Ethiopia Public Expenditure Review : The Emerging Challenge, Volume 1. Public Spending in the Social Sectors 2000-2020

This Public Expenditure Review (PER) features the expenditure requirements confronting the government which are enormous; and, the expenditure requirements confronting Ethiopia which are compounded by rapid population growth. The expenditure consequences are significant, because social programs are intensive in their demands on recurrent resources, so the expansions being committed to today, could overwhelm budget obligations in 20 years time, crowding out the capacity to fund other investments for growth. Furthermore, because of the very limited capacity to finance these needs domestically, they will heavily influence foreign aid requirements over the next two decades. Finally, because the cost of these programs fall primarily on the regional and local governments, they imply the need for a major increase in the share of resources transferred to lower level governments. The object of this PER is to put the numbers on the table to inform this debate. Current spending on education, health, population, food security transfers, and water supply is examined, along with an assessment of its adequacy, effectiveness, and absorptive capacity. The PER then projects the costs of alternative coverage targets over the next 20 years, including the costs of reaching the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs), and examines the implications for financing, and sectoral policy choices. Three cost scenarios are forecast for each sector: a 'business-as-usual' scenario that shows the cost of just keeping up with population growth; an 'Extended (Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper ) PRSP' scenario, that projects the costs of continuing with moderately ambitious targets developed over the past few years; and, finally an 'MDGs Plus' scenario that forecasts the full costs of implementing the most ambitious plans that government is currently proposing in various policy documents. The report comprises two volumes: public spending in the social sectors 2000-2020 (V. 1), and, medium trends and recent developments in public spending (v. 2), that includes statistical annexes.

Bibliographic Details

Main Author:	World Bank
Format:	Public Expenditure Review biblioteca
Language:	English en_US
Published:	Washington, DC 2004-06
Subjects:	ABSORPTIVE CAPACITY, AGED, CAPITAL COSTS, CHILDBIRTH, CLEAN WATER, COMMODITIES, CROWDING, DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS, DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY, DIPHTHERIA, ECONOMIC GROWTH, ECONOMIC MANAGEMENT, EDUCATION, EMPLOYMENT, ENROLLMENT RATIO, EXPENDITURES, FAMILY PLANNING, FOOD SECURITY, GOVERNMENT SPENDING, HEALTH, HEALTH CARE, HEALTH SPENDING, HUMAN DEVELOPMENT, IMMUNIZATION, INCOME, LOCAL GOVERNMENTS, MAINTENANCE COSTS, MANAGERS, MORTALITY, POLICY CHOICES, POLICY DOCUMENTS, POLICY IMPLICATIONS, POLIO, POOR COUNTRIES, POPULATION GROWTH, POVERTY REDUCTION, PUBLIC EXPENDITURE, PUBLIC EXPENDITURE REVIEW, PUBLIC HEALTH, PUBLIC SPENDING, SAFETY, SAFETY NET, SAFETY NETS, SANITATION COVERAGE, SAVINGS, SCHOOL SYSTEM, SCHOOLS, SECTOR POLICY, SOCIAL SECTORS, SOCIAL SERVICES, TOWN, TOWN WATER, TOWN WATER SUPPLY, WATER RESOURCES, WATER SUPPLY, WATER SUPPLY SYSTEMS PUBLIC EXPENDITURES, POPULATION INCREASE, DEMOGRAPHIC INDICATORS, SOCIAL PROGRAMS, RESOURCE PLANNING, RECURRENT COSTS, BUDGET ESTIMATES, BUDGET PROJECTIONS, INVESTMENT FUNDS, FUNDING CAPACITY, GROWTH POLICY, SOCIAL SECTOR INVESTMENT, EDUCATION SECTOR, PUBLIC HEALTH ADMINISTRATION, WATER SUPPLY & SANITATION, SERVICE DELIVERY, GENDER ISSUES, SECTORAL POLICY, SECTORAL PLANNING, DONOR FINANCE, PRIVATE FINANCING, COST RECOVERY FOR SOCIAL SERVICES, POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES, TARGETED ASSISTANCE, SAFETY NET POLICIES, DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE, DECENTRALIZATION, POLICY FRAMEWORK, STATISTICAL DATA,
Online Access:	http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2004/06/4938466/ethiopia-public-expenditure-review-emerging-challenge-vol-1-2-public-spending-social-sectors http://hdl.handle.net/10986/15651
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