLOYED ATTRITION TRANSFERS IMPERFECT INFORMATION VIOLENCE EARNINGS LOSSES JOB MARKET MARKETS ORGANIZATIONS VOCATIONAL EDUCATION HOUSEHOLD SURVEYS STANDARDS LABOR PRIMARY SCHOOL PRIME AGE CAPITAL INVESTMENTS MORTALITY WAGE LEVELS FEMALE LABOR UNEMPLOYMENT YOUTH LABOR YOUTH RATES HUMAN CAPITAL VOCATIONAL TRAINING YOUNG ADULTS WORKERS DISPLACED WORKERS LABOR MARKET CONDITIONS WAGES POLICIES SUBSTITUTION EFFECTS AGE VALUE AVERAGE WAGE WAGE RATES AGE GROUPS EMPLOYMENT STATUS YOUTH LABOR MARKET OUTCOMES JOB CREATION EDUCATIONAL SERVICES LABOR RELATIONS SECONDARY SCHOOLING LABOR MARKET INDICATORS TRADE LIBERALIZATION ADOLESCENTS ECONOMICS MANPOWER SKILLED LABOR LABOR ORGANIZATION WAGE STRUCTURE CHILDREN YOUTH SERVICES SECURITY EMPLOYABILITY SUBSTITUTION EFFECT INVESTMENT RISK HUMAN RESOURCES PRIVATE COSTS FEMALE LABOR FORCE SUPPLY YOUNG PEOPLE LABOR SUPPLY LAW PRIMARY LEVEL CHILD LABOR LOCAL LABOR MARKET LABOUR SUPPLY PRIMARY EDUCATION YOUTH UNEMPLOYMENT LABOUR LABOR MARKETS ECONOMIC SHOCKS OUTCOMES LOW EMPLOYMENT EMPLOYMENT PROSPECTS UNSKILLED LABOR PRICES FINDING EMPLOYMENT FUTURE LABOR ECONOMIC CONDITIONS PRODUCTION PROCESSES JOB DISPLACEMENT JOBS EMPLOYMENT RISKS HOUSEHOLD SURVEY UNEMPLOYMENT RATES RIGHTS MOTIVATION ECONOMIC GROWTH PRODUCTION EMPLOYMENT GENERATION ADULT WORKERS INFORMAL SECTOR PREVIOUS SECTION YOUTH EMPLOYMENT INCOME LABOR LEGISLATION LABOR MARKET NEEDS HOUSEHOLD STRUCTURE YOUTH GROUPS EMPLOYMENT OPPORTUNITIES ECONOMIC VOLATILITY AGE GROUP INFORMATION LABOR FORCE POLITICAL ECONOMY JOB FEMALE EMPLOYMENT EFFECTS LABOR MARKET REGULATION INCENTIVES LABOR ECONOMICS EMPLOYMENT RATES LABOR FORCE PARTICIPATION ASSOCIATIONS PRESENT ANALYSIS EMPLOYMENT TRENDS EMPLOYMENT OUTCOMES LABOR MARKET EXPERIENCE ECONOMIC SHOCK PRESENT VALUE LABOR MARKET EXOGENOUS SHOCKS TRAINING EMPLOYMENT LEVELS DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT ECONOMIC MOBILITY DISPLACEMENT INCOME INEQUALITY PRODUCTIVITY LABOR PRODUCTIVITY UNEMPLOYED ATTRITION TRANSFERS IMPERFECT INFORMATION VIOLENCE EARNINGS LOSSES JOB MARKET MARKETS ORGANIZATIONS VOCATIONAL EDUCATION HOUSEHOLD SURVEYS STANDARDS LABOR PRIMARY SCHOOL PRIME AGE CAPITAL INVESTMENTS MORTALITY WAGE LEVELS FEMALE LABOR UNEMPLOYMENT YOUTH LABOR YOUTH RATES HUMAN CAPITAL VOCATIONAL TRAINING YOUNG ADULTS WORKERS DISPLACED WORKERS LABOR MARKET CONDITIONS WAGES POLICIES SUBSTITUTION EFFECTS AGE VALUE AVERAGE WAGE WAGE RATES AGE GROUPS EMPLOYMENT STATUS YOUTH LABOR MARKET OUTCOMES JOB CREATION EDUCATIONAL SERVICES LABOR RELATIONS SECONDARY SCHOOLING LABOR MARKET INDICATORS TRADE LIBERALIZATION ADOLESCENTS ECONOMICS MANPOWER SKILLED LABOR LABOR ORGANIZATION WAGE STRUCTURE CHILDREN YOUTH SERVICES SECURITY EMPLOYABILITY SUBSTITUTION EFFECT INVESTMENT RISK HUMAN RESOURCES PRIVATE COSTS FEMALE LABOR FORCE SUPPLY YOUNG PEOPLE LABOR SUPPLY LAW PRIMARY LEVEL CHILD LABOR LOCAL LABOR MARKET LABOUR SUPPLY PRIMARY EDUCATION YOUTH UNEMPLOYMENT LABOUR LABOR MARKETS ECONOMIC SHOCKS OUTCOMES LOW EMPLOYMENT EMPLOYMENT PROSPECTS UNSKILLED LABOR PRICES FINDING EMPLOYMENT FUTURE LABOR ECONOMIC CONDITIONS PRODUCTION PROCESSES JOB DISPLACEMENT Székely, Miguel Karver, Jonathan Youth Out of School and Out of Work in Latin America |
description |
This paper examines the phenomena of
high rates of youth that are out of school and out of work
in Latin America. The analysis pursues a dynamic approach by
constructing a pseudo-panel from 234 household surveys for
18 countries in the region that allow tracing the life cycle
trajectories of different cohorts over time. The
trajectories are associated with a series of variables
characterizing the household, community, and macro
environment in which schooling and labor market
participation decisions take place. The most important
result obtained is that the persistently high rates of being
out of school and out of work among males are strongly
associated with greater labor force participation by women,
which can be generating a “crowding out” effect against men,
given slow job creation rates across the region. The
analysis also explores the possibility of scarring effects,
and finds that higher shares of out of school and out of
work youth at ages 15–20 years are associated with lower
wages for the same cohorts later in life, at ages 35–40
years, for males and females. As for employment prospects,
the analysis finds scarring effects only for females, with
greater out of school and out of work youth shares being
related to lower proportions of women in the labor market
later in the life cycle. |
format |
Working Paper |
topic_facet |
JOBS EMPLOYMENT RISKS HOUSEHOLD SURVEY UNEMPLOYMENT RATES RIGHTS MOTIVATION ECONOMIC GROWTH PRODUCTION EMPLOYMENT GENERATION ADULT WORKERS INFORMAL SECTOR PREVIOUS SECTION YOUTH EMPLOYMENT INCOME LABOR LEGISLATION LABOR MARKET NEEDS HOUSEHOLD STRUCTURE YOUTH GROUPS EMPLOYMENT OPPORTUNITIES ECONOMIC VOLATILITY AGE GROUP INFORMATION LABOR FORCE POLITICAL ECONOMY JOB FEMALE EMPLOYMENT EFFECTS LABOR MARKET REGULATION INCENTIVES LABOR ECONOMICS EMPLOYMENT RATES LABOR FORCE PARTICIPATION ASSOCIATIONS PRESENT ANALYSIS EMPLOYMENT TRENDS EMPLOYMENT OUTCOMES LABOR MARKET EXPERIENCE ECONOMIC SHOCK PRESENT VALUE LABOR MARKET EXOGENOUS SHOCKS TRAINING EMPLOYMENT LEVELS DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT ECONOMIC MOBILITY DISPLACEMENT INCOME INEQUALITY PRODUCTIVITY LABOR PRODUCTIVITY UNEMPLOYED ATTRITION TRANSFERS IMPERFECT INFORMATION VIOLENCE EARNINGS LOSSES JOB MARKET MARKETS ORGANIZATIONS VOCATIONAL EDUCATION HOUSEHOLD SURVEYS STANDARDS LABOR PRIMARY SCHOOL PRIME AGE CAPITAL INVESTMENTS MORTALITY WAGE LEVELS FEMALE LABOR UNEMPLOYMENT YOUTH LABOR YOUTH RATES HUMAN CAPITAL VOCATIONAL TRAINING YOUNG ADULTS WORKERS DISPLACED WORKERS LABOR MARKET CONDITIONS WAGES POLICIES SUBSTITUTION EFFECTS AGE VALUE AVERAGE WAGE WAGE RATES AGE GROUPS EMPLOYMENT STATUS YOUTH LABOR MARKET OUTCOMES JOB CREATION EDUCATIONAL SERVICES LABOR RELATIONS SECONDARY SCHOOLING LABOR MARKET INDICATORS TRADE LIBERALIZATION ADOLESCENTS ECONOMICS MANPOWER SKILLED LABOR LABOR ORGANIZATION WAGE STRUCTURE CHILDREN YOUTH SERVICES SECURITY EMPLOYABILITY SUBSTITUTION EFFECT INVESTMENT RISK HUMAN RESOURCES PRIVATE COSTS FEMALE LABOR FORCE SUPPLY YOUNG PEOPLE LABOR SUPPLY LAW PRIMARY LEVEL CHILD LABOR LOCAL LABOR MARKET LABOUR SUPPLY PRIMARY EDUCATION YOUTH UNEMPLOYMENT LABOUR LABOR MARKETS ECONOMIC SHOCKS OUTCOMES LOW EMPLOYMENT EMPLOYMENT PROSPECTS UNSKILLED LABOR PRICES FINDING EMPLOYMENT FUTURE LABOR ECONOMIC CONDITIONS PRODUCTION PROCESSES JOB DISPLACEMENT |
author |
Székely, Miguel Karver, Jonathan |
author_facet |
Székely, Miguel Karver, Jonathan |
author_sort |
Székely, Miguel |
title |
Youth Out of School and Out of Work in Latin America |
title_short |
Youth Out of School and Out of Work in Latin America |
title_full |
Youth Out of School and Out of Work in Latin America |
title_fullStr |
Youth Out of School and Out of Work in Latin America |
title_full_unstemmed |
Youth Out of School and Out of Work in Latin America |
title_sort |
youth out of school and out of work in latin america |
publisher |
World Bank, Washington, DC |
publishDate |
2015-09 |
url |
http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2015/09/25093410/youth-out-school-out-work-latin-america-cohort-approach https://hdl.handle.net/10986/22844 |
work_keys_str_mv |
AT szekelymiguel youthoutofschoolandoutofworkinlatinamerica AT karverjonathan youthoutofschoolandoutofworkinlatinamerica AT szekelymiguel acohortapproach AT karverjonathan acohortapproach |
_version_ |
1807156853375762432 |