Montenegro - Debt Sustainability Analysis

This report assesses Montenegro's public and external debt sustainability under alternative scenarios. The baseline scenario assumes continued implementation of a macroeconomic stabilization and structural reform program, while the low case scenario describes the alternative of a sluggish growth environment due to policy slippage/weak reform. In addition, other sensitivity tests are conducted in order to highlight the vulnerability of the baseline case to specific shocks. The report concludes that Montenegro's public debt would be highly sustainable if economic reforms continue at their current pace, and the 2007 fiscal policy is maintained over the coming years.

Bibliographic Details

Main Author:	World Bank
Language:	English en_US
Published:	Washington, DC 2007-02
Subjects:	ACCOUNTING, AMORTIZATION, ARREARS, ASSET POSITION, AUCTION, BALANCE OF PAYMENTS, BALANCE SHEETS, BANK CREDIT, BANK DEBT, BANKING SECTOR, BANKING SYSTEM, BANKRUPTCY, BASELINE SCENARIO, BASIS POINTS, BOND, BONDS, BURDEN OF ADJUSTMENT, CAPACITY CONSTRAINTS, CAPITAL ACCOUNT, CAPITAL INFLOWS, CAPITALIZATION, CENTRAL BANK, COMMERCIAL BANKS, CONTINGENT LIABILITIES, CONTINGENT LIABILITY, CREDIT GROWTH, CREDITORS, CREDITWORTHINESS, CURRENCY, CURRENCY COMPOSITION, CURRENCY MISMATCHES, CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT, CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICITS, DATA COLLECTION, DEBT, DEBT BURDEN, DEBT CRISES, DEBT DATA, DEBT DYNAMICS, DEBT MANAGEMENT, DEBT RATIO, DEBT RATIOS, DEBT RELIEF, DEBT SERVICE, DEBT STOCK, DEBT SUSTAINABILITY, DEBTS, DEPOSITS, DEVELOPMENT BANK, DISBURSEMENT, DISBURSEMENTS, DOMESTIC DEBT, DOMESTIC INVESTMENT, ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTS, EDUCATION SERVICES, EQUITY INVESTMENT, EXCHANGE RATE, EXCHANGE RATE MOVEMENTS, EXCHANGE RATES, EXPENDITURE, EXPENDITURE POLICIES, EXPENDITURES, EXPORT GROWTH, EXTERNAL BALANCE, EXTERNAL DEBT, EXTERNAL DEBTS, EXTERNAL INDEBTEDNESS, FACE VALUE, FINANCIAL MARKET, FINANCIAL SECTOR, FINANCIAL SERVICES, FINANCIAL SYSTEM, FINANCING REQUIREMENTS, FISCAL ADJUSTMENT, FISCAL BALANCE, FISCAL CONSOLIDATION, FISCAL DEFICITS, FISCAL POLICY, FISCAL STANCE, FIXED INTEREST, FIXED INTEREST RATE, FIXED INTEREST RATES, FLOATING INTEREST RATE, FLOATING RATE, FOREIGN BORROWING, FOREIGN CURRENCY, FOREIGN DEBT, FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT, FOREIGN EXCHANGE, FOREIGN EXCHANGE RESERVES, FOREIGN FINANCING, FOREIGN LOANS, GLOBAL DEVELOPMENT FINANCE, GOVERNMENT BUDGET, GOVERNMENT BUDGET DEFICIT, GOVERNMENT DEBT, GOVERNMENT DEFICIT, GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURE, GOVERNMENT REVENUE, GOVERNMENT SPENDING, GRACE PERIOD, GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT, GROWTH RATE, HEALTH SECTOR, HOLDING, HUMAN RESOURCE, IMPORT TARIFFS, INCOME TAX, INDEBTEDNESS, INFLATION, INFLATION RATE, INSTITUTIONAL CAPACITY, INSURANCE, INTEREST PAYMENTS, INTEREST RATE, INTEREST RATES, INTERNATIONAL BANK, INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT, INTERNATIONAL STANDARDS, INVESTMENT BANK, LABOR MARKET, LAND TITLE, LENDER, LENDER OF LAST RESORT, LENDING DECISIONS, LEVEL OF DEBT, LIQUIDITY, LIQUIDITY RATIOS, LOAN, LOCAL CURRENCY, LOCAL GOVERNMENT, LOCAL GOVERNMENTS, LONG-TERM DEBT, MACROECONOMIC DATA, MACROECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT, MACROECONOMIC POLICIES, MACROECONOMIC PROJECTIONS, MACROECONOMIC STABILITY, MACROECONOMIC STABILIZATION, MACROECONOMIC VARIABLES, MARKET ACCESS, MARKET ENVIRONMENT, MARKET INTEGRATION, MATURITY, MATURITY STRUCTURE, MINISTRY OF FINANCE, MONETARY FUND, MONETARY POLICY, NATIONAL ACCOUNTS, NATIONAL SAVING, NATIONAL SAVINGS, NET DEBT, NET PRESENT VALUE, OPEN ECONOMY, OUTSTANDING PUBLIC DEBT, PENSION, PENSION FUND, PENSION SYSTEM, PENSIONS, PERSONAL INCOME, PERSONAL INCOME TAX, POVERTY REDUCTION, PRIVATE CREDITORS, PRIVATE DEBT, PRIVATE INVESTMENT, PRIVATE INVESTMENTS, PRIVATE SECTOR, PRIVATE SECTOR DEBT, PRIVATE SECTOR INVESTMENT, PROPERTY RIGHTS, PROPERTY RIGHTS PROTECTION, PRUDENTIAL SUPERVISION, PUBLIC DEBT, PUBLIC DEBT STOCK, PUBLIC DEBTS, PUBLIC ENTERPRISES, PUBLIC EXPENDITURE, PUBLIC EXPENDITURES, PUBLIC INFRASTRUCTURE, PUBLIC INVESTMENT, PUBLIC SECTOR, PUBLIC SECTOR BORROWING, PUBLIC SECTOR DEBT, PUBLIC SECTOR DEFICIT, REAL EXCHANGE RATE, REAL INTEREST, REAL INTEREST RATE, REAL INTEREST RATES, RECURRENT EXPENDITURE, REFORM PROGRAM, REMITTANCES, REPAYMENT, REPAYMENT PERIOD, REPAYMENTS, RESERVES, RESOURCE CONSTRAINTS, RETURN, SECURITIES, SHORT TERM DEBTS, SHORT-TERM DEBT, SOLVENCY, STOCK ADJUSTMENTS, STOCK MARKETS, STRUCTURAL REFORM, STRUCTURAL REFORMS, SUSTAINABILITY ANALYSIS, SUSTAINABLE FISCAL POLICY, TAX RATES, TRADE BALANCE, TRANSACTION, TRANSACTION COSTS, TRANSFER PAYMENTS, TRANSITION COUNTRIES, TRANSPARENCY, TREASURY, TREASURY BILLS, TURNOVER, VARIABLE INTEREST RATES, WITHDRAWAL,
Online Access:	http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2007/02/16277938/republic-montenegro-debt-sustainability-analysis https://hdl.handle.net/10986/12493
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