Aid, Policy and Peace : Reducing the Risks of Civil Conflict

This note, summarizing recent research by Paul Collier and Anke Hoeffler, presents a theoretical and empirical analysis of the effects of economic policy and aid on the risks of conflict. It finds that aid and policy do not have direct effects on conflict risk. However, both directly affect growth and dependence on primary commodity exports, and these in turn affect conflict risk. Simulating the effect of a package of policy reform and increased aid on the average aid recipient country, it finds that if sustained for five years the risk of conflict is reduced by nearly 30%.

Bibliographic Details

Main Author:	Bannon, Ian
Language:	English
Published:	World Bank, Washington, DC 2003-02
Subjects:	ECONOMIC POLICY, CONFLICT AREAS, FOREIGN AID, INTERVENTION, PER CAPITA INCOME, COMMODITY MARKETS, INTERNATIONAL AID, ETHNIC CONFLICTS, RELIGIOUS GROUPS, CONFLICT MANAGEMENT, STRUCTURAL ADJUSTMENT PROGRAMS, CONFLICT PREVENTION, GOVERNMENT ROLE, COMMODITY PRODUCERS, AID EVALUATION, AID FLOWS, AID PROGRAMS ADVERSE EFFECTS, CIVIL CONFLICT, CIVIL WAR, COMMODITIES, CONFLICT RISK, COSTS OF REBELLION, ECONOMIC ACTIVITY, ECONOMIC EFFECTS, ECONOMIC GROWTH, ECONOMIC REVIEW, ECONOMICS, ECONOMISTS, EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS, EVALUATION CRITERIA, EXPENDITURES, INCOME, INCOME LEVELS, INEQUALITY, LOW INCOME, LOW-INCOME COUNTRIES, MODEL OF CONFLICT, NATURAL RESOURCES, POOR, REBEL VICTORY, REBELLION, REBELLIONS, RISK FACTORS, RISK OF CONFLICT, RISK REDUCTION, RISKS OF CONFLICT, SOCIAL DEVELOPMENT, STRUCTURAL ADJUSTMENT, SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, TAXATION,
Online Access:	http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2003/02/2166835/aid-policy-peace-reducing-risks-civil-conflict https://hdl.handle.net/10986/11322
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