Greenfield Foreign Direct Investment and Mergers and Acquisitions : Feedback and Macroeconomic Effects

Foreign direct investment (FDI) flows to developing countries surged in the 1990s to become their leading source of external financing. This rise in FDI volume was accompanied by a marked change in its composition: investment taking the form of acquisition of existing assets (mergers and acquisitions) grew much more rapidly than investment in new assets ("greenfield" FDI), particularly in countries undertaking extensive privatization of public enterprises. This raises two issues. First, is the mergers and acquisitions boom a one-time effect of privatization, or is it likely to be followed by a rise in greenfield investment? Second, do these two types of FDI have different macroeconomic causes and consequences in relation to aggregate investment and growth? The authors focus on establishing the stylized facts in terms of time precedence between both types of FDI, investment, and growth, using annual data for the period 1987-2001 and a large sample of industrial and developing countries. The authors find that in all samples, higher mergers and acquisitions is typically followed by higher greenfield investment, while the reverse is true only for developing countries. In industrial and developing countries alike, both types of FDI lead domestic investment, but not the reverse. Finally, neither type of FDI appears to precede economic growth in developing or industrial countries, but FDI does respond positively to increases in the growth rate.

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Calderón, César, Loayza, Norman, Servén, Luis
Format: Policy Research Working Paper biblioteca
Language:English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2004-01
Subjects:AUTOREGRESSION, BALANCE OF PAYMENTS, CAPITAL FLOWS, CAPITAL FORMATION, CAPITAL INFLOWS, CENTRAL BANK, COMPETITIVE PRESSURE, COUNTRY GROWTH, DEBT, DEVELOPED COUNTRIES, DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS, DOMESTIC ECONOMY, DOMESTIC FIRMS, DOMESTIC INVESTMENT, DOMESTIC INVESTORS, ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS, ECONOMETRICS, ECONOMIC ACTIVITY, ECONOMIC GROWTH, ECONOMIC POLICY, EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS, EMPIRICAL STUDIES, EQUITY FLOWS, EXPENDITURES, EXTERNAL FINANCING, FDI, FINANCIAL MARKETS, FINANCIAL SERVICES, FINANCIAL TRANSFERS, FIXED ASSETS, FIXED CAPITAL, FIXED INVESTMENT, FOREIGN CAPITAL, FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT, FOREIGN ENTRY, FOREIGN FIRMS, FOREIGN INVESTMENT, GDP, GLOBAL DEVELOPMENT FINANCE, GLOBALISATION, GROSS FIXED CAPITAL FORMATION, GROWTH RATE, HOST COUNTRY, HOST ECONOMY, HUMAN CAPITAL, INCOME, INDUSTRIAL COUNTRIES, INDUSTRIAL ECONOMIES, INTEREST RATES, INTERNATIONAL CAPITAL, INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS, INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL, INTERNATIONAL TRADE, INVESTMENT FLOWS, LDCS, LIQUIDATION, LIQUIDITY, LOCAL FIRMS, LOCAL MARKETS, MACROECONOMIC ANALYSIS, MANUFACTURING SECTOR, MARKET ENTRY, MARKET INTEGRATION, MERGERS, MONETARY ECONOMICS, MULTIPLIERS, NET INFLOWS, OPEN ECONOMIES, PORTFOLIO, PRODUCTIVITY, PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH, PRODUCTIVITY SPILLOVERS, PUBLIC POLICY, REAL GDP, TECHNOLOGY SPILLOVERS, TECHNOLOGY TRANSFER, TECHNOLOGY TRANSFERS, TIME SERIES, WORLD INVESTMENT, WORLD MARKET,
Online Access:http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2004/01/2893049/greenfield-foreign-direct-investment-mergers-acquisitions-feedback-macroeconomic-effects
http://hdl.handle.net/10986/13941
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Summary:Foreign direct investment (FDI) flows to developing countries surged in the 1990s to become their leading source of external financing. This rise in FDI volume was accompanied by a marked change in its composition: investment taking the form of acquisition of existing assets (mergers and acquisitions) grew much more rapidly than investment in new assets ("greenfield" FDI), particularly in countries undertaking extensive privatization of public enterprises. This raises two issues. First, is the mergers and acquisitions boom a one-time effect of privatization, or is it likely to be followed by a rise in greenfield investment? Second, do these two types of FDI have different macroeconomic causes and consequences in relation to aggregate investment and growth? The authors focus on establishing the stylized facts in terms of time precedence between both types of FDI, investment, and growth, using annual data for the period 1987-2001 and a large sample of industrial and developing countries. The authors find that in all samples, higher mergers and acquisitions is typically followed by higher greenfield investment, while the reverse is true only for developing countries. In industrial and developing countries alike, both types of FDI lead domestic investment, but not the reverse. Finally, neither type of FDI appears to precede economic growth in developing or industrial countries, but FDI does respond positively to increases in the growth rate.