Evolving Wage Cyclicality in Latin America

A vector autoregression model with time-varying coefficients is used to examine the evolution of wage cyclicality in four Latin American economies: Brazil, Chile, Colombia and Mexico, during the period 1980-2010. Wages are highly pro-cyclical in all countries up to the mid-1990s except in Chile. Wage cyclicality declines thereafter, especially in Brazil and Colombia. This decline in wage cyclicality is in accordance with declining real-wage flexibility in a low-inflation environment. Controlling for compositional effects caused by changes in labor force participation along the business cycle does not alter these results.

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Messina, Julian, Gambetti, Luca
Format: Policy Research Working Paper biblioteca
Language:English
en_US
Published: World Bank Group, Washington, DC 2014-07
Subjects:ACCOUNTING, AUTOREGRESSION, BUSINESS CYCLE, BUSINESS CYCLES, CENTRAL BANK, CENTRAL BANKS, COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS, CONSUMER PRICE INDEX, CPI, DEBT, DEBT CRISIS, DEVELOPED COUNTRIES, DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS, DEVELOPMENT POLICY, DOWNWARD BIAS, ECONOMIC DYNAMICS, ECONOMICS, ELASTICITY, EMPLOYEE, EMPLOYMENT MEASURE, EMPLOYMENT RATES, EMPLOYMENT RELATIONSHIP, ENVIRONMENTS, ESTIMATED PROBABILITY, GDP, GROWTH RATE, HUMAN CAPITAL, INCOME, INDEXATION, INFORMAL EMPLOYMENT, INNOVATION, INNOVATIONS, INTEREST RATES, LABOR CONTRACTS, LABOR COSTS, LABOR FORCE, LABOR FORCE PARTICIPATION, LABOR MARKET, LABOR MARKET ADJUSTMENT, LABOR MARKETS, LABOR REALLOCATION, LABOUR, MACROECONOMIC STABILIZATION, MACROECONOMICS, MANUFACTURING WAGES, MONETARY POLICY, NOMINAL WAGES, POLITICAL ECONOMY, PRIVATE SECTOR, PUBLIC SECTOR WORKERS, REAL WAGE, REAL WAGES, RECESSION, TROUGH, UNEMPLOYMENT, VEC, WAGE ADJUSTMENT, WAGE DATA, WAGE FLEXIBILITY, WAGE GAINS, WAGE RIGIDITIES, WAGE RIGIDITY, WAGES, WORK FORCE, WORKER, WORKERS,
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2014/07/19881767/evolving-wage-cyclicality-latin-america
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/19346
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!