Past, Current and Future Trends in Tobacco Use
This paper first estimates the number of tobacco users in 2000 and cigarette consumption from 1970 to 2000 by regions and levels of development and briefly discusses the advantages and disadvantages of estimating tobacco use on the basis of prevalence surveys or aggregate data. Secondly, prevalence (and its associated number of smokers) and cigarette consumption (total and per capita) are projected in the future using several scenarios of changes in tobacco use (prevalence and cigarette consumption), as well as different assumptions about population and income growth. The results show that even if all countries immediately implement a comprehensive set of tobacco control policies, the reduction in the number of tobacco users and the total consumption of cigarettes will be gradual. This should give comfort to farmers and others who fear the impact of tobacco control on their livelihoods. It is however, discouraging news for public health, since it implies that the number of tobacco attributable deaths will continue to rise for decades to come.
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dig-okr-10986137262024-08-08T17:34:36Z Past, Current and Future Trends in Tobacco Use Guindon, G. Emmanuel Boisclair, David AGRICULTURE ANNUAL GROWTH ANNUAL GROWTH RATE ANNUAL RATE AVERAGE ANNUAL AVERAGE INCOME AVERAGE RATE CANCER CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASE CONSUMPTION PATTERNS COUNTRY LEVEL DATA QUALITY DEVELOPED COUNTRIES DEVELOPED WORLD DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DEVELOPING WORLD ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ECONOMIC IMPACT ELASTICITY EMPLOYMENT EPIDEMIOLOGICAL STUDIES EPIDEMIOLOGY EXPORTS GDP GDP PER CAPITA GROWTH RATE HEALTH HEALTH PROBLEMS HEALTH SERVICES HUMAN DEVELOPMENT IMPORTS INCOME INCOME EFFECT INCOME ELASTICITY INCOME INCREASE INCOME LEVELS INTERNATIONAL TRADE LOW INCOMES MARKET ECONOMIES MEAN INCOME MORTALITY NUTRITION PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION PER CAPITA INCOME POLICY MAKERS POLICY MAKING POOR DATA POPULATION DATA POPULATION GROWTH PREMATURE DEATH PRICE INCREASES PRICE OF TOBACCO PRODUCTS REAL GDP SMOKING TAX REVENUES TAXATION TOBACCO TOBACCO ADVERTISING TOBACCO COMPANIES TOBACCO CONSUMPTION TOBACCO CONTROL TOBACCO EPIDEMIC TOBACCO TAXES TOBACCO USE YOUNG PEOPLE ECONOMICS OF TOBACCO CONTROL TOBACCO USE CIGARETTES NICOTINE TOBACCO INDUSTRY TOBACCO SMOKING TOBACCO TRADE POLICIES TOBACCO CONTROL TOBACCO LAW SMOKING This paper first estimates the number of tobacco users in 2000 and cigarette consumption from 1970 to 2000 by regions and levels of development and briefly discusses the advantages and disadvantages of estimating tobacco use on the basis of prevalence surveys or aggregate data. Secondly, prevalence (and its associated number of smokers) and cigarette consumption (total and per capita) are projected in the future using several scenarios of changes in tobacco use (prevalence and cigarette consumption), as well as different assumptions about population and income growth. The results show that even if all countries immediately implement a comprehensive set of tobacco control policies, the reduction in the number of tobacco users and the total consumption of cigarettes will be gradual. This should give comfort to farmers and others who fear the impact of tobacco control on their livelihoods. It is however, discouraging news for public health, since it implies that the number of tobacco attributable deaths will continue to rise for decades to come. 2013-05-30T20:41:58Z 2013-05-30T20:41:58Z 2003-03 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2003/03/4045681/past-current-future-trends-tobacco-use https://hdl.handle.net/10986/13726 English en_US HNP discussion paper; CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank application/pdf text/plain World Bank, Washington, DC |
| institution |
Banco Mundial |
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DSpace |
| country |
Estados Unidos |
| countrycode |
US |
| component |
Bibliográfico |
| access |
En linea |
| databasecode |
dig-okr |
| tag |
biblioteca |
| region |
America del Norte |
| libraryname |
Biblioteca del Banco Mundial |
| language |
English en_US |
| topic |
AGRICULTURE ANNUAL GROWTH ANNUAL GROWTH RATE ANNUAL RATE AVERAGE ANNUAL AVERAGE INCOME AVERAGE RATE CANCER CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASE CONSUMPTION PATTERNS COUNTRY LEVEL DATA QUALITY DEVELOPED COUNTRIES DEVELOPED WORLD DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DEVELOPING WORLD ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ECONOMIC IMPACT ELASTICITY EMPLOYMENT EPIDEMIOLOGICAL STUDIES EPIDEMIOLOGY EXPORTS GDP GDP PER CAPITA GROWTH RATE HEALTH HEALTH PROBLEMS HEALTH SERVICES HUMAN DEVELOPMENT IMPORTS INCOME INCOME EFFECT INCOME ELASTICITY INCOME INCREASE INCOME LEVELS INTERNATIONAL TRADE LOW INCOMES MARKET ECONOMIES MEAN INCOME MORTALITY NUTRITION PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION PER CAPITA INCOME POLICY MAKERS POLICY MAKING POOR DATA POPULATION DATA POPULATION GROWTH PREMATURE DEATH PRICE INCREASES PRICE OF TOBACCO PRODUCTS REAL GDP SMOKING TAX REVENUES TAXATION TOBACCO TOBACCO ADVERTISING TOBACCO COMPANIES TOBACCO CONSUMPTION TOBACCO CONTROL TOBACCO EPIDEMIC TOBACCO TAXES TOBACCO USE YOUNG PEOPLE ECONOMICS OF TOBACCO CONTROL TOBACCO USE CIGARETTES NICOTINE TOBACCO INDUSTRY TOBACCO SMOKING TOBACCO TRADE POLICIES TOBACCO CONTROL TOBACCO LAW SMOKING AGRICULTURE ANNUAL GROWTH ANNUAL GROWTH RATE ANNUAL RATE AVERAGE ANNUAL AVERAGE INCOME AVERAGE RATE CANCER CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASE CONSUMPTION PATTERNS COUNTRY LEVEL DATA QUALITY DEVELOPED COUNTRIES DEVELOPED WORLD DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DEVELOPING WORLD ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ECONOMIC IMPACT ELASTICITY EMPLOYMENT EPIDEMIOLOGICAL STUDIES EPIDEMIOLOGY EXPORTS GDP GDP PER CAPITA GROWTH RATE HEALTH HEALTH PROBLEMS HEALTH SERVICES HUMAN DEVELOPMENT IMPORTS INCOME INCOME EFFECT INCOME ELASTICITY INCOME INCREASE INCOME LEVELS INTERNATIONAL TRADE LOW INCOMES MARKET ECONOMIES MEAN INCOME MORTALITY NUTRITION PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION PER CAPITA INCOME POLICY MAKERS POLICY MAKING POOR DATA POPULATION DATA POPULATION GROWTH PREMATURE DEATH PRICE INCREASES PRICE OF TOBACCO PRODUCTS REAL GDP SMOKING TAX REVENUES TAXATION TOBACCO TOBACCO ADVERTISING TOBACCO COMPANIES TOBACCO CONSUMPTION TOBACCO CONTROL TOBACCO EPIDEMIC TOBACCO TAXES TOBACCO USE YOUNG PEOPLE ECONOMICS OF TOBACCO CONTROL TOBACCO USE CIGARETTES NICOTINE TOBACCO INDUSTRY TOBACCO SMOKING TOBACCO TRADE POLICIES TOBACCO CONTROL TOBACCO LAW SMOKING |
| spellingShingle |
AGRICULTURE ANNUAL GROWTH ANNUAL GROWTH RATE ANNUAL RATE AVERAGE ANNUAL AVERAGE INCOME AVERAGE RATE CANCER CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASE CONSUMPTION PATTERNS COUNTRY LEVEL DATA QUALITY DEVELOPED COUNTRIES DEVELOPED WORLD DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DEVELOPING WORLD ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ECONOMIC IMPACT ELASTICITY EMPLOYMENT EPIDEMIOLOGICAL STUDIES EPIDEMIOLOGY EXPORTS GDP GDP PER CAPITA GROWTH RATE HEALTH HEALTH PROBLEMS HEALTH SERVICES HUMAN DEVELOPMENT IMPORTS INCOME INCOME EFFECT INCOME ELASTICITY INCOME INCREASE INCOME LEVELS INTERNATIONAL TRADE LOW INCOMES MARKET ECONOMIES MEAN INCOME MORTALITY NUTRITION PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION PER CAPITA INCOME POLICY MAKERS POLICY MAKING POOR DATA POPULATION DATA POPULATION GROWTH PREMATURE DEATH PRICE INCREASES PRICE OF TOBACCO PRODUCTS REAL GDP SMOKING TAX REVENUES TAXATION TOBACCO TOBACCO ADVERTISING TOBACCO COMPANIES TOBACCO CONSUMPTION TOBACCO CONTROL TOBACCO EPIDEMIC TOBACCO TAXES TOBACCO USE YOUNG PEOPLE ECONOMICS OF TOBACCO CONTROL TOBACCO USE CIGARETTES NICOTINE TOBACCO INDUSTRY TOBACCO SMOKING TOBACCO TRADE POLICIES TOBACCO CONTROL TOBACCO LAW SMOKING AGRICULTURE ANNUAL GROWTH ANNUAL GROWTH RATE ANNUAL RATE AVERAGE ANNUAL AVERAGE INCOME AVERAGE RATE CANCER CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASE CONSUMPTION PATTERNS COUNTRY LEVEL DATA QUALITY DEVELOPED COUNTRIES DEVELOPED WORLD DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DEVELOPING WORLD ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ECONOMIC IMPACT ELASTICITY EMPLOYMENT EPIDEMIOLOGICAL STUDIES EPIDEMIOLOGY EXPORTS GDP GDP PER CAPITA GROWTH RATE HEALTH HEALTH PROBLEMS HEALTH SERVICES HUMAN DEVELOPMENT IMPORTS INCOME INCOME EFFECT INCOME ELASTICITY INCOME INCREASE INCOME LEVELS INTERNATIONAL TRADE LOW INCOMES MARKET ECONOMIES MEAN INCOME MORTALITY NUTRITION PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION PER CAPITA INCOME POLICY MAKERS POLICY MAKING POOR DATA POPULATION DATA POPULATION GROWTH PREMATURE DEATH PRICE INCREASES PRICE OF TOBACCO PRODUCTS REAL GDP SMOKING TAX REVENUES TAXATION TOBACCO TOBACCO ADVERTISING TOBACCO COMPANIES TOBACCO CONSUMPTION TOBACCO CONTROL TOBACCO EPIDEMIC TOBACCO TAXES TOBACCO USE YOUNG PEOPLE ECONOMICS OF TOBACCO CONTROL TOBACCO USE CIGARETTES NICOTINE TOBACCO INDUSTRY TOBACCO SMOKING TOBACCO TRADE POLICIES TOBACCO CONTROL TOBACCO LAW SMOKING Guindon, G. Emmanuel Boisclair, David Past, Current and Future Trends in Tobacco Use |
| description |
This paper first estimates the number of
tobacco users in 2000 and cigarette consumption from 1970 to
2000 by regions and levels of development and briefly
discusses the advantages and disadvantages of estimating
tobacco use on the basis of prevalence surveys or aggregate
data. Secondly, prevalence (and its associated number of
smokers) and cigarette consumption (total and per capita)
are projected in the future using several scenarios of
changes in tobacco use (prevalence and cigarette
consumption), as well as different assumptions about
population and income growth. The results show that even if
all countries immediately implement a comprehensive set of
tobacco control policies, the reduction in the number of
tobacco users and the total consumption of cigarettes will
be gradual. This should give comfort to farmers and others
who fear the impact of tobacco control on their livelihoods.
It is however, discouraging news for public health, since it
implies that the number of tobacco attributable deaths will
continue to rise for decades to come. |
| topic_facet |
AGRICULTURE ANNUAL GROWTH ANNUAL GROWTH RATE ANNUAL RATE AVERAGE ANNUAL AVERAGE INCOME AVERAGE RATE CANCER CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASE CONSUMPTION PATTERNS COUNTRY LEVEL DATA QUALITY DEVELOPED COUNTRIES DEVELOPED WORLD DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DEVELOPING WORLD ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT ECONOMIC IMPACT ELASTICITY EMPLOYMENT EPIDEMIOLOGICAL STUDIES EPIDEMIOLOGY EXPORTS GDP GDP PER CAPITA GROWTH RATE HEALTH HEALTH PROBLEMS HEALTH SERVICES HUMAN DEVELOPMENT IMPORTS INCOME INCOME EFFECT INCOME ELASTICITY INCOME INCREASE INCOME LEVELS INTERNATIONAL TRADE LOW INCOMES MARKET ECONOMIES MEAN INCOME MORTALITY NUTRITION PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION PER CAPITA INCOME POLICY MAKERS POLICY MAKING POOR DATA POPULATION DATA POPULATION GROWTH PREMATURE DEATH PRICE INCREASES PRICE OF TOBACCO PRODUCTS REAL GDP SMOKING TAX REVENUES TAXATION TOBACCO TOBACCO ADVERTISING TOBACCO COMPANIES TOBACCO CONSUMPTION TOBACCO CONTROL TOBACCO EPIDEMIC TOBACCO TAXES TOBACCO USE YOUNG PEOPLE ECONOMICS OF TOBACCO CONTROL TOBACCO USE CIGARETTES NICOTINE TOBACCO INDUSTRY TOBACCO SMOKING TOBACCO TRADE POLICIES TOBACCO CONTROL TOBACCO LAW SMOKING |
| author |
Guindon, G. Emmanuel Boisclair, David |
| author_facet |
Guindon, G. Emmanuel Boisclair, David |
| author_sort |
Guindon, G. Emmanuel |
| title |
Past, Current and Future Trends in Tobacco Use |
| title_short |
Past, Current and Future Trends in Tobacco Use |
| title_full |
Past, Current and Future Trends in Tobacco Use |
| title_fullStr |
Past, Current and Future Trends in Tobacco Use |
| title_full_unstemmed |
Past, Current and Future Trends in Tobacco Use |
| title_sort |
past, current and future trends in tobacco use |
| publisher |
World Bank, Washington, DC |
| publishDate |
2003-03 |
| url |
http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2003/03/4045681/past-current-future-trends-tobacco-use https://hdl.handle.net/10986/13726 |
| work_keys_str_mv |
AT guindongemmanuel pastcurrentandfuturetrendsintobaccouse AT boisclairdavid pastcurrentandfuturetrendsintobaccouse |
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1807160112598482944 |