Government Spending Multipliers in Developing Countries : Evidence from Lending by Official Creditors

This paper uses a novel loan-level dataset covering lending by official creditors to developing country governments to construct an instrument for government spending. These loans typically finance multi-year spending projects, with disbursements linked to the stages of project implementation. The identification strategy exploits the long lags between approval and eventual disbursement of these loans to isolate a predetermined component of public spending associated with past loan approval decisions taken before the realization of contemporaneous shocks. In a large sample of 102 developing countries over the period 1970-2010, the one-year spending multiplier is reasonably-precisely estimated to be around 0.4.

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Kraay, Aart
Format: Journal Article biblioteca
Language:en_US
Published: American Economic Association 2014-10
Subjects:government spending multipliers, fiscal policy,
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/10986/16313
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spelling dig-okr-10986163132021-04-23T14:03:28Z Government Spending Multipliers in Developing Countries : Evidence from Lending by Official Creditors Kraay, Aart government spending multipliers fiscal policy This paper uses a novel loan-level dataset covering lending by official creditors to developing country governments to construct an instrument for government spending. These loans typically finance multi-year spending projects, with disbursements linked to the stages of project implementation. The identification strategy exploits the long lags between approval and eventual disbursement of these loans to isolate a predetermined component of public spending associated with past loan approval decisions taken before the realization of contemporaneous shocks. In a large sample of 102 developing countries over the period 1970-2010, the one-year spending multiplier is reasonably-precisely estimated to be around 0.4. 2013-11-25T19:27:41Z 2013-11-25T19:27:41Z 2014-10 Journal Article American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics http://hdl.handle.net/10986/16313 en_US CC BY-NC-ND 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/igo American Economic Association American Economic Association Publications & Research :: Journal Article Publications & Research
institution Banco Mundial
collection DSpace
country Estados Unidos
countrycode US
component Bibliográfico
access En linea
databasecode dig-okr
tag biblioteca
region America del Norte
libraryname Biblioteca del Banco Mundial
language en_US
topic government spending multipliers
fiscal policy
government spending multipliers
fiscal policy
spellingShingle government spending multipliers
fiscal policy
government spending multipliers
fiscal policy
Kraay, Aart
Government Spending Multipliers in Developing Countries : Evidence from Lending by Official Creditors
description This paper uses a novel loan-level dataset covering lending by official creditors to developing country governments to construct an instrument for government spending. These loans typically finance multi-year spending projects, with disbursements linked to the stages of project implementation. The identification strategy exploits the long lags between approval and eventual disbursement of these loans to isolate a predetermined component of public spending associated with past loan approval decisions taken before the realization of contemporaneous shocks. In a large sample of 102 developing countries over the period 1970-2010, the one-year spending multiplier is reasonably-precisely estimated to be around 0.4.
format Journal Article
topic_facet government spending multipliers
fiscal policy
author Kraay, Aart
author_facet Kraay, Aart
author_sort Kraay, Aart
title Government Spending Multipliers in Developing Countries : Evidence from Lending by Official Creditors
title_short Government Spending Multipliers in Developing Countries : Evidence from Lending by Official Creditors
title_full Government Spending Multipliers in Developing Countries : Evidence from Lending by Official Creditors
title_fullStr Government Spending Multipliers in Developing Countries : Evidence from Lending by Official Creditors
title_full_unstemmed Government Spending Multipliers in Developing Countries : Evidence from Lending by Official Creditors
title_sort government spending multipliers in developing countries : evidence from lending by official creditors
publisher American Economic Association
publishDate 2014-10
url http://hdl.handle.net/10986/16313
work_keys_str_mv AT kraayaart governmentspendingmultipliersindevelopingcountriesevidencefromlendingbyofficialcreditors
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