Shifts in forest species composition and abundance under climate change scenarios in southern carpathian romanian temperate forests
18 Päg. Departamento de Medio Ambiente y Agronomía
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dig-inia-es-10261-2870022024-05-17T20:54:52Z Shifts in forest species composition and abundance under climate change scenarios in southern carpathian romanian temperate forests García-Duro, Juan Ciceu, Albert Chivulescu, Serban Badea, Ovidiu Tanase, Mihai A. Aponte, Cristina European Commission García-Duro, Juan [0000-0003-2550-876X] Ciceu, Albert [0000-0002-4090-8705] Chivulescu, Serban [0000-0001-7079-5812] Badea, Ovidiu [0000-0003-0898-7551] Tanase, Mihai A.[0000-0002-0045-2299] Aponte, Cristina [0000-0002-8457-7573] Climate change LANDIS-II Forest biomass PnET Production | Species composition Romanian temperate forests Southern Carpathians http://metadata.un.org/sdg/3 http://metadata.un.org/sdg/4 http://metadata.un.org/sdg/5 http://metadata.un.org/sdg/6 Take urgent action to combat climate change and its impacts Ensure healthy lives and promote well-being for all at all ages Ensure inclusive and equitable quality education and promote lifelong learning opportunities for all Achieve gender equality and empower all women and girls Ensure availability and sustainable management of water and sanitation for all 18 Päg. Departamento de Medio Ambiente y Agronomía The structure and functioning of temperate forests are shifting due to changes in climate. Foreseeing the trajectory of such changes is critical to implementing adequate management practices and defining long-term strategies. This study investigated future shifts in temperate forest species composition and abundance expected to occur due to climate change. It also identified the ecological mechanisms underpinning such changes. Using an altitudinal gradient in the Romanian Carpathian temperate forests encompassing several vegetation types, we explored forest change using the Landis-II landscape model coupled with the PnET ecophysiological process model. We specifically assessed the change in biomass, forest production, species composition and natural disturbance impacts under three climate change scenarios, namely, RCP 2.6, 4.5 and 8.5. The results show that, over the short term (15 years), biomass across all forest types in the altitudinal gradient will increase, and species composition will remain unaltered. In contrast, over the medium and long terms (after 2040), changes in species composition will accelerate, with some species spreading (e.g., Abies alba Mill.) and others declining (e.g., Fagus sylvatica L.), particularly under the most extreme climate change scenario. Some forest types (e.g., Picea abies (L.) karst forests) in the Southern Carpathians will notably increase their standing biomass due to climate change, compared to other types, such as Quercus forests. Our findings suggest that climate change will alter the forest composition and species abundance, with some forests being particularly vulnerable to climate change, e.g., F. sylvatica forests. As far as productivity and forest composition changes are concerned, management practices should accommodate the new conditions in order to mitigate climate change impacts. This work was supported financially by EO-ROFORMON project, ID P_37_651/SMIS 105058 and PN 19070101 Peer reviewed 2023-01-18T08:14:02Z 2023-01-18T08:14:02Z 2021-11-01 artículo http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501 Forests 12(11): 1434 (2021) 1999-4907 http://hdl.handle.net/10261/287002 10.3390/f12111434 http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100000780 2-s2.0-85118227360 https://api.elsevier.com/content/abstract/scopus_id/85118227360 en #PLACEHOLDER_PARENT_METADATA_VALUE# info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC//105058 Forests Publisher's version https://doi.org/10.3390/f12111434 Sí open Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute |
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INIA ES |
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España |
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ES |
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En linea |
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dig-inia-es |
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biblioteca |
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Europa del Sur |
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English |
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Climate change LANDIS-II Forest biomass PnET Production | Species composition Romanian temperate forests Southern Carpathians http://metadata.un.org/sdg/3 http://metadata.un.org/sdg/4 http://metadata.un.org/sdg/5 http://metadata.un.org/sdg/6 Take urgent action to combat climate change and its impacts Ensure healthy lives and promote well-being for all at all ages Ensure inclusive and equitable quality education and promote lifelong learning opportunities for all Achieve gender equality and empower all women and girls Ensure availability and sustainable management of water and sanitation for all Climate change LANDIS-II Forest biomass PnET Production | Species composition Romanian temperate forests Southern Carpathians http://metadata.un.org/sdg/3 http://metadata.un.org/sdg/4 http://metadata.un.org/sdg/5 http://metadata.un.org/sdg/6 Take urgent action to combat climate change and its impacts Ensure healthy lives and promote well-being for all at all ages Ensure inclusive and equitable quality education and promote lifelong learning opportunities for all Achieve gender equality and empower all women and girls Ensure availability and sustainable management of water and sanitation for all |
| spellingShingle |
Climate change LANDIS-II Forest biomass PnET Production | Species composition Romanian temperate forests Southern Carpathians http://metadata.un.org/sdg/3 http://metadata.un.org/sdg/4 http://metadata.un.org/sdg/5 http://metadata.un.org/sdg/6 Take urgent action to combat climate change and its impacts Ensure healthy lives and promote well-being for all at all ages Ensure inclusive and equitable quality education and promote lifelong learning opportunities for all Achieve gender equality and empower all women and girls Ensure availability and sustainable management of water and sanitation for all Climate change LANDIS-II Forest biomass PnET Production | Species composition Romanian temperate forests Southern Carpathians http://metadata.un.org/sdg/3 http://metadata.un.org/sdg/4 http://metadata.un.org/sdg/5 http://metadata.un.org/sdg/6 Take urgent action to combat climate change and its impacts Ensure healthy lives and promote well-being for all at all ages Ensure inclusive and equitable quality education and promote lifelong learning opportunities for all Achieve gender equality and empower all women and girls Ensure availability and sustainable management of water and sanitation for all García-Duro, Juan Ciceu, Albert Chivulescu, Serban Badea, Ovidiu Tanase, Mihai A. Aponte, Cristina Shifts in forest species composition and abundance under climate change scenarios in southern carpathian romanian temperate forests |
| description |
18 Päg.
Departamento de Medio Ambiente y Agronomía |
| author2 |
European Commission |
| author_facet |
European Commission García-Duro, Juan Ciceu, Albert Chivulescu, Serban Badea, Ovidiu Tanase, Mihai A. Aponte, Cristina |
| format |
artículo |
| topic_facet |
Climate change LANDIS-II Forest biomass PnET Production | Species composition Romanian temperate forests Southern Carpathians http://metadata.un.org/sdg/3 http://metadata.un.org/sdg/4 http://metadata.un.org/sdg/5 http://metadata.un.org/sdg/6 Take urgent action to combat climate change and its impacts Ensure healthy lives and promote well-being for all at all ages Ensure inclusive and equitable quality education and promote lifelong learning opportunities for all Achieve gender equality and empower all women and girls Ensure availability and sustainable management of water and sanitation for all |
| author |
García-Duro, Juan Ciceu, Albert Chivulescu, Serban Badea, Ovidiu Tanase, Mihai A. Aponte, Cristina |
| author_sort |
García-Duro, Juan |
| title |
Shifts in forest species composition and abundance under climate change scenarios in southern carpathian romanian temperate forests |
| title_short |
Shifts in forest species composition and abundance under climate change scenarios in southern carpathian romanian temperate forests |
| title_full |
Shifts in forest species composition and abundance under climate change scenarios in southern carpathian romanian temperate forests |
| title_fullStr |
Shifts in forest species composition and abundance under climate change scenarios in southern carpathian romanian temperate forests |
| title_full_unstemmed |
Shifts in forest species composition and abundance under climate change scenarios in southern carpathian romanian temperate forests |
| title_sort |
shifts in forest species composition and abundance under climate change scenarios in southern carpathian romanian temperate forests |
| publisher |
Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute |
| publishDate |
2021-11-01 |
| url |
http://hdl.handle.net/10261/287002 http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100000780 https://api.elsevier.com/content/abstract/scopus_id/85118227360 |
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