Government Spending Multipliers in Developing Countries : Evidence from Lending by Official Creditors
This paper uses a novel loan-level dataset covering lending by official creditors to developing country governments to construct an instrument for government spending. These loans typically finance multi-year spending projects, with disbursements linked to the stages of project implementation. The identification strategy exploits the long lags between approval and eventual disbursement of these loans to isolate a predetermined component of public spending associated with past loan approval decisions taken before the realization of contemporaneous shocks. In a large sample of 102 developing countries over the period 1970-2010, the one-year spending multiplier is reasonably-precisely estimated to be around 0.4.
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Format: | Journal Article biblioteca |
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American Economic Association
2014-10
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Subjects: | government spending multipliers, fiscal policy, |
Online Access: | http://hdl.handle.net/10986/16313 |
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dig-okr-10986163132021-04-23T14:03:28Z Government Spending Multipliers in Developing Countries : Evidence from Lending by Official Creditors Kraay, Aart government spending multipliers fiscal policy This paper uses a novel loan-level dataset covering lending by official creditors to developing country governments to construct an instrument for government spending. These loans typically finance multi-year spending projects, with disbursements linked to the stages of project implementation. The identification strategy exploits the long lags between approval and eventual disbursement of these loans to isolate a predetermined component of public spending associated with past loan approval decisions taken before the realization of contemporaneous shocks. In a large sample of 102 developing countries over the period 1970-2010, the one-year spending multiplier is reasonably-precisely estimated to be around 0.4. 2013-11-25T19:27:41Z 2013-11-25T19:27:41Z 2014-10 Journal Article American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics http://hdl.handle.net/10986/16313 en_US CC BY-NC-ND 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/igo American Economic Association American Economic Association Publications & Research :: Journal Article Publications & Research |
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government spending multipliers fiscal policy government spending multipliers fiscal policy |
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government spending multipliers fiscal policy government spending multipliers fiscal policy Kraay, Aart Government Spending Multipliers in Developing Countries : Evidence from Lending by Official Creditors |
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This paper uses a novel loan-level dataset covering lending by official creditors to developing country governments to construct an instrument for government spending. These loans typically finance multi-year spending projects, with disbursements linked to the stages of project implementation. The identification strategy exploits the long lags between approval and eventual disbursement of these loans to isolate a predetermined component of public spending associated with past loan approval decisions taken before the realization of contemporaneous shocks. In a large sample of 102 developing countries over the period 1970-2010, the one-year spending multiplier is reasonably-precisely estimated to be around 0.4. |
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Journal Article |
topic_facet |
government spending multipliers fiscal policy |
author |
Kraay, Aart |
author_facet |
Kraay, Aart |
author_sort |
Kraay, Aart |
title |
Government Spending Multipliers in Developing Countries : Evidence from Lending by Official Creditors |
title_short |
Government Spending Multipliers in Developing Countries : Evidence from Lending by Official Creditors |
title_full |
Government Spending Multipliers in Developing Countries : Evidence from Lending by Official Creditors |
title_fullStr |
Government Spending Multipliers in Developing Countries : Evidence from Lending by Official Creditors |
title_full_unstemmed |
Government Spending Multipliers in Developing Countries : Evidence from Lending by Official Creditors |
title_sort |
government spending multipliers in developing countries : evidence from lending by official creditors |
publisher |
American Economic Association |
publishDate |
2014-10 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/16313 |
work_keys_str_mv |
AT kraayaart governmentspendingmultipliersindevelopingcountriesevidencefromlendingbyofficialcreditors |
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1756573157384257536 |