Review of the Actuarial Forecasts of the Proposed Contributory Social Security Regime in Timor-Leste

This report briefly summarizes the results for the analysis of the design, financing and administrative processes for a national social security system covering all salaried workers in Timor-Leste, including analysis of the actuarial report (ACL Report) prepared for the Directorate General of Social Security by its consultant. The report is divided into seven sections: (i) Scope of Work; (ii) ACL Report Assumptions and Methods Comment; (iii) ACL Plan Design Comments; (iv) PROST Analysis: ACL Report Design, Assumptions and Methods; (v) PROST Analysis: ACL Report Design, Bank Assumptions and Methods; (vi) Social Security Pension Fund Establishment; and (vii) Conclusion. In the final analysis it was determined that the ACL report does not meet international standards for actuarial reports for national social insurance systems. Furthermore it misrepresents the long-term costs of the proposed Timor-Leste national social security system by using non-standard assumptions and methods and an unusually short analysis period. It is suggested that the government of Timor-Leste carefully consider all aspects of design and funding before adopting the new system, as the decisions made will have very significant macroeconomic, labor market, budget, and social policy implications for the country for decades to come.

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: World Bank
Language:English
en_US
Published: Jakarta 2014-09-14
Subjects:ACCRUAL RATE, ADMINISTRATIVE COSTS, BANK OFFICE, BANKRUPTCY, BENEFICIARIES, BENEFICIARY, BENEFIT PAYMENT, BENEFIT PAYMENTS, CASH FLOWS, CHILD SUPPORT, CITIZEN, CITIZENS, CONTRIBUTION COLLECTION, CONTRIBUTION RATE, CONTRIBUTION RATES, CORRUPTION, COST ESTIMATES, DEFINED BENEFIT, DEFINED BENEFIT PLAN, DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGES, DEPENDENCY RATIO, DEPENDENCY RATIOS, DEVELOPING COUNTRIES, DISABILITY, DISABLED, ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT, EMPLOYERS, EXPENDITURES, FAMILIES, FERTILITY, FERTILITY RATES, FINANCIAL ANALYSIS, FINANCIAL STABILITY, FRAUD, FULL DISCLOSURE, INFLATION, INTERNATIONAL STANDARD, INTERNATIONAL STANDARDS, LABOR FORCE, LABOR FORCE PARTICIPATION, LABOR MARKET, LARGE FAMILIES, LIFE EXPECTANCY, LONG-TERM COST, LONG-TERM COSTS, MATURITY, MINIMUM BENEFIT, MORAL HAZARD, MORTALITY, OLD AGE, PAYROLL COSTS, PENSION, PENSION BENEFITS, PENSION FUND, PENSION FUND ASSETS, PENSION FUNDS, PENSION PROGRAMS, PENSION SCHEME, PENSION SYSTEM, PENSIONABLE EARNINGS, PENSIONERS, PENSIONS, POLICY IMPLICATIONS, POPULATION PROJECTIONS, PRIVATE PENSION, PRIVATE PENSION FUNDS, RATE OF RETURN, REAL INTEREST, REAL INTEREST RATE, RESERVES, RETIREMENT, RETIREMENT AGE, RETIREMENT BENEFITS, RETIREMENTS, SANITATION, SEX, SOCIAL INSURANCE, SOCIAL INSURANCE SYSTEMS, SOCIAL PENSION, SOCIAL PENSIONS, SOCIAL POLICY, SOCIAL PROTECTION, SOCIAL SECURITY, SOCIAL SECURITY SYSTEM, SPOUSE, TAX, UNEMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT RATES, VALUATION, VALUATIONS, WILL, WIVES, YOUNG AGE, YOUNG CHILDREN,
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/
https://hdl.handle.net/10986/21112
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spelling dig-okr-10986211122024-08-08T13:36:41Z Review of the Actuarial Forecasts of the Proposed Contributory Social Security Regime in Timor-Leste World Bank ACCRUAL RATE ADMINISTRATIVE COSTS BANK OFFICE BANKRUPTCY BENEFICIARIES BENEFICIARY BENEFIT PAYMENT BENEFIT PAYMENTS CASH FLOWS CHILD SUPPORT CITIZEN CITIZENS CONTRIBUTION COLLECTION CONTRIBUTION RATE CONTRIBUTION RATES CORRUPTION COST ESTIMATES DEFINED BENEFIT DEFINED BENEFIT PLAN DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGES DEPENDENCY RATIO DEPENDENCY RATIOS DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DISABILITY DISABLED ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT EMPLOYERS EXPENDITURES FAMILIES FERTILITY FERTILITY RATES FINANCIAL ANALYSIS FINANCIAL STABILITY FRAUD FULL DISCLOSURE INFLATION INTERNATIONAL STANDARD INTERNATIONAL STANDARDS LABOR FORCE LABOR FORCE PARTICIPATION LABOR MARKET LARGE FAMILIES LIFE EXPECTANCY LONG-TERM COST LONG-TERM COSTS MATURITY MINIMUM BENEFIT MORAL HAZARD MORTALITY OLD AGE PAYROLL COSTS PENSION PENSION BENEFITS PENSION FUND PENSION FUND ASSETS PENSION FUNDS PENSION PROGRAMS PENSION SCHEME PENSION SYSTEM PENSIONABLE EARNINGS PENSIONERS PENSIONS POLICY IMPLICATIONS POPULATION PROJECTIONS PRIVATE PENSION PRIVATE PENSION FUNDS RATE OF RETURN REAL INTEREST REAL INTEREST RATE RESERVES RETIREMENT RETIREMENT AGE RETIREMENT BENEFITS RETIREMENTS SANITATION SEX SOCIAL INSURANCE SOCIAL INSURANCE SYSTEMS SOCIAL PENSION SOCIAL PENSIONS SOCIAL POLICY SOCIAL PROTECTION SOCIAL SECURITY SOCIAL SECURITY SYSTEM SPOUSE TAX UNEMPLOYMENT UNEMPLOYMENT RATES VALUATION VALUATIONS WILL WIVES YOUNG AGE YOUNG CHILDREN This report briefly summarizes the results for the analysis of the design, financing and administrative processes for a national social security system covering all salaried workers in Timor-Leste, including analysis of the actuarial report (ACL Report) prepared for the Directorate General of Social Security by its consultant. The report is divided into seven sections: (i) Scope of Work; (ii) ACL Report Assumptions and Methods Comment; (iii) ACL Plan Design Comments; (iv) PROST Analysis: ACL Report Design, Assumptions and Methods; (v) PROST Analysis: ACL Report Design, Bank Assumptions and Methods; (vi) Social Security Pension Fund Establishment; and (vii) Conclusion. In the final analysis it was determined that the ACL report does not meet international standards for actuarial reports for national social insurance systems. Furthermore it misrepresents the long-term costs of the proposed Timor-Leste national social security system by using non-standard assumptions and methods and an unusually short analysis period. It is suggested that the government of Timor-Leste carefully consider all aspects of design and funding before adopting the new system, as the decisions made will have very significant macroeconomic, labor market, budget, and social policy implications for the country for decades to come. 2015-01-06T22:23:42Z 2015-01-06T22:23:42Z 2014-09-14 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/ https://hdl.handle.net/10986/21112 English en_US CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/ application/pdf text/plain Jakarta
institution Banco Mundial
collection DSpace
country Estados Unidos
countrycode US
component Bibliográfico
access En linea
databasecode dig-okr
tag biblioteca
region America del Norte
libraryname Biblioteca del Banco Mundial
language English
en_US
topic ACCRUAL RATE
ADMINISTRATIVE COSTS
BANK OFFICE
BANKRUPTCY
BENEFICIARIES
BENEFICIARY
BENEFIT PAYMENT
BENEFIT PAYMENTS
CASH FLOWS
CHILD SUPPORT
CITIZEN
CITIZENS
CONTRIBUTION COLLECTION
CONTRIBUTION RATE
CONTRIBUTION RATES
CORRUPTION
COST ESTIMATES
DEFINED BENEFIT
DEFINED BENEFIT PLAN
DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGES
DEPENDENCY RATIO
DEPENDENCY RATIOS
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DISABILITY
DISABLED
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
EMPLOYERS
EXPENDITURES
FAMILIES
FERTILITY
FERTILITY RATES
FINANCIAL ANALYSIS
FINANCIAL STABILITY
FRAUD
FULL DISCLOSURE
INFLATION
INTERNATIONAL STANDARD
INTERNATIONAL STANDARDS
LABOR FORCE
LABOR FORCE PARTICIPATION
LABOR MARKET
LARGE FAMILIES
LIFE EXPECTANCY
LONG-TERM COST
LONG-TERM COSTS
MATURITY
MINIMUM BENEFIT
MORAL HAZARD
MORTALITY
OLD AGE
PAYROLL COSTS
PENSION
PENSION BENEFITS
PENSION FUND
PENSION FUND ASSETS
PENSION FUNDS
PENSION PROGRAMS
PENSION SCHEME
PENSION SYSTEM
PENSIONABLE EARNINGS
PENSIONERS
PENSIONS
POLICY IMPLICATIONS
POPULATION PROJECTIONS
PRIVATE PENSION
PRIVATE PENSION FUNDS
RATE OF RETURN
REAL INTEREST
REAL INTEREST RATE
RESERVES
RETIREMENT
RETIREMENT AGE
RETIREMENT BENEFITS
RETIREMENTS
SANITATION
SEX
SOCIAL INSURANCE
SOCIAL INSURANCE SYSTEMS
SOCIAL PENSION
SOCIAL PENSIONS
SOCIAL POLICY
SOCIAL PROTECTION
SOCIAL SECURITY
SOCIAL SECURITY SYSTEM
SPOUSE
TAX
UNEMPLOYMENT
UNEMPLOYMENT RATES
VALUATION
VALUATIONS
WILL
WIVES
YOUNG AGE
YOUNG CHILDREN
ACCRUAL RATE
ADMINISTRATIVE COSTS
BANK OFFICE
BANKRUPTCY
BENEFICIARIES
BENEFICIARY
BENEFIT PAYMENT
BENEFIT PAYMENTS
CASH FLOWS
CHILD SUPPORT
CITIZEN
CITIZENS
CONTRIBUTION COLLECTION
CONTRIBUTION RATE
CONTRIBUTION RATES
CORRUPTION
COST ESTIMATES
DEFINED BENEFIT
DEFINED BENEFIT PLAN
DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGES
DEPENDENCY RATIO
DEPENDENCY RATIOS
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DISABILITY
DISABLED
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
EMPLOYERS
EXPENDITURES
FAMILIES
FERTILITY
FERTILITY RATES
FINANCIAL ANALYSIS
FINANCIAL STABILITY
FRAUD
FULL DISCLOSURE
INFLATION
INTERNATIONAL STANDARD
INTERNATIONAL STANDARDS
LABOR FORCE
LABOR FORCE PARTICIPATION
LABOR MARKET
LARGE FAMILIES
LIFE EXPECTANCY
LONG-TERM COST
LONG-TERM COSTS
MATURITY
MINIMUM BENEFIT
MORAL HAZARD
MORTALITY
OLD AGE
PAYROLL COSTS
PENSION
PENSION BENEFITS
PENSION FUND
PENSION FUND ASSETS
PENSION FUNDS
PENSION PROGRAMS
PENSION SCHEME
PENSION SYSTEM
PENSIONABLE EARNINGS
PENSIONERS
PENSIONS
POLICY IMPLICATIONS
POPULATION PROJECTIONS
PRIVATE PENSION
PRIVATE PENSION FUNDS
RATE OF RETURN
REAL INTEREST
REAL INTEREST RATE
RESERVES
RETIREMENT
RETIREMENT AGE
RETIREMENT BENEFITS
RETIREMENTS
SANITATION
SEX
SOCIAL INSURANCE
SOCIAL INSURANCE SYSTEMS
SOCIAL PENSION
SOCIAL PENSIONS
SOCIAL POLICY
SOCIAL PROTECTION
SOCIAL SECURITY
SOCIAL SECURITY SYSTEM
SPOUSE
TAX
UNEMPLOYMENT
UNEMPLOYMENT RATES
VALUATION
VALUATIONS
WILL
WIVES
YOUNG AGE
YOUNG CHILDREN
spellingShingle ACCRUAL RATE
ADMINISTRATIVE COSTS
BANK OFFICE
BANKRUPTCY
BENEFICIARIES
BENEFICIARY
BENEFIT PAYMENT
BENEFIT PAYMENTS
CASH FLOWS
CHILD SUPPORT
CITIZEN
CITIZENS
CONTRIBUTION COLLECTION
CONTRIBUTION RATE
CONTRIBUTION RATES
CORRUPTION
COST ESTIMATES
DEFINED BENEFIT
DEFINED BENEFIT PLAN
DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGES
DEPENDENCY RATIO
DEPENDENCY RATIOS
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DISABILITY
DISABLED
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
EMPLOYERS
EXPENDITURES
FAMILIES
FERTILITY
FERTILITY RATES
FINANCIAL ANALYSIS
FINANCIAL STABILITY
FRAUD
FULL DISCLOSURE
INFLATION
INTERNATIONAL STANDARD
INTERNATIONAL STANDARDS
LABOR FORCE
LABOR FORCE PARTICIPATION
LABOR MARKET
LARGE FAMILIES
LIFE EXPECTANCY
LONG-TERM COST
LONG-TERM COSTS
MATURITY
MINIMUM BENEFIT
MORAL HAZARD
MORTALITY
OLD AGE
PAYROLL COSTS
PENSION
PENSION BENEFITS
PENSION FUND
PENSION FUND ASSETS
PENSION FUNDS
PENSION PROGRAMS
PENSION SCHEME
PENSION SYSTEM
PENSIONABLE EARNINGS
PENSIONERS
PENSIONS
POLICY IMPLICATIONS
POPULATION PROJECTIONS
PRIVATE PENSION
PRIVATE PENSION FUNDS
RATE OF RETURN
REAL INTEREST
REAL INTEREST RATE
RESERVES
RETIREMENT
RETIREMENT AGE
RETIREMENT BENEFITS
RETIREMENTS
SANITATION
SEX
SOCIAL INSURANCE
SOCIAL INSURANCE SYSTEMS
SOCIAL PENSION
SOCIAL PENSIONS
SOCIAL POLICY
SOCIAL PROTECTION
SOCIAL SECURITY
SOCIAL SECURITY SYSTEM
SPOUSE
TAX
UNEMPLOYMENT
UNEMPLOYMENT RATES
VALUATION
VALUATIONS
WILL
WIVES
YOUNG AGE
YOUNG CHILDREN
ACCRUAL RATE
ADMINISTRATIVE COSTS
BANK OFFICE
BANKRUPTCY
BENEFICIARIES
BENEFICIARY
BENEFIT PAYMENT
BENEFIT PAYMENTS
CASH FLOWS
CHILD SUPPORT
CITIZEN
CITIZENS
CONTRIBUTION COLLECTION
CONTRIBUTION RATE
CONTRIBUTION RATES
CORRUPTION
COST ESTIMATES
DEFINED BENEFIT
DEFINED BENEFIT PLAN
DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGES
DEPENDENCY RATIO
DEPENDENCY RATIOS
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DISABILITY
DISABLED
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
EMPLOYERS
EXPENDITURES
FAMILIES
FERTILITY
FERTILITY RATES
FINANCIAL ANALYSIS
FINANCIAL STABILITY
FRAUD
FULL DISCLOSURE
INFLATION
INTERNATIONAL STANDARD
INTERNATIONAL STANDARDS
LABOR FORCE
LABOR FORCE PARTICIPATION
LABOR MARKET
LARGE FAMILIES
LIFE EXPECTANCY
LONG-TERM COST
LONG-TERM COSTS
MATURITY
MINIMUM BENEFIT
MORAL HAZARD
MORTALITY
OLD AGE
PAYROLL COSTS
PENSION
PENSION BENEFITS
PENSION FUND
PENSION FUND ASSETS
PENSION FUNDS
PENSION PROGRAMS
PENSION SCHEME
PENSION SYSTEM
PENSIONABLE EARNINGS
PENSIONERS
PENSIONS
POLICY IMPLICATIONS
POPULATION PROJECTIONS
PRIVATE PENSION
PRIVATE PENSION FUNDS
RATE OF RETURN
REAL INTEREST
REAL INTEREST RATE
RESERVES
RETIREMENT
RETIREMENT AGE
RETIREMENT BENEFITS
RETIREMENTS
SANITATION
SEX
SOCIAL INSURANCE
SOCIAL INSURANCE SYSTEMS
SOCIAL PENSION
SOCIAL PENSIONS
SOCIAL POLICY
SOCIAL PROTECTION
SOCIAL SECURITY
SOCIAL SECURITY SYSTEM
SPOUSE
TAX
UNEMPLOYMENT
UNEMPLOYMENT RATES
VALUATION
VALUATIONS
WILL
WIVES
YOUNG AGE
YOUNG CHILDREN
World Bank
Review of the Actuarial Forecasts of the Proposed Contributory Social Security Regime in Timor-Leste
description This report briefly summarizes the results for the analysis of the design, financing and administrative processes for a national social security system covering all salaried workers in Timor-Leste, including analysis of the actuarial report (ACL Report) prepared for the Directorate General of Social Security by its consultant. The report is divided into seven sections: (i) Scope of Work; (ii) ACL Report Assumptions and Methods Comment; (iii) ACL Plan Design Comments; (iv) PROST Analysis: ACL Report Design, Assumptions and Methods; (v) PROST Analysis: ACL Report Design, Bank Assumptions and Methods; (vi) Social Security Pension Fund Establishment; and (vii) Conclusion. In the final analysis it was determined that the ACL report does not meet international standards for actuarial reports for national social insurance systems. Furthermore it misrepresents the long-term costs of the proposed Timor-Leste national social security system by using non-standard assumptions and methods and an unusually short analysis period. It is suggested that the government of Timor-Leste carefully consider all aspects of design and funding before adopting the new system, as the decisions made will have very significant macroeconomic, labor market, budget, and social policy implications for the country for decades to come.
topic_facet ACCRUAL RATE
ADMINISTRATIVE COSTS
BANK OFFICE
BANKRUPTCY
BENEFICIARIES
BENEFICIARY
BENEFIT PAYMENT
BENEFIT PAYMENTS
CASH FLOWS
CHILD SUPPORT
CITIZEN
CITIZENS
CONTRIBUTION COLLECTION
CONTRIBUTION RATE
CONTRIBUTION RATES
CORRUPTION
COST ESTIMATES
DEFINED BENEFIT
DEFINED BENEFIT PLAN
DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGES
DEPENDENCY RATIO
DEPENDENCY RATIOS
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
DISABILITY
DISABLED
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
EMPLOYERS
EXPENDITURES
FAMILIES
FERTILITY
FERTILITY RATES
FINANCIAL ANALYSIS
FINANCIAL STABILITY
FRAUD
FULL DISCLOSURE
INFLATION
INTERNATIONAL STANDARD
INTERNATIONAL STANDARDS
LABOR FORCE
LABOR FORCE PARTICIPATION
LABOR MARKET
LARGE FAMILIES
LIFE EXPECTANCY
LONG-TERM COST
LONG-TERM COSTS
MATURITY
MINIMUM BENEFIT
MORAL HAZARD
MORTALITY
OLD AGE
PAYROLL COSTS
PENSION
PENSION BENEFITS
PENSION FUND
PENSION FUND ASSETS
PENSION FUNDS
PENSION PROGRAMS
PENSION SCHEME
PENSION SYSTEM
PENSIONABLE EARNINGS
PENSIONERS
PENSIONS
POLICY IMPLICATIONS
POPULATION PROJECTIONS
PRIVATE PENSION
PRIVATE PENSION FUNDS
RATE OF RETURN
REAL INTEREST
REAL INTEREST RATE
RESERVES
RETIREMENT
RETIREMENT AGE
RETIREMENT BENEFITS
RETIREMENTS
SANITATION
SEX
SOCIAL INSURANCE
SOCIAL INSURANCE SYSTEMS
SOCIAL PENSION
SOCIAL PENSIONS
SOCIAL POLICY
SOCIAL PROTECTION
SOCIAL SECURITY
SOCIAL SECURITY SYSTEM
SPOUSE
TAX
UNEMPLOYMENT
UNEMPLOYMENT RATES
VALUATION
VALUATIONS
WILL
WIVES
YOUNG AGE
YOUNG CHILDREN
author World Bank
author_facet World Bank
author_sort World Bank
title Review of the Actuarial Forecasts of the Proposed Contributory Social Security Regime in Timor-Leste
title_short Review of the Actuarial Forecasts of the Proposed Contributory Social Security Regime in Timor-Leste
title_full Review of the Actuarial Forecasts of the Proposed Contributory Social Security Regime in Timor-Leste
title_fullStr Review of the Actuarial Forecasts of the Proposed Contributory Social Security Regime in Timor-Leste
title_full_unstemmed Review of the Actuarial Forecasts of the Proposed Contributory Social Security Regime in Timor-Leste
title_sort review of the actuarial forecasts of the proposed contributory social security regime in timor-leste
publisher Jakarta
publishDate 2014-09-14
url http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/
https://hdl.handle.net/10986/21112
work_keys_str_mv AT worldbank reviewoftheactuarialforecastsoftheproposedcontributorysocialsecurityregimeintimorleste
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